moonslav59

Next up? Statehood.

I think they were pushing it by asking for 7 innings. The HR was a monster shot. It was a close call. The next guy might have walked Soto anyways. It was a crap shoot!

I'd have taken him out after the HR & before the BB.

So much for Greinke not being able to handle the bright lights.

I thought he expressed interest in living out west. Maybe I'm wrong. Also, Bill Russel and Ted Williams never had a choice. (No free agency back then)

I could see us looking to acquire him.

He just has to beat out Kopech, Logan Allen, Groome and who else?

Price will not come close to the innings Porcello gave us. That's what Porcello was best known for. It's weird how Price's deepest game came in mid April.

I like Sale's chances more than Price & Eovaldi combined. My projection: WAR 2020 to 2022: Sale > Price+ Eovaldi (This could happen, even if Sale misses a full season with an injury.) 2019 fWAR: 3.6 Sale 2.0 Price (2.3) + Eovaldi (-0.3)

Can we agree on one thing? The only thing good about the Cards, beside being our bitches the last 15 years, is their cool uniforms.

I was going to, but you had to try and get the last word. I offered to stop a few posts back, but NOOooooooo!

The Cards and Giants are the only teams that break the mold (2 each), unless you count the 2003 Marlins (once).

I'm not sure, if those numbers include the pre-1994 seasons. I'm going by recent years. The playoffs changed in 1995, and team budget disparities ballooned almsot exponentially in the early to mid 2000's. When budgets were more bunched, it was likely more random. Opening Day Team payrolls: 2000: NYY 93K, LAD 88K, ATL 85K, BAL 81K #15 58K #30 17K 2001: NYY 110K, BOS 110K, LAD 109K, NYM 93K #15 $63K #30 $24K 2002: NYY 126K, BOS 108K, TX 105K, AZ 103 #15 61K #30 34K 2003:NYY 153K, NYM 117, ATL 106, LAD 106 #15 71K #30 20K 2004: NYY 183, BOS 125, LAA 101, 101 #15 65K #30 28K 2005: NYY 206, BOS 121, NYM 105, PHI 95 #15 69K #30 30K ... 2019: BOS 205, CUBS 205, NYY 205, SFG 178 #15 125K #30 53K Where we can pick the starting point matters, but let's say in 2003: (League Ranking by Wins- 1 to 4 per league) 2003: FLA 3> NYY 1 2004: BOS 2> STL 1 2005: CWS 1> HOU 3 2006: STL 4> DET 3 (2 wins from #1) 2007: BOS 1> COL 1 2008: PHI 2> TBR 2 2009: NYY 1> PHI 2 2010: SFG 2> TX 4 2011: STL 4> TX 2 Play-In Game Starts (12 teams make POs, so 1-6 in each league): 2012: SFG 3> DET 6 2013: BOS 1> STL 1 2014: SFG 4> KC 4 2015: KC 1> NYM 6 2016: Cubs 1> CLE 2 2017: HOU 1> LAD 1 2018: BOS 1>LAD 3 2019: HOU 1 vs WAS 3 5 of the last 17 World Series Champs were NOT top 2 in their league. If it were random, we'd expect 8-9. 13 out of 34 League Champions were NOT top 2 in their league. One would expect 16-18, if it were random. World Series Champs Rankings in their league - last 17 years: 1st: 9 wins if HOU wins, 8 if not 2nd: 3 wins 3rd: 2 wins if HOU wins, 3 if not 4th: 3 wins 1st: 8-9 All Others combined : 8-9 1st or 2nd: 11-12 All Others: 5-6 The 4 years from 2011 to 2014 looked random. The rest: not even close.

Still can. This year, the Nats were a WC and had a better record than the Cards.

I can agree with this, too, except the third sentence.

Wow!

Exactly. In a way, his decision hints at how healthy he sees himself going into 2020.

32% is closer to a crap shoot (50%) than 0%, but it's much worse than flipping a coin. My point has been about winning it all. I think this all started when Kimmi said that once a team makes the playoffs, it's a crap shoot on who will win it all. The idea was that you just needed to make the playoffs to have an equal chance at winning it all. making yourself into a super team did not add to your chances once you made the playoffs. Even one series at a time, if it was a crap shoot, I'd expect the worse 4 teams vs the best 4 teams might win 45-55% of the time, if it was a 100% crap shoot (like one poster voted). What does "mostly" mean? 32%? 45%? I guess there's room for interpretation. BTW, I don't disagree with your last post, so maybe stopping now would be good.

Okay, 3 out of 16. That's not a crap shoot. 8 out of 16 is. This isn't stats or metrics. The better half of the teams win it all 75% of the time. The lower half wins it all 25% of the time. (3 out of 16 is actually about 19%, so yeah, I'm using numbers. I can't help myself.)

If I were him, and I felt healthy, I'd not opt out and go for broke after 2020.

Just agree with me, and we can stop! (LOL)

https://tenor.com/view/scooby-doo-ruh-roh-cartoon-animation-gif-8687005

I'm on pins and needles.

That Marlin team was damn good. Beckett was their #5 starter. Derek Lee and Mike Lowell both had 30+ Hrs and they also had Alex Gonzalez at SS (my fave), IRod behind the plate, Pierre in CF (strong D up the middle) plus Miggy, EE, Luis Castillo and others. They won 91 games (3rd best in NL), but they were 49-45 in the first half and were a different team the second half (42-25). It wasn't a surprise they made the WS. I'll admit nobody gave them much of a chance to beat NY, who went 44-25 in their second half. They Giants won in 2014, but the NL had nobody with more than 96 wins. I might say 2 upsets, but even 3 in 16 years is way less than 8 in 16, which would be the expected number, if winning the WS was 100% a crap shoot.

Ruh-row- Elroy!