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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Do an ERA- or + study on Gray from 2021, 2020-2021 or 2019-2020.Better yet, just look at my data I provided. It's all about run prevention numbers. Gray is better than 3-4 or our starters in any time period after 2018.
  2. moonslav59
    No top prospects because these guys weren't worth them. He did give up some decent farm hands. I'm glad they went buyer vs seller. Super glad. Bloom will do something. Better.
  3. moonslav59
    Those are two losing moves by Cash. He's desperate, and it shows. If Bloom gets Gray & Santana, we get better by more than the Yanks and will give up less to get them. Calm down. Bloom da man.
  4. moonslav59
    They got worse after 2021 and are not a top 4 fave in the AL.
  5. moonslav59
    Berrios would be an example where the consolation prize beats the grand prize. (I'm pulling for Jon Gray and Carlos Santana.)
  6. moonslav59
    I love it!
  7. moonslav59
    He's a shiny mirage. (He reminds me of CC.)
  8. moonslav59
    Danny Duffy & Cash to Dodgers for a prospect.
  9. moonslav59
    Richards & Potts and $2M for Voit.
  10. moonslav59
    Part III begins after the deadline.
  11. moonslav59
    See above. Just say no to Rizzo. Please!
  12. moonslav59
    Really? OPS+ in 2 year increments 149 2014-2015 137 2016-2017 132 2018-2019 111 2020-2021
  13. moonslav59
    That's it. We will trade for a pitcher or two, very soon. I still think we should trade or DFA Richards, and maybe even trade Perez, too. He won't likely do well in the pen. That frees up room for Houck, Sale and 2 pitchers, assuming we DFA Workman and one from Rios or Andriese. It's time to have your best players on the 26 man roster. Bye-bye: Richards Perez Workman Rios Andriese Santana (Keep Chavis in the minors.)
  14. moonslav59
    I'm not sure values drop as much as we think they do based on 2/3 of a season. (Also, the minors started in early May, this year- not even 2/3.)
  15. moonslav59
    These packages: Ro Hernandez & Rosario or Groome, Ward & Potts or Mata straight up to DET for M Boyd (1.3 years) J Schoop (.3 years) ____________________ Downs, Groome, Rosario & Potts to COL for McMahon (2.3 years) J Gray (.3 yrs)
  16. moonslav59
    Plus, Schoop can play 2B OPS+ since 2020: 119 Schoop 111 Rizzo 91 Dalbec 2019-2021 126 Rizzo 112 Schoop
  17. moonslav59
    Since Vaz needs more rest, just play Plawecki over Vaz more often. The doubleheaders create some extra need for catching, but with Marwin & Arroyo out, 3 catchers seems excessive and misguided.
  18. moonslav59
    I went to fangraphs to look for the best SP'ers that might be on non contending teams. I set the parameter at 110 IP from 2020-2021. The best ERA- pitchers. A bit surprisingly, hardly any of the best are on teams out of it. 31. Trevor Rogers MIA 36. John Means BAL 39. Jose Berrios MN 40. Strasburg WSN 42. Hendricks CHC 44. Castillo CIN 46. J Ross WSN 47. G Marquez COL 50. Jon Gray COL 51. Pineda MN 53. Duffy KCR 56. Alcantara MIA 61. Turnbull DET 66. K Maeda MN 67. Alec Mills CHC 82. K Gibson TX (95)
  19. moonslav59
    Agreed. I'd like Arroyo over Marwin.
  20. moonslav59
    Jon Gray may not be great, but he's an upgrade over many pitchers in MLB. I'd love to get him, this year.
  21. moonslav59
    It also shows how the Sox and other contenders need SP'ing. I still think some contender would take Richards off our hands (we pay most of his contract) and would trade for Perez, if we pay part of his deal. Add Sale and maybe Houck. Trade for an upgrade over Perez. It does not have to be someone like Scherzer or even Gibson or Berrios. Maybe add a pen arm, but unless we trade Richards and Perez, adding 2 pitchers by trade, means demoting or DFA'ing someone decent. It would have to be an upgrade over P Valdez, Sawamura or DHern. Eovaldi Sale Trade ERod Pivetta Houck Barnes Ottavino Whitlock Taylor DHern Sawamura P Valdez (Gone or demoted: Rios, Andriese & Workman)
  22. moonslav59
    You keep saying that. I don't know why. Out of 180 SP'ers June 5th> ERA- 9. Jon Gray 55 26. Eovaldi 68 88. ERod 105 104. Pivetta 120 112. Perez 131 130. Richards 159 2021 Season Eovaldi 77 Jon Gray 78 Perez 92 Pivetta 100 Richards 114 ERod 116 2020-2021 78 Eovaldi 93 Jon Gray 94 Perez 95 Pivetta 114 Richards 116 ERod 2019-2021 85 Jon Gray 90 Eovaldi 91 ERod 94 Perez 95 Pivetta 114 Richards I can list other stats, too. 2019-2021
  23. moonslav59
    One sign of how badly many starting pitchers are doing this year, even on good teams, is that I have to lower the IP number to 50 to get a sample size of 145 SP'er. (5 per team) Here's how our struggling SP'ers rank in ERA- over the whole season compared to some contending team starters: ERA- Bottom Rankings (#1 is the worst in MLB.) 2. C Martinez 158 3. D Bundy 157 5. J Sheffield 155 9. D Peterson 143 13. B Snell 137 (Do the Rays know their s*** or not?) 17. Velazquez 133 18. M Gonzalez 131 20. C Paddack 130 22. G Canning 128 24. A Heaney 122 31. R Stripling 119 38. ERod 116 (doing better recently) 40. Richards 114 42. Yarbrough 112 43. Odorizzi 111 48. A Nola 107 51. F Montas 104 54. D Smyly 103 55. Cueto 103 56. Matz 103 57. Eflin 102 59. Keuchel 102 60. Taillon 100 63. Pivetta 100 65. German 98 67. D Cease 97 70. Rich Hill 95 71. J Grant 95 73. McClanahan 94 74. A Houser 94 75. B Anderson 92 76. M Perez 92 77. Alex Wood 92 (plenty at 90-91)
  24. moonslav59
    I'll cherry-pick the worst time frame for Richards and Perez (June 5 to today). Here are the rankings and names of the worst starters by ERA- since June 5th (20 + IP)... (Note how many are on contenders and have been even worse than our 2- some worse for much longer than June 5th.) Ranking out of 143 SP'ers with 20+ IP) 102 Matz (TOR) 119 103 Cueto (SFG) 120 104 Pivetta (BOS) 120 108 Darvis (SDP) 125 109 Peterson (NYM) 125 111 A Nola (PHI) 127 112 Perez (BOS) 131 113 Walker (NYM) 132 118 German (NYY) 136 122 Gonzalez (SEA) 142 123 M Moore (PHI) 143 126 Paddack (SDP) 153 130 Richards (BOS) 159 133 Snell (SDP) 165 136 Velazquez (PHI) 171 137 C Martinez (STL) 177 We are not the only contenders with struggling starters or the worst struggling starters, since June.
  25. moonslav59
    Scherzer's last Nats start: 6 IP 3 hits 1 ER 3 BB 5 Ks Probably and hopefully west coast bound.
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