moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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My Iggy is the SS/2Bman.
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So you went with MVP's EE. Interesting. I'm going to say... ERod S Matz Graveman Iggy My second choice might be... Semien (not sure we trade Bogey, even if we add him) Matz Graveman
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Let's say he'll get $11M arb, this year and $21M, next year: that's $32M/2. I'd add that to $268M/10 and make it an even $300M/12 as the top offer. We could probably get him to go for an 8-9 year deal.
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I'd like to say whatever it takes, but there is a limit. I'm not good at setting contractual estimates. Pay the kid.
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fangraphs has +130.2 career RAR (+46.5 in 2021). BR has +106 career and +35 in 2021. You are looking at DEF not RAR on fangraphs. Here are some defensive numbers from fangraphs: Bogey: -55 DRS in 9140 innings +0.3 UZR/150 Devers -38 DRZ in 4651 innings -4.3 UZR/150 Both of these numbers show Bogey is a better defender, but he plays SS. Here's a comparative look by position: SS (36 SS's with 1,000 innings at SS 2019-2021) UZR/150 #16 Bogey (right in the middle) DRS T#33 Bogey 3B (32 3Bmen with 1,000+ innings from '19-'21 UZR/150 #26 Devers DRS #32 Devers To me, I'd give Devers another year to improve at 3B. Hopefully, he'll work on it over the summer. We should also know more about Dalbec and Casas at 1B, and if moving Devers there makes any sense. I don't like the idea of putting Devers in LF. I might prefer moving Dalbec, but trading him might make more sense.
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It seems several posters are looking at players who play filled positions, too.
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-10.3 RAR? 1. Devers is much younger and can improve more than Bogey can or will. 1B. Devers is still years from prime. Extending Bogey will bring him past prime. 2. Devers has shown long stretches of being a plus defender. IMO, Bogey has not. 3. SS defense is way more important than 3B defense, so if I have to choose one to improve- it's SS. As for this... But in both cases I look at total WAR, myself. Both of them are such good hitters that they much more than compensate for their defense. Of course Bogey ius an over plus, and by a lot. I have never even hinted otherwise. I admit by SS defense bias is borderline obsessive, but that's not going to change, soon. Looking at just D, I'd rather have Devers at 3B than Bogey at SS. Looking at projected overall WAR over the length of an an extension, I'll take Devers, and IMO, it's not even close.
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It's probably pretty close to the last date whereby a full MLB schedule could be played after a rushed ST'ing.
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Will the Sox give Eduardo Rodriguez a Qualifying Offer?
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
And GMs see and know that, so why should he wait until he's a year older to cash in on something large and long? GMs are not fantasy baseball GMs. They actually know to look beyond ERA. -
In this case, they both would place him 4th, but that was not the point. You often use past WAR when you like somebody and projected WAR when you don't or are trying to be a contrarian to someone pumping up a Sox player. It's the optics.
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No and Yes. No big enough raise to Bogey that keeps him here. Yes, extend Devers. Devers Forevers.
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That's beside my point. You pick and choose between 2 numbers- whichever makes the Sox look worse of the M's look better.
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Yes. I get the reason. It's funny how harmony uses projected WAR for Sox players and past WAR for M's players like France.
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Will the Sox give Eduardo Rodriguez a Qualifying Offer?
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
He's never been below 3.80, so thinking 3.50 is a bit unrealistic. My guess, is, if he stays, you'll project 4.50. He'll be a year older, next year. He has a very nice last 2/3of the season, and GMs see that. He will not take the QO, IMO. -
Yes, very low projections for everyone, right?
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Flat and low rollercoasters are not fun.
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harmony, you know these projections are always very conservative. What do the project Castillo, Montas, Bassit and Maneae to be?
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Don't you have to be good, at some point, to bounce back? Oh, I get it. That is the joke!
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4.33 places him 39th out of 53 pitchers with 450+ IP since 2018. He's 63 out of 100 with 350+ IP. I guess that's close to average. Also, close to bottom third tier.
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Oh, I get how we get to yes. I see Houck as a possible great closer for 5 years, but I'm all about top end SP'ing. Yes, Castillo's control bothers me, but he has a nice K rate and the 7.7 Hits per 9 is nice.
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The 5 years for 2 makes me worry, but I think I'd do it.
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It's certainly based on some big assumptions for a pitcher about to turn 29 and with 2 years of control left. We were able to extend Pedro. I'm not Castillo will, or if it's worth extending him. The kid has a lot of talent and has shown he can pitch, though. Last 3 yrs: 131 ERA+ 3.56 FIP
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Cause someone had to start the ball rolling.
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4 have rejected their QO- as expected: Castellanos Conforto C Seager Semien
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I'd put Houck ahead of Whitlock for the same reason, but I still think he belongs in the group of 5.
