moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Maybe now MIA will trade us Wendle.
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Pablo Lopez to Twins for Luis Arraez (with Jose Salas & Byron Chourio)!
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If how players ended the previous season have anything to do with carrying over to the next year... 1.069 Casas in last 51 PAs (.441 in first 44 PAs) .940 Turner in last 289 PAs .877 McGuire in last 108 PAs .847 Verdugo in last 229 PAs (.784 in last 481 PAs) .806 Arroyo in last 173 PAs .722 Dalbec in last 132 PAs (.798 in last 30 PAs) .691 Kike in last 277 PAs (.491 in first 125 PAs) Departing players: .780 Bogey last 361 PAs .672 JD in last 316 PAs (.693 in last 423 PAs) .672 Pham in 235 PAs w BOS .631 Hosmer in 50 PAs w BOS .585 Vaz in last 108 PAs (w HOU) .497 Cordero last 136 PAs Devers is the only returning player who dropped off at the end of 2022.
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Prepared to be shocked.
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A look at Bobby Dalbec: Is he a player we should totally write-off? Maybe give one more chance? (If yes, when and where?) .959 first 92 PAs of career (2020) .718 first 57 PAs of 2021 .382 next 51 PAs ('21) .862 next 102 PAs ('21) .556 next 104 PAs ('21) 1.114 last 139 PAs of 2021 .000 in 12 PAs of 2021 playoffs .440 first 89 PAs of '22 .824 next 83 PAs of '22 .556 next 49 PAs '22 .722 last 132 of '22 Career: .754 in 898 PAs. Career Line per 650 PAs: .232 33 95
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We probably could have still gotten something useful for Hill, Wacha and Nate. Strahm, too. Not trading JD to get under the tax line was the obvious mistake, and not just in hindsight. Bogey had a no-trade clause, and it seemed like we really did want him back, at that time, but in hindsight, we now wonder.
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JD did look "cooked" in the second half of 2022: .234/.299/.401/.400 last 69 games 18 2B+3B 8 HRs 29 RBI .312/.379/.493/.872 first 70 games 26 2B+3B 8 HR 33 RBI Compare these numbers to Turner: .220/.293/.356/.649 first half (20 2B and 4 HRs w 35 RBI) .336/.406/.522/.928 2nd half (16 2B and 9 HRs w 46 RBI)
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OPS+ adjusts to the new norm, so it would reflect the drop off in offense by the whole league from 2021 to 2022. The same OPS would be a higher OPS+ in 2022.
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I was for a massive fire sale. I know Red was not, so I did not mention it. I'm not sure if Bloom was on board with a fire sale or not.
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Sox Prospects, recent grads and players under 28 and with 3+ years of team control by position: Pitchers 19 Perales, Rodriguez-Cruz, Paez 20 Wikelman 22 L Guerrero 23 Bello, Mata, Uberstine 24 German, Winckowski, Murphy 26 Whitlock, Houck, Walter, Crawford 27 Kelly C 18 Brannon 23 Hickey 25 RHern 26 Wong 27 McGuire 1B 20 Jordan 22 Casas 24 Kavadas 27 Dalbec 2B 18 Coffey 20 Yorke, Paulino (OF), Bonaci 24 EValdez 25 Hamilton 27 Arroyo SS 16 L Arredondo 17 Y Cespedes, F Arias, Y Ruiz 19 Mayer 19 Romero 3B 21 Lugo 24 Koss 26 Devers OF 18 Bleis, Anthony 22 Rafaela 23 WAbreu 25 Duran 26 Verdugo
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Love it. Perfect analogy.
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I wish we had extended Bogey, earlier, but not knowing what it would have taken makes it hard for me to say it was a mistake. I agree, the $30M addition to the existing deal was a slap in the face, but we don't know $160M/6 would have gotten a deal done a year or two ago. We don't know if $170 or $180M would have gotten him to sign. ZIt seems like he would have, but it's all speculation. I wish we kept Bogey, too, but at what cost? I am pretty certain he'd have earned $160M/6 and even $180M/6, but even that is speculation. On Vaz, I thought you disliked trading him away, last summer.
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I adressed that comment to a non-believer.
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Like the Vaz signing, this winter. You don't like it, but you'll blame Bloom for letting Vaz go. Like the Bogey deal, but you blame Bloom for not signing him for less, earlier. Nee more?
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But, you fault the GM for not making deals you don't like.
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...and Vaz was a back-up on the Astros, too, so both of you can be right.
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Improving on Plawecki should not be hard to do.
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Is this a fair assessment to you? The bad decisions between 2021 and 2022: Renfroe for JBJ Paxton signing Diekman signing Spent money on Story not the pen and 1B bench Failed to trade for 1B or RF between May and July. The so-so/decent to good moves: Strahm signing Hill signing Wacha signing Refsnyder signing Schreiber signing (from '21 move) Diekman for McGuire trade It's not about the number of good vs bad, right? I agree the JBJ trade outweighs 2-3 good moves, but do you view the overall moves made by Bloom after 2021 as a net minus?
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I still think he was a net plus with us. A clear net plus. His defense was helped by his pitch-framing skills, blocking bad pitches and having a decent throwing arm. My only issue with him was how pitchers seemed to do worse with him than Leon and Plawecki. I'm not sure Vaz will be as good over the term of his next contract. I have a little more faith in the younger McGuire and Wong than Vaz and Plawecki, going forward, but I know it's just a guess. It's two different issue trying to determine if McGuire and Wong will be better than the 2022 catching tandem and which tandem would be better for 2023 and going forward.
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Nope. last place means we sucked.
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Here is another look that should factor in mushballs: OPS+ Listed in order of leading in PAs in 2021 Red+ Improved '21 Player '22 134 Devers 141 128 JD M 117 107 Dugo 102 129 Bogey 131 108 Kike 75 114 Renfroe> 60 JBJ 77 Vaz 109 107 Dalbec 80 53 Marwin> 102 Story 103 Arroyo 103 98 Plawecki 61 155 Schwarber > 86 Pham
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Again, you misrepresent my view. I was happy with Vaz. I never wanted him demoted to back-up or replaced via trade, until I wanted a fire sale of all expiring contracts, last summer. Just like Bogey, I liked both and wanted them on the Sox. I had an issue with their defense, and with Vaz's handling of the staff. I never said Vaz was not "good enough" or even implied it. I'm not sure McGuire will be an upgrade. I'm hopeful his defense and pitcher handling will outweigh the expected loss on offense, but Vaz was inconsistent from year to year on offense, so it's hard to know what the offensive bar is for McGuire.
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The two situations were a little different, but yes, not just Japanese players are ranked as prospects. Mocada was 18 when he left the Cuban league. Abreu played until age 25.
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I didn't say anything was wrong with it, especially if you think Bloom is always wrong. You say what you believe. There is nothing wrong with that.
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The regressions for just about every vet doomed the 2022 team and injuries forced us into 3rd and 4th depth chart replacements. OPS 2021>2022 Our top 4 PAs players both seasons: .890>.879 Devers .867>.790 JD .863>.833 Bogey .777>.732 Dugo Others: .792>.652 Dalbec .786>.629 Kike .769>.739 Arroyo .737>.574 Plawecki Only pluses: .659>.759 Vaz .578>.645 Duran .567 Mawrin> .672 Pham Ouch: .816 Renfroe>.578 JBJ .957 Schwarber> .737 Story
