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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. You pick and choose your criteria. I use the same for everyone and every time. That's the difference. I noted that Barnes places 26th on the fWAR rankings. I never said that makes him the 2t6th best RP'er. Some RP'ers have smaller sample sizes, so had a lower fWAR. I et that. My data was only meant to show that some areas of evaluation show him to be better that mediocre. Certainly some show is was mediocre, too. If clutch is only the 9th, then why count Kershaw's innings 1-8? Again, you change the criteria based on what you want to believe. BTW, Barnes has more innings pitched in the 9th than the 7th or 1-5th combined. 128 IP in 8th .692 OPS Against 99 IP in the 9th .663 82 in the 7th .657 Seems he's done better in the ninth when compared to the 8th and his overall numbers, and his sample size is just 29 innings less than the 8th. Many facts show Barnes was better than mediocre from 2017 to 2020 (before 2021). Only a few show him to be mediocre. If you use his whole career numbers, he looks a bit worse, but to me the 2017-2020 sample size is large enough and more indicative of who he was before this strange season he's having now. I just wish you'd stick with the same criteria for every player you judge. It gets confusing and rather comical, at times.
  2. Of all the many RP'ers in MLB from 2017-2020, Barnes placed 26th in fWAR. Someone wants you to believe this is "mediocre." As for a small sample size on clutch, Barnes has a very large sample size of high pressure data. It just doesn't support his opinion, so it doesn't count. Over his whole career, Barnes has a .694 OPS Against (agai, far from mediocre). His OPS Against Late & Close is .675 in 887 PAs- a bigger sample size than Kershaw's playoff numbers. .538 2 outs and RISP. There is ample evidence, if you look hard enough.
  3. I think a sandwich pick.
  4. I have a rough estimate of about $170M before we add anyone... The budget outlook is a little murky, due to JD's opt out and a few options that might be viewed as borderline (not by me). Here is a look at the lux tax numbers for 2022 (by cots): Locked Up: $100.5M 25.6 Sale 20.0 Bogey 17.0 Eovaldi 16.0 Price 9.38 Barnes 7.00 Kike 1.50 Sawamura Arbs (2021 salary) $24.5 10.5 Devers 2 of 3 (4.6) YES 5.00 Renfroe 3 of 4 (3.1) 2.50 Plawecki 4 of 4 (1.6) 1.50 Brasier 2 of 3 (1.3) 0.90 Cordero 2 of 3 (800K) 2.50 Verdugo 1 of 3 (650K) 2.50 Pivetta 1 of 3 (614K) 1.10 Arroyo 1 of 3 (582K) 1.00 Taylor 1 of 4 (581K) Pre-Arb Keepers (on 40 man): D Hernandez P Valdez Houck Dalbec Whitlock Duran Groome B Mata Y Rios C Seabold C Wong Pre-Arb Bubblers (on 40 man): A Davis Arauz Bazardo Ro Hernandez H Potts J Rosario Player Opt Out or Mutual Option: ($19.5M) 22.0 JD (19.4 projected no opt out) 10.0 Schwarber (11.5 m/o w 3 b/o) projected no option Team Options (my projection) 2021lux tax): ($7M) 10.0 w 1.5 b/o Richards (NO) 10.0 6.0 w 500K b/o Perez (NO) 5.0 7.0 w 250K b/o Vaz (YES) 4.5 3.5 w 250K b/o Andriese (NO) 2.1 Free Agents (2021 $$$ lux tax): 13.8 Pedey (Retired) 8.9 Ottavino 8.3 ERod (QO????) 3.0 Marwin (DFA'd) 2.8 Beni (paid to KCR-2021) 2.0 Robles ??? Santana (NYY paid us $1.8M for Ottavino in 2021) TOTAL BUDGET: 151.5M + 2.5M other 40man roster players +15.5M Player Benefits $170M 4-5 FA Pick-ups: SP2 (1-3 years) RP2 (1-3 years) 1B (1-2 years) Utility (1-2 years) Pitcher (1-2 years)
