moonslav59

...and .220 is 21% less than .280. There are lots of ways of looking at numbers. If a .220 hitter gets 6 more hits out of each 100 ABs (or 6%), he'll be hitting .280.

Shows how the "Recency Theory" or "What you have done for me lately, is what you will do tomorrow and the day after" is not a very effective predictor of future productivity.

When you look back at our winning and non winning seasons and how much or little the top 5 starters started games, it is sometimes hard to determine who the top 5 were. Do you go by who the top 5 were believed to be at the start of the year? Also, sometimes a trade is made for a #2, 3, 4 or 5 starter, and should that mess up the study or further prove that having 5 healthy starters all year greatly enhances your chances at winning a ring? How important is it to just make the playoffs and having all 5 starters healthy for the playoffs? Here's a look at our rotations and GS'd since 2002: 2002 32 Lowe 30 Pedro 29 Burkett 23 Castillo 15 Wake 12 Fossum, 9 Oliver, 8 B Arroyo 4 by 3 Others 2003 33 Lowe 33 Wake 30 Burkett 29 Pedro 14 Fossum, 10 Suppan 13 by 4 others 2004 33 Pedro 33 Lowe 32 Schilling 30 Wake 28 Arroyo 5 by 3 others 2005 33 Wake 32 Arroyo 32 Clement 30 Wells 16 W Miller, 11 Schilling 8 by 4 starters 2006 33 Beckett 31 Schilling 23 Wake 15 Lester 12 Lester 10 Snyder 38 by 8 starters 2007 32 Dice-K 31 Wake 30 Beckett 24 Schilling 23 Tavarez 11 Lester 11 by 3 others 2008 33 Lester 30 Wake 29 Dice K 27 Beckett 15 Buch 30 by 6 starters 2009 32 Beckett 32 Lester 24Penny 21 Wake 16 Buch 12 Dice K 25 by 5 starters 2010 33 Lackey 32 Lester 28 Buch 25 Dice K 21 Beckett 19 Wake 4 by 2 others 2011 31 Lester 30 Beckett 28 Lackey 23 Wake 14 Buch 12 A Miller 24 by 4 others 2012 33 Lester 29 Buch 29 Doubront 21 Beckett 18 A Cook 11 Dice K 11 by 2 others 2013 33Lester 29 Lackey 29 Dempster 27 Doubront 16 Buch 10 Peavy 18 by 5 other 2014 28 Buch 21 Lester 21 Lackey 20 Peavy 18 de la Rosa 15 Workman 11 Webster 10 Kelly 10 Doubront 8 by 2 others 2015 32 W Miley 28 Porcello 25 Kelly 21 ERod 18 Buch 11Owens 9 Wright 9 Masterson 9 by 5 others 2016 35 Price 33Porcello 24 Wright 21 Buch 20 ERod 13 Pomeranz 16 by 4 others 2017 33 Porcello 32 Sale 32Pomeranz 24 ERod 15 Fister 11 Price 15 by 4 others 2018 33 Porcello 30 Price 27 Sale 23 ERod 13 Johnson 11 Eovaldi 11 Pomeranz 13 by 3 others 2019 34 ERod 32 Porcello 25 Sale 22 Price 12 Eovaldi 37 by 10 others 2020 (60 game season would avg 12 GS'd x 5) 12 Perez 9 Eovaldi 7 Godley 6 Mazza 5 Weber 4 Brewer 3 Houck 3 Hart 11 by 8 others 2021 (after 69 games- avg 14 GS x 5) 0 Sale 14 Eovaldi 14 Richards 13 ERod 13 Pivetta 13 Perez 2 Houck

He stole the idea from me.

They have Rays forums?

Another factor to consider is how much Betts exceeds his contractual value in the first half of the contract. Maybe he underperforms by $50M at the end of the deal, but exceeded it by $60M over the first half. It seems like all the focus is placed on the end part. Now, that being said, many of the large and long contracts don't look all that great in the first half either.

I'm not really a superstitious person, but if I changed the mojo, and we lost, I'd have never heard the last of it.

And the changing of the ball.

Yes, generally.

Soxprospects.com has him as "post-prospect."

By more than good hitting beating bad hitting?

I think good pitching beats good hitting, too- most of the time. However, it’s not the reason for every win and loss.

Excellent comp.

Agreed. One major factor in Mookie’s success is his off the charts “twitch reflexes.” How many studies have been done on how well that ages?

If you look at all our ring years, they all had a lot of starts from the top 5 or 6 starters. That’s a good sign for 2021, but technically, Sale is a top 5 starter, so we’ve had a lot of starts from our #6 and 2 from our #7.

Very insightful.

There is a chance we have the best record in the AL after tonight! Again!

It’s not easy winning in KC, but I agree.

If you look at the ratios of big to small, the results look about even.

We may not be as good as we were before a couple weeks ago, but we can’t keep winning by pitching like this.

More than most: JUNE Team OPS: .931 HOU .839 LAA .818 OAK .805 TOR .776 MN .762 DET .762 NYY .755 BAL .732 CWS .727 CLE .723 KCR .721 BOS .713 SEA .686 TBR .623 TEX

Keep it rollin'

Who? .576 Marwin? .460 Santana? Call-up.501 Cordero & move .650 Kike to 1B? I guess .758 Chavis is an option, but Dalbec has a better OPS than that over his last 11 games. Ockimey? Casas?

Updated AL Standings 43-26 CWS 43-27 OAK 43-27 TBR 42-27 BOS (1/2 behind TBR and 1 GB best AL record) 40-28 HOU 38-28 CLE 36-32 NYY (SEA, LAA & TOR all 1 game under .500) Friday's games: A's (Kapreielian)@ NYY (Taillon) Rays (Wacha) @ SEA (Kikuchi) CWS (Rodon) @ HOU (Garcia)

Kyle Seager singles in winning run. Rays lose 3rd straight.