moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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They do win quite a few times, but in total, it's way less than 50% of the time, especially if they are big underdogs. The argument was about winning it all, and that means an underdog has to win 3 series against better teams. How many examples are there for that? I mentioned the 2006 Cards as maybe the only one in the past 2 decades. Do you think I missed anyone? Is 1 out of 20 a crap shoot?
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lol.
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In MLB, if you are an underdog WC team, you have to win 12 games. A division winner needs 11. That's not easy, unless you are just a slight underdog in each series.
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It looks more and more like that way, but hey, maybe we do offer him the most. I do think there is a slight chance he takes a little less to play in Boston but not significantly less. You gotta like winning, and the Sox do a lot of celebrating.
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Contrary to widely held beliefs, highway robbery IS legal in Texas.
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I'd do it.
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I'd be fine with Broxton on our team as a starting CF'er. He may be better than JBJ on defense. If he can hit near .700, then I'd be very happy. Go with defense up the middle and use the money saved to fill bigger need areas.
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To me, the chance of the Astros, Yanks, Dodgers & Braves making the WS were way higher than the other 6 teams combined. One could argue the Nats were a top 4 team going into the playoffs based on their second half record and strong rotation. The chance of an underdog winning 3 series vs better teams is very remote in MLB. In the NFL, it's a one game, single elimination playoff system, so slight underdogs win much more often, and moderate underdogs win more than baseball. Still, in football, the best team wins very often. It's designed that way. That's why the season only has to be one-tenth of the MLB season to weed out the best from the worst.
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I disagree!
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How about Price, Eovaldi, Travis and $7M/yr for 3 years for Choo & Odor?
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If no other money had to go to Texas, yes. I'd hate to part with Dalbec, but he is blocked, right now. (I'd rather add Chavis and move Devers or Dalbec to 1B.) Getting out from under Price's deal would give us a lot budget space to add valuable players for 3 years. BTW, who was the poster who said we'd regret it, if Price opted out? Was it 700?
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If Sox fans loved JBJ, they would adore Broxton's sub .600 OPS all year long- not just in month-long slumps.
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I'd add $22M and do this deal, or I'd add another player or two to keep the money down.
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If the OF'er is not all that great and the 2 prospects are lower than #80, I don't think it's "crazy."
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I have to believe more money would have to go to Texas. Choo has one year left at $21M, and Odor has an 8.25 luxury tax hit x 3 years. He also has a team option for 2023 at $13.5M with a $3.5M buyout. We'd be robbing the Rangers blind. Odor hit 30 HRs (.721 OPS) this year and Choo 24 (.826 OPS). I'm sure his .205 BA would frustrate many Sox fans, but he is young and hit .253 in 2018. (BTW, Chavis hit just .221 second half.)
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The answer looks clear, to me. LOL
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It was over when we got double swept. I said it then, and some got mad at me, but the writing was on the wall.
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These stats don't tell the whole story, but here they are... 2019: Late & Close OPS (all players with 50+ PAs are listed) 1.132 Bogey (He was the most clutch player this year) .982 Betts .920 Vaz .892 Chavis .858 Holt .752 Devers .680 JD .633 JBJ .540 Beni High Leverage 1.090 Bogey 1.012 Betts .983 JD .958 Vaz .953 Moreland .894 Devers .891 Holt .867 Chavis .611 JBJ .569 Beni (Looking at these numbers, one can wonder why we didn't win 95+ games.)
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6 wins by the road teams. Never been done in any of the 3 major sports (other than NFL).
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I agree, despite the $2.5M buy out this winter and no buy out next winter. If he's concerned about getting hurt next year, he may decide to opt out and go for the largest total money package.
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I was going to bring this up, too. UZR/150 over the last 3 years combined (1500+ innings in CF) 18.8 H Bader 13.0 B Buxton 11.4 Kiermaier 9.7 M Taylor 9.5 J Dyson 7.6 L Cain 6.9 Keon Broxton 5.3 M Margot 4.3 E Inciarte 4.1 JBJ 4.0 D DeShields 4.0 A Hicks 3.2 G Springer 2.8 K Pillar
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Mookie did not have a higher fWAR than Bogey, and his superior defense did make him slightly better than Devers in my eye test and in WAR. fWAR 6.8 Bogey 6.6 Betts 5.9 Devers 3.5 Vaz 3.2 JD 2.0 Beni 1.4 JBJ 1.3 Holt BWAR 6.8 Betts 5.3 Devers 5.2 Bogey 3.3 JD 2.2 Vaz 2.0 JBJ 1.7 Beni 1.3 Moreland 1.0 Holt
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Playing Red Sox GM: salary dump time!
moonslav59 replied to VJCPatriot's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I almost added something about Kevin Bacon! -
Maybe it was fixed back then, too. I think the draft lottery was (and still is?). It's fixed, now.
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Playing Red Sox GM: salary dump time!
moonslav59 replied to VJCPatriot's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think he knew all along he was going to jettison OCab, but to me, the number one reason for the deal was to greatly improve our chances of winning a ring. Note: We got Ellsbury and Lowrie as comp picks for losing OCab! We got Melancon for Lowrie and Weiland. We got Holt (and Hanrahan) for Melancon & others. We got Kopech as a comp pick for losing Ellsbury to free agency. We got Sale for Kopech, Moncada & others. It was the gift that just kept giving.