  5. If ERod gets and takes a QO, that eats up almost half that amount.
  6. Schwarber will get more than $10M a year.
  7. He's saying Chapman has not blown a save in his last 3 games, so he's improved, despite horrific numbers.
  8. You said very specifically, that he was better after getting rest as a reason to give Barnes rest. He did not get the rest 2 months ago. He was rested from 8/6 to /8/18 and has pitched 3 games after the rest. His numbers are horrific, but whoopdee doo- no blown saves. Then, on top of everything, you now move the goalposts and say "He's been better in the last two months. It's a fact." WRONG! Better than what? OPS Against .326 April .455 May Better than then? LOL! .1.158 June Better than June? Okay, but whoopdee freakin doo! .717 July .854 August (his 2nd worst month of the year, and this is better?) And, July is his 3rd worst month. Any way you look at it, Chapman has not improved. Last 2 months: .863 OPS Against 6.59 ERA April to June 29th .641 2.54 Try Calendar months: APR-JUN .695 3.77 JUL-AUG .767 4.05 Own up.
  9. The criteria always changes to fit the opinion. The guy actually thinks Chapman has done well since returning from his 12 days of rest. End of discussion.
  10. Do you even look at the numbers at all? Richards 2021 .824 High Leverage (.849 Medium Leverage, .851 Low Leverage) .000 Late & Close Career: .665 High Leverage (.727 Medium, .663 Low) .654 Late & Close (.706 overall) This being said, I'm not for Richards as closer, but don't say he's worse in high leverage situations.
  11. His definition of clutch and choke is based solely on the results, and the only possible reason any pitcher does well or poorly under pressure has to be because it is under pressure. That's the way he sees it. Nevermind, that players go through ot and cold streaks all the time, for various reasons of no reasons at all, but suddenly, just for the playoffs, mind you, there can be ONLY one reason for clutch or choke performances. It has to be the pressure. The proof? "It's common sense." "The sample size is big." "It's under pressure, so that has to be why."
  12. You bashed the hell out of him and used ERA almost exclusively. Own up.
  13. Rios, Brasier and Bazardo are in the pen mix, too. To me, the best way to improve this staff going into next year is to add a solid #2 SP'er. (I'd like and ace, but that's too big of an ask.) That's even if we offer ERod the QO and he takes it. Sale, FA, Eovaldi, ERod, Pivetta (AAA: Seabold) Iglesias, Houck, Barnes, Whitlock, DHern, Taylor, Sawamura and Valdez/Rios/Davis/Brasier/???
  14. It's nice that baseball is so simple like that.
  15. You are saying he has done well since his time off? That is wrong on every level. They had to yank him last night like we yanked Barnes, last night. Own up. The guy as sucked in his 3 games after the "rest." I'm cherry-picking? I used the stat I always use (OPS against) and the one you used to bash Barnes (ERA). Now, you switch to Blown saves and SV%. The only reason Chapman has few blown saves in August is because he was rested from 8/5 to 8/18. He has pitched in 3 games and finished only 1. He sucked in 2 of 3, and not just by a little bit.
  16. Just give him 2-3 days off and use him in a low leverage situation his next game.
  17. I'd be fine with... Houck Barnes FA set up man R Iglesias Houck Barnes
  18. Worse yet, is his total is about 25% of the team total (8 of 33).
  19. Maybe put Richards back in the rotation.
  20. I think the requirement for replacement is just 40%. You may need to fudge your resume.
  21. Does anyone have fast line-ups anymore? Not that SBs tells the whole base-running story, but most teams have under 55 SBs, this year. I remember when some players had that many by this time of the year. (Only 2 players have more than 25 on the year.)
  22. How about using Whitlock and Houck every other day for 2 inning saves? Ooops, then who starts every 5th game?
  23. If we can't get Iglesias, then we have to look at a trade or using Houck or Whitlock as our 2022 closer. IMO.
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