moonslav59

Nothing to lose. Loose as a goose. Grit and determination. What's not to like about this team? (Read the game threads and find out!)

A big test for the "recency bias." Just how recent is it? Is it just how well you did your last game? I, for one, still feel pretty confident in Robles, but not as much as I did before tonight.

8 masterful pen innings, today. We used 7 pitchers, today. We used 5 pitchers, Friday. We used 5 pitchers, Thursday. With yesterday off, no pitcher has pitched 2 straight days. Pivetta pitched 4.2 and 4.0 innings in game 1 and 3, but our 3 starting pitchers have been pulled early. I'm not sure so few innings for Sale and ERod make them any better choices to use again Gms Pitcher IP 2 Pivetta 8.2 1 Eovaldi 5.0 1 Houck 5.0 2 Brasier 2.0 1 ERod 1.2 2 Robles 1.2 1 Whitlock 1.1 1 Sale 1.0 2 Taylor 1.0 1 Ottavino 1.0 1 Barnes 1.0 1 Davis 0.1 1 Richards 0.1 0 Perez 0.0 You have to think everybody but Eovaldi & Pivetta are available, tomorrow. Whitlock may be avoided, if possible after 1.1 IP, tonight. I'm assuming ERod remains the SP'er on about as short a leash as can be imagined. Houck could maybe do what Pivetta did, tonight, but they may want to "save" him for a game 5 start on normal rest. How much do we trust Robles, now? (I still do more than anyone not named Brasier, Whitlock, Houck and maybe Taylor.) Big game, tomorrow.

...and Robles has been one our best RP'er through crunch time, until tonight.

I just mentioned the pyth record as one piece of evidence that shows the Yanks have not really had non injury bad luck over most of the years. To me, the main reason you guys never seem to be "as good as on paper" is the injuries, and it is something that happens more often than most teams, but not out of bad luck.

I thought the point was about who we drafted, since we couldn't count ERod, Whitlock and others as "ours.".

CERA is a mirage some brilliant poster came up with to distract from reality.

Pivetta was the co-hero with Vaz. Way to step up, Nick! What a game! I'm so glad they did away with the man on second rule for extra innings in the playoffs.

Who, in their right mind, would ever want to trade Vaz?

The doom and gloomers will be insufferable, if Eovaldi sputters out of the gate, or we get shutout after 2 or 3 innings. GIDPs really set them off. This team has had enough come from behind wins to convince everyone, it's not over until it's over. This team has also done the same thing on a macro scale. After going through some very bad and long stretches of losing, including being swept by the Yanks and losing series to bad teams, when the stakes were high, we found ways to bounce back and shut up the naysayers- for a few minutes, anyway. What gets me is that the same cycle keeps continuing over and over- like nothing is ever learned from the past. That's not to say all is rosy, and every fan should always be 100% positive and confident, but it's the finality of the vitriol and double downs on definitive judgments passed on players and the team, as a whole that are quickly forgotten after a key or decisive win, only to resurface again early in the next game that starts out badly.

For the same reason many posters get all gah-gah over any pitcher that has done well, recently. The recency bias, which for pitchers holds a lot more weight. Wacha's previous 4 games: 5.0 IP 1H 0ER 1BB 2K 5.0 IP 0H 0ER 2BB 6K 3.0 IP 3H 1ER 0BB 4K That's 1 hit and 0 ER in his last 10 IP. It's like bashing Cora for brining in Houck.

We will almost certainly need someone or two to step up in a big way, and that is assuming Eovaldi, Houck and a few other Sox pitchers that have done well, recently, continue to do so. As of right now, with the recency bias playing a big role in our confidence levels, here is how I line up our staff: Very High confidence: Eovaldi Houck High confidence: Whitlock Robles Brasier Moderate confidence: Taylor Davis Pivetta Low confidence: Ottavino ERod Sale Very Low confidence: Barnes Perez Inactive: Richards Sawamura DHern Valdez

Well said. This series is far from over. While I admire Kimmi's confidence, us winning in 4 will be very difficult. Us winning in 5 as well.

Yes, they did, and who here thinks they will combine for 1,212 or more PAs in 2022? While the 33 year old LeMahieu might have been playing hurt all year, he still got 679 PAs. How many can we expect, next year?

No, the Yanks are far from being a s*** team, and I agree that your teams often look very good on paper, when you assume great or even normal health. I could be wrong in assuming the excessive Yankee injuries should be expected and even counted on. Do you Yankee fans disagree with my position? Here are the winning percentages of recent Yankee teams starting with 2021 and going backwards: .568 .550 .636 .617 .562 .519 .537 .519 .525 Your pythW-L% was lower than the actual number in 6 of these 9 years, including 3 of the last 4 years. While your teams have done well for many years, maybe they are not under performing as much as you think.

Frankie Montas came after Buchholz.

Plus, not to think past one game at a time, Eovaldi in game 3 lines him up for game 1 of the ALCS.

I see him about to repeat the same evaluation of next year's Yankee team "on paper" and assume hardly anybody gets hurt. No doubt, if the Yanks just had normal injuries, this year and in previous years, they'd have won a lot more. That's one reason why they always look so good on paper, but keep coming up short. Why should that change, if they bring back the same injury-prone players or replace some with bulky players from the same mold? The other reason they keep coming up short is that being from NY, they get a lot of attention, and maybe some of their players just aren't and never were as good as the hype made them out to be.

Bloom was also bashed for not picking up pen help and then crucified when Robles and Davis struggled early on. His post deadline additions of Iggy & Shaw were also masterful.

That's just not true. Our farm was on the rise before we drafted Mayer and others. The trades the Yanks made gave up a lot of that "depth" you speak of. It's hard to imagine giving up almost a dozen of your best depth prospects and still think you have better depth than the Sox. The Sox had a lot of mid to lower level prospects have good to monster years. Sure, a few did not or got hurt, but we have some nice depth, now. We also just saw some very nice talent graduate from prospect level (Houck, Whitlock & Dalbec). I think not mentioning Duran & Yorke is telling. Our depth includes Bello, Seabold, Jordan, Groome, Jimenez, Mata, Wilkelman, Song, Winckowski and more.

You still have Stanton, Judge, Andujar and whatever big bulky new injury-prone players Cashman adds.

I think it is easier to evaluate how good pitchers are in the minors vs in college, and the Rays focus on this area and excel at it. You're right: it's not always about drafting and IFAs.

Hard to expect a big change overnight, but there are some encouraging signs. Houck & Whitlock Seabold & Winckowski Bello, Wilkelman & Walters Groome & Mata Murphy & Song I think this group is as good as we've seen in several years.

I’m not sure it should be easy, but it shouldn’t be this hard. I still count young pitchers acquired by trade, but I can understand not doing so. I’m really high on Bello.

Last year, Stanton, Judge and Andujar played less than half the games. Several other everyday players missed time, too. Don't pretend the injuries have only occurred to your pitchers. It's been an ongoing reality for several years in a row. Didn't Stanton miss pretty much all of 2019? That's almost as bad as losing the 3 you mentioned, this year, but you had other injuries that year, too- not just to pitchers. I think Gregorius & Judge missed a bunch of games...maybe Hicks, too. The Yanks set a record in 2019. Have you forgotten that? https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/yankees-set-mlb-record-for-most-injured-players-in-a-single-season-as-gio-urshela-hits-il/ Now, you act like it should be a surprise. I think your GM or your new GM will have to change his roster building strategy to address the amount of injury-prone players on your roster, year-after-year. You can point to how great your team is on paper, but if they never play, what good are they?