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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    It looks that way. That being said, we have a lot of ML ready and recent grads on our roster and in our system, right now. I'm not sure how many GM want these guys, and it looks like keeping our best prospects has been a high priority from before DD's tenure ended. I see 15, maybe more... 6 Recent Grads: Bello Wong Ort Wink Crawford Duran 3 Prospects with ML experience already: Casas Kelly German 6 Prospects expected to reach MLB by season's end: Mata Walter Murphy EValdez Rafaela Ro Hern 2-3 Possibles from... Mayer Abreu Hamilton S Scott Kavadas
  2. moonslav59
    We are currently about $37M below 2022's CB number. That's basically: 20 Bogey 17 Nate
  3. moonslav59
    If we sign Andrus or trade for some salary, we may end up in the top 5-7. We know we are setting, so we won't pass anybody going over. That's for sure.
  4. moonslav59
    It was $185M in 2020 and $208 in 2021. Before that, 2017 was at $192M CB.
  5. moonslav59
    cots says we have $28M to spend, and why delay the Devers tax hit to 2024, unless we plan ons pending, this season? $28M is enough to sign Andrus, Fulmer and maybe one from Duvall or Profar. We might trade to open roster slots and not need all 4. How about... Dalbec and Ort for Michael A Taylor. Murphy for Wendle Sign Andrus and Fulmer Keep some money for the deadline.
  6. moonslav59
    Bleis might be number 2, when Casas graduates, but he is too far away. I'm not sure what guys like Lugo and Bonaci bring back in trade, but probably nothing impactful. I'd like to keep Romero, but I get your point. What can we get for Duran & Dalbec?.
  7. moonslav59
    I honestly think it's better, but guys like Hamilton, EValdez and Dalbec may end up just like Rosario. I don't think I'm kidding myself in thinking our bottom of the roster is greatly improving, thanks in large part to our farm's improvement over the last 3-4 years. Is this our bottom 10, now? Brasier Ort Hamilton EValdez Duran Dalbec Murphy Mills Winckowski Paxton/Crawford/German This was the bottom of the opening day 2019 40 man roster: Chandler Shepherd Sam Travis T-W Lin Lakins Poyner Walden Denyi Reyes DHern Chavis Brewer/Velazquez/BJohnson/Thornburg/Swihart Now, I get that it's easier, in hindsight, to look at the 2019 list and say, "Yuck," but I still like the current bottom 10 better than even the 2019 team that had high hopes on opening day.
  8. moonslav59
    I actually see it as a sign of roster improvement to think there are now only 2-3 players we can say this about, now. Here's a list I came up with for the bottom of the 40 lists from recent years: 2019: Gorkys Hernandez Chris Owings Trevor Kelly Bobby Poyner Colten Brewer Jhoulys Chacin T-W Lin Juan Centeno Travis Lakins Josh A Smith Marcus Walden Ryan Weber Mike Shawaryn Andrew Cashner Hector Velazquez That's 15 names we had along with Brasier, DHern, Brian Johnson, Hembree, Holt and Leon. Half the roster handed to Bloom were these guys with nobody on the farm, but Houck, Dalbec and Duran. 2020: Some of the same names, but add Kickham, Covey, Brice, Triggs, Chavis, Arauz, Puello, Peraza, Grullo, Chatham, Leyer Last season's bottom of the 40 at the end of the season included: Arauz Bazardo Ro Hernandez Cordero PValdez DSantana TShaw ADavis Seabold
  9. moonslav59
    Maybe they saw the same thing on Seabold with Ward. Without knowing all they know, it does look like a mistake. Maybe we get lucky and trade Brasier. Afterall, we got McGuire for Diekman, so stranger things do happen. If we sign someone like Andrus, we will need to DFA another player- or trade one. My guess is Ort goes. I will add that once we get beyond #39 and #40, it's a much better "bottom of the list" than a year, two or three ago.
