moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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How can you be so sure Duran and others are better than what we have? Yes, maybe better than sub .500, but there's no way anyone can expect Cordero, Renfroe and others to keep hitting as poorly as they have in less than this 70-90 PA sample size.
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It's been 3 weeks. Anyone deserving a chance will get a long look, this year. Kike is having a hard time, but 3 weeks does not define who he is, and besides, his weakness is not hitting the ball softly. It's just plain hitting it and not walking enough for a leadoff hitter. He's actually 23rd in MLB in XBHs, this year, and has above average power for a 2Bman. He has 60 XBHs in his last 638 ABs.
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The ole reverse jinx.
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We only have 4 clearly good hitters: Devers, Bogey, JD & Verdugo. Having a non top 4 hitter bat 1st or 3rd helps spread it out to the 5 slot, but yes, our bottom of the order has only promises and wishful thinkings. That being said, look around MLB. Very few teams have 5 or 6 players who can consistently hit .800+. Vaz looked like he might step into that role. His.798 OPS from 2019-2020 looked encouraging, but he has slumped. A Cordero/Renfroe platoon offered some hopes for a combined OPS of over .780, but that is now looking like an extreme longshot. Hernandez has hit near or over .800 a couple times, but is more like a ,730-.760 ki[nd of hitter. Arroyo will not likely end up over .780, let alone .800, but he is the only one showing hope, right now. Dalbec was my best hope, and he did start showing some signs of life, but .800 may be out of reach. Marwin needs trash cans to hit .800.
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Throwing in the towel. The Taylor towel.
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Time to bust out a crooked number!
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Eovaldi has shown great control, so far this year. 27 Ks 4 BBs in 27.2 innings and counting. It's the hits that are hurting him. (Only one of his 4 BBs scored.)
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Where do you find the stats for things like this? Or, did you read it somewhere?
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The first 3 games of 2021 exposed out horrific defense. It hasn't miraculously improved since then. It will cost us more games to come.
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I still think he belongs in Fenway's RF. On the road, maybe CF is best. Kike has good defensive metrics in CF, but his sample size is scattered over many small stints. Maybe this... Fenway & parks with shorter LF's: Cordero/Renfroe LF, Kike CF, Verdugo RF Parks with shorter RF's: Verdugo LF, Kike CF, Renfroe/Cordero RF As long as Arroyo keeps hitting, 2B should be his FT position. That squeezes Kike to the OF, where we just happen to have two struggling, platoon-type players. It's really this simple. (Marwin can be worked into the equation easily enough, too.)
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Anyone know the record for opening a season with X amount of Ks before their first BB? 40 is pretty amazing.
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I thought that should be the plan all along, but that means Hernandez or Marwin plays OF. Arroyo has kind of forced the issue to fruition. Thanks, Christian!
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Agreed, and despite him looking lost on D a couple times, he's much more experience than Duran in the OF. This season was designed to find the answers on a number of Sox player and to determine who fits into our longer term plans. Sending Cordero down, and yes he and Renfroe both have remaining options, does not answer his question. He and other deserve a longer look. I get how it seems like we might be destroying our chances, this year, by playing struggling young players, too long, but there's a good chance they will turn it around, like Dalbec is, or that the kid we call up will struggleor even do worse. Duran, Houck and others will get their chance, this year. Others, like Downs, Casas, Seabold and others may have to wait longer or may get just a brief showing, this year, especially if we keep winning, and the player "blocking" their path is doing well. Remember, Arroyo & Cordero are both still young enough to have room to improve and grow. Let's find out what they can give us before rolling the dice on Duran and Downs. It wasn't long ago, someone was suggesting we send Dalbec down.
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That's how I see it, or to prepare for an injury or COVID event. I kind of expected more innings/pitches than 2.1/41, last night. Every one of our starters still have a question mark next to their name. Houck may not be enough starter depth, by himself, and he's on an innings limit, this year, too.
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Exactly! That's what it seems like, right?
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Beni and dynasty should not be used in the same sentence. Had we kept everyone from the 2018 team, we'd suck. Betts cannot carry a bunch of aging, over-priced players by himself. Only Betts and Kimbrel are doing well out of the 2021 gate. Do you still pine for Price, Kelly, Porcello, Moreland, Nunez, JBJ, Leon, Hembree, Pomeranz and ... -
Not if you had signed Simmons.
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I feel the same way about Alex Vee. He's already special and just approaching prime.
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Sometimes you can get a decent player who is paid a lot and will be a FA in 2 months for pretty cheap- certainly not Scherzer, but we'll have $4.5M to "play with" in adding pro-rated contracts via trades. I seriously doubt we trade good young talent for anybody at the deadline. This year is more about bridging to 2022 and beyond. We won't trade anyone that is viewed as part of future Sox teams. We might trade a Chavis or someone we give up on- maybe a Groome or Ward type, but if we are giving up on someone, I doubt another GM covets him.
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Henry does not totally ignore the lower lux tax line. He has a long history of re-setting the tax, even when it looked like we might be one or two costly players away from being even more serious contenders. We stayed under in 2003 and re-set in 2008, stayed under in 2009, reset in 2012, stayed under in 2013 & 2014, reset in 2017 and again in 2020. Since the 2004-2007 run of paying a lux tax, we have never gone more than 2 years in a row, so yes, he avoids the big 3rd year tax bigtime, but he never even goes slightly over year 3, which wouldn't be a big tax. I remember that 2012-2014 period, where we went 3 straight years without paying any taxes. Ben's budget was very limited compared to other GMs, but we still managed to win a ring in 2013. Many fans were upset we didn't spend more (and more).
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I doubt we go over, even if in the race. We have a a little buffer zone to add $4.5M. That's actually a significanat amount when you factor in we only pay about 1/3 of a player's salary. We may also find a way to dump a modest contract (like Ottavino or Richards) while picking up another more useful one or two in another deal. We may end up wishing we never made the Ottavino deal. I think we stay under the tax line, so we can extend our future window by a year. I could be wrong, but that's my take.
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Corbin Burnes 24.1 IP 40 Ks (almost 15/9 IP) 0 BBs Some surprise names on the MLB ERA Leader Board: 4. Danny Duffy 0.50 12.Johny Cueto 1.80 17.M. Boyd 2.03 24.S Matz 2.32 40. Eovaldi 3.04 (Tops all Sox starters.)
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I wasn't so sure about Arroyo either, but not much more so with Cordero or Renfroe off-handed (or Marwin). I also felt like the chances were better that one from the 5 or 6 had a better chance than just Arroyo. (Arroyo, Chavis, Marwin, Arauz, Munoz/Downs) BTW, ir's early, yet. Plenty of time for Arroyo to prove Cordero and Renfroe, even off handed, are better than him.
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Very Kimbrelesque!
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My man, Marisnick, has a .905 OPS.
