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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Would you trade Downs straight up for Cedric Mullins (3 more years of team control) or Adolis Garcia (4 more yrs of control)? BTV accepted both trades and have their values being very similar.
  2. moonslav59
    Sox OPS from 2020 to 2021 (120+ PAs) .890 Bogey .852 Devers .828 Verdugo .818 JD .783 Plawecki .776 Renfroe .749 Arroyo .741 Dalbec .724 Vaz .658 Chavis .654 Kike .607 Marwin ERA- (20+ IP) 38 Whitlock 45 Houck 62 Ottavino & DHern 64 Sawamura 77 Barnes 79 Valdez 80 Pivetta 85 Eovaldi & Perez 86 Brasier 90 Richards 95 Weber 118 Andriese 129 ERod 132 Taylor 148 Brewer Only players still in the Sox system are listed.
  3. moonslav59
    I don't think he'll ever approach a .360 OBP again, at least for a full season. I do think .330 is within reach, probably not this year, since the hole he's dug is deep. My guess is, he might end up around .290 to .315 for most of his prime years. His career OBP is now down to .288, as 2021 outweighs 2020 more and more each game he plays.
  4. moonslav59
    Black Hole Frequency and MLB, Today: Team OPS by slot: 9 Slot (includes all games at NL team parks with pitchers batting 9th.): .544 MLB Avg OPS (.605 AL only) .544/.527 2 Median teams .576 BOS (ranked 12th) 8 Slot .622 MLB (.633 AL only) .618/.601 .719 BOS (ranked 3rd) 7 Slot .675 MLB (.681 AL only) .679/.679 .519 BOS (ranked 29th) 6 Slot .707 MLB (.694 AL only) .705/.688 .676 BOS (ranked 19th) Only the 7th Slot looks to be hurting the Sox significantly.
  5. moonslav59
    Most teams have 3-5 #9 hitters, so us having just 3 is actually an advantage.
  6. moonslav59
    But the other teams sit and twiddle their thumbs while waiting for the 5 game series to end.
  7. moonslav59
    That's a fair point, and I never meant the Dalbec OBP numbers to be some sort of comp with Casas. I have no idea, if Dalbec can get his OBP over .300, let alone the .330 floor for winning the FT 1B job with the Sox, at least until Casas gets a chance. My point was about you seemingly thinking it's impossible, when he did it over his first 1700 PAs in professional ball, including 92 PAs at the big league level, but has looked horrible over his last 165. Why do so many posters think your last 100, 200 or even 400 PAs is the best indicator of what to expect going forward? I'm not trying to bust your balls. I respect you and your opinions, but why seem so sure he can never get to .330, when he was over .360 for all but 2 months of his career? BTW, Dalbec had a .374 OBP in college, at the same age Casas was in Rk and A ball.
  8. moonslav59
    I hope Arroyo up first works out. I've been hoping for this for weeks.
  9. moonslav59
    Downs at #68 is going to piss off 700.
  10. moonslav59
    I've been bashing the Yanks since before you were born. I've been taking Jacko to the cleaners for years. That doesn't mean I ignore the facts.
  11. moonslav59
    How many rings do TB & TOR have the last decade or two? I'm not defending their formula, but they have been in a position to win it all as much or more so than the Rays or Jays in the last 10-20 years. Spending money can win rings. Spending more increases your chances. It's not a great strategy, but it's not impossible to "get it done" their way. BTW, current odds at winning the WS: 17-2 NYY 15-1 TBR 22-1 BOS 25-1 TOR (Not saying I agree with the oddsmakers, here, but still...) 15
  12. moonslav59
    Dalbec had a .362 OBP in 1609 minor league PAs and a .359 OBP in the bigs, last year (92 PAs). Are you saying it's highly unlikely he can get it over .330 based on his most recent 165 PAs, only? I think Casas can do better, too, but it's no sure bet. The kid doesn't even have 600 PAs in the minor, yet and his .355 OBP is lower than Bobby Dee's, without any AAA action. He's got 75 PAs above single A. Dalbec's number before AAA: .375 Rookie (32 PAs) .367 Fall (90) .432 Smr (111) .427 A- (143) .345 A (329) .372 A+ (419) .361 AA (563) Casas .200 Rk (5) .349 A (493) .429 A+ (7) .400 AA (75)
  13. moonslav59
    Why not? His only weakness on defense is his arm accuracy. Take away his bad throws and he's a plus defender at 3B.
  14. moonslav59
    No, but getting more teams into the playoffs and in the WC hunt longer is good for baseball. BTW, this year, the 4 wild card teams play a best of 5 series, according to this article: https://bolavip.com/en/mlb/2021-mlb-playoff-format-how-the-baseball-postseason-will-be-played-20210331-0008.html.
  15. moonslav59
    Move him to 3B and Devers to 1B, this winter and .325 is a clear keeper. .300 is not so "clear." You are right about that- at 1B or 3B.
  16. moonslav59
    I wasn't defending their formula and certainly wasn't saying theirs is better than ours, but they have been top contenders for several years and may still be one, this year. I like our system way better, despite some last place finishes.
  17. moonslav59
    Interesting to see Yoan Moncada, fueled by a nice defensive WAR is tied for 3rd in fWAR at 2.8. (Yes, you read that right- DEFENSE!) Here are the leaders in OPS: 1.098 Guerrero 1.077 Winker 1.042 Castellanos .984 Acuna .976 Bryant .958 JD .950 Muncy .941 Olsen .938 Judge .925 Yuli Gurriel .924 Walsh .923Mullins .920 Ohtani .917 Devers .912 Bogey .903 A Riley (Only 16 players are over .900. We have 3!) 47. Verdugo at .811 49. Moncada at .810
  18. moonslav59
    Not these days. If Dalbec can hit .230 with an OBP of .300 to .325, he's a FT player. He would probably play FT even hitting just 20 HRs instead of 35. These are our OBP leaders beyond our "big 4:" .333 Arroyo .314 Renfroe .292 Vaz .291 Marwin .277 Kike .248 Dalbec He'd be 6th in OBP at just .315. I realize he plays 1B, and you expect more from that position, but unless the league numbers change, .300 or even lower might be the new acceptable "floor."
  19. moonslav59
    I'm not defending the "Yankee formula," but they have won 167 games since 2019 to our 144 wins and 267 from 2018 to today. We won 252 games since 2018. The Yanks also currently have a better farm than ours in maybe all rankings.
  20. moonslav59
    You mean ceiling?
  21. moonslav59
    ERA for RP'ers are skewed by coming into games with 1 or 2 outs and not needing to get 3 outs before their own runner scores. OPS against shows Ottavino is doing better than fine despite the high walk totals. .427 Barnes .513 Ottavino .571 Valdez .635 DHern .651 Whitlock .771 Taylor .775 Sawamura .912 Andriese
  22. moonslav59
    It would be nice, but I'm not one of those people who say, "They need to tell him to get more walks." I'm hoping over time, he ets his OBP up to respectability. I doubt it ever gets to his .360 minor league number, but over .300 would be much better, and .330 makes him a clear keeper.
  23. moonslav59
    Same with Richards, Pivetta & Perez. I'd have traded any 2 of those 3 for Kluber and Taillon in March.
  24. moonslav59
    Our 2019 line-up looked good, too!
  25. moonslav59
    I think you meant Duran and Casas. Chavis may be replacing Santana, soon.
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