  10. moonslav59
    There seems to have been a massive shift in team philosophy in just one year's time. We went from feeling so strongly about the need to upgrade OF Defense, and particularly RF defense that we traded away a 98 RBI guy for a known offensive blackhole but great defender to play RF in 2022. Now, we seem okay with playing Dugo in RF, despite not playing him there, at all in 2022, until we dumped JBJ and traded for Pham. We even played Duran and Cordero in RF over Dugo. Then, we replace Dugo in RF with someone maybe better suited to DH. Duran may now be our CF'er? Good GOD! Sign Andrus and trade for Michael A Taylor. Maybe trade for Wendle, too.
  11. moonslav59
    I have no beef with him being above all these guys, and even Seabold is not someone I'd go to bat over. I think I'd prefer Seabold over Brasier due to age and options remaining, but the point you brought up about Sebold's stuff just not playing up to the ML level makes sense. It's pretty close between Ort and Brasier, and if we add a SS, we may see Ort go.
  12. moonslav59
    I get it. I don't agree he is worth the arb process. I had Seabold above Ort (and others) due to his .656 OPS Against. Only Bello and Keller had a better OPS and more IP than he did, unless you count Wikelman (.623 in A-/A+) and Encarnacion (.642 in A-/A+). Seabold was at .646 in 2021- mostly at AAA (.667). (3rd best on Woo.)
  13. moonslav59
    I'm not sure I'd call Whitlock one, either.
  14. moonslav59
    I just don't get why he's worth even the min wage, let alone what he'll get in arb or in a pre-arb agreement.
  15. moonslav59
    An economical response, indeed.
  16. moonslav59
    A bit surprising, to me. It's not like I had a lot of faith in him, but he put up some real good numbers in the minors. I had Brasier and Ort higher on my DFA list.
  17. moonslav59
    He seems to be very strategic about his largest and longest signings. They usually come right before a window looks to be opening, and when a big hole seems to be a major stumbling block. Only the Sale extension does not really fit that model, but one could argue Price's pending decline pointed towards the need to have a bonafide ace from 2020 to 2024. I think the Devers deal was needed to keep fans from an all out revolt... not that this is the only reason he was extended.
  18. moonslav59
    How often do you not respond when someone incorrectly states your position?
  19. moonslav59
    I gave this winter a D, but if we sign Andrus or trade for a decent SS, I'd maybe go to C-.
  20. moonslav59
    From JH's perspective? Who knows? I doubt he was or is happy about the Price signing, because maybe we win a ring without him, and $217M for 1 rings blows the other equations away. The Sale extension looks bad. Look at the top 6 contracts: 1 ring- total. $217M/7 Price $154M/7 Agon $145M/5 Sale $142M/7 Crawford $140M/6 Story $120M/6 Bogey (opt out after $60M/3) I don't count the 2018 Bogey ring, because the contract really just added 2022 to his control years. It's the very large and long contracts that probably scare JH the most.
  21. moonslav59
    Maybe a .240 BA and .790 OPS, but yes on all the rest.
  22. moonslav59
    Upfront money is a huge selling point. Investing up front money in hand well can become way more than getting it piecemeal over years and years.
  23. moonslav59
    Yes, that sums it up. I do go to extremes to counter extremism. I've tried ignoring posters a few times with mixed results. I'll try to do better going forward, but it's hard to ignore it when someone mischaracterizes my position- sometimes to a point where it is the opposite of what I wrote. I was raised to defend myself, so it's hard to ease up, there, but I will try.
  24. moonslav59
    I disagree. I try to see all sides to an issue and am accepting of differing views. I try to add context to views I find extreme. I defend you and jacko many times for providing objective and differing viewpoints. No doubt, I get caught up in personal BS and lastwordism and often go to extremes on details and pointing out misstatements.
  25. moonslav59
    I think the rule about over 30 pitchers is not a bad one. There are exceptions, like Scherzer and Lester, but what is it about those two that scream out they wer4e exceptions back when they were signed, longterm? It's not an exact science. Maybe it is just blind luck- maybe not. Even pitchers who have aged very well, like Verlander have missed full seasons here and there. Timing might be the real luck factor. Even on shorter deals: look at the Martin Perez example. We pay him next to peanuts to pitch for us on 2 one year deals. Nobody wanted him back in 2022, and look what happened. Curse? Incompetence? Bad luck? Bad timing?
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