Looks about right. Criswell, Hicks and Moran are out of options, so probably all 3 start on the 26 man roster opening day (or IL.)
I like Harrison and Dobbins and think one can and might win the 5 slot from Crawford, who could move to the pen. (Harrison & Dobbins may be in the pen, as well.)
Early, Tolle and Perales are the big wild cards, and with all that talent, my guess is one will shine in '26 and win a key role somewhere on the 13 man staff. Another big boost could come from Slaten doubling his IP from 2025 and pitching like 2024 not 2025.
I hate planning on hopes and promises, but every team does to some extent. I liked how you highlighted that just 6 pitchers are considered "core." That should be more like 8-9 on a highly competitive team. Having 15 decent choices to fill the other 7 slots is a nice thing to have, but if we have to trial and error it through 8 guys who stink up the place to find the right 7, we may be out of it before we know it. That also assumes the core 6 stay healthy.
This team needed depth for many years and we have it, now. It is time to move from quantity to quality, while keeping just enough depth. That is not easy to plan, and we saw how trading Priester, last season blew up in our faces.