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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I'd rather have our roster and budget outlook than the Phillies. Sooner or later, the Philly ownership will realize their spending has put them into a corner. Some of these "stars" are signed until their late 30's. We'll be seeing the Nick Castellanos situation repeat itself to varying degrees on 1 or 2 of these "stars." You want Nola the star? (95 ERA+ since 2023) Brez would be roasted for that contract. Wheeler has been great but has 25 GS since opening day 2025. Turner is a helluva player who I'd love to have, but his OPS+ has declined from 120 w WSH to 116 w PHI and he has a lotta years left after this age 33 season. Is Realmuto a star you'd want? Harper and Schwarber look worth the money, and I'd like to have Wheeler, too, but...
  2. moonslav59
    ...and somehow bringing this up is saying we are okay with where we are in teh standings.
  3. moonslav59
    I'd prefer Contreras, Suarez & Durbin over Bregman & Alonso. Gray and Oviedo are still largely TBD, but I doubt Dobbins & Fitts would be doing much better. (Harrison has started out okay.)
  4. moonslav59
    The thing about Duran is that he's had a history of ups and downs (granted small sample sizes inn MLB from '21-'22,) changing stance and batting approaches, dealing with defensive inconsistencies, and then he had 1 and half really good seasons (2023-2024) followed by a nice 2025 season but a clear drop off. 128 OPS+ '23-'24 (.832) 11.2 bWAR in 262 games (.04 per game) 117 OPS+ 2025 (.774) 4.7 bWAR in 157 games (.03 per game) Repeating 2025 or just coming close would be fine, but I'm not sure it should have been projected as such.
  5. moonslav59
    Good, then you agree or disagree to disagree, which is two negatives. Got it. 🤪
  6. moonslav59
    Who signed the 1.3 bWAR 1Bman (second on team in bWAR) and 0.7 SPer (tied for best bWAR pitcher on the team?) Hint: The same guy who "insulted" Bregman with an overpay offer and the same guy who didn't come close to signing Alonso, Schwarber and Cease.
  7. moonslav59
    The Phillies have the same record as we do and a GM who had a ton of money locked up in aging stars. How is DD wanting Cora proof that Brez in the problem?
  8. moonslav59
    I believe the wording was something like "a mutual departure," but the word was the upper brass had soured on Tito.
  9. moonslav59
    By your chosen metric, maybe not. I use OPS and he declined, and as I clearly pointed out, his two, good half seasons saved his ass. OPS+ 127 ('22-'23) to 122 ('23-'24) is a decline, right? wRC+ 131 ('22-'23) to 121 ("24-'25) is not decline? Okay, he happened to have a worse 2 years from '20-'21 (116) although 2020 was less than half a season and only 91 games in 2021. That's your proof he didn't decline? It was 132 games combined and he had an injury. The guy had a couple great seasons and the two before those were better than any 2 afterwards. He declined. I pointed out he had an uptick after '20-'21, but then declined by a lesser amount after that. Both OPS+ and wRC+ show that to be a fact. Of course, you will never admit you were wrong, so let's just agree to disagree.
  10. moonslav59
    I'm hoping for the best, but coming down to this is not a good sign. I remember soxprospects.com had Bennett projected in AA back in December. We traded away some extended rotation depth to try and add more quality. While the Perales for Bennett trade was sort of sideways, many felt it was due to Perales needing to be on the 40 and Bennet not, yet here we are. This might have been the all healthy rotation depth chart, this year: 1 Crochet IL 2 Suarez 3 Gray IL 4 Houck IL (known to be out for the season) 5/6 Bello & Oviedo IL 60 Days 7/8 Crawford IL & Sandoval IL 9/10 Early IL & Tolle IL 11 Uberstine IL 12/13... Bennett, Rivera, Anderson _____________________________ SP'ers traded/let loose last winter/summer: Giolito, Buehler, DMay, Newcomb, Fulmer & Priester Dobbins, Fitts, Harrison, Criswell Sandlin & Winckowski Not MLB depth: Clarke, Travieso, Fajardo & Aita
  11. moonslav59
    I most certainly read you post, and there was most certainly a big decline after 2019- expected or not. There was a lesser decline after 2023, and again, not unexpected but for real.
  12. moonslav59
    More supporting evidence on why Duran should lead off.
  13. moonslav59
    Eaton on 40- Romero not. Keeping all options open.
  14. moonslav59
    Indeed, same with all sports we really enjoy watching.
  15. moonslav59
    I specifically gave the numbers. He clearly declined from 2018-2019>> and then again from 2022-2023>> I'm not saying he's the only guy to ever decline after age 25, but he has declined and is now at the age where nearly everyone declines- some drastically. Not sure what Betts has to do with it. I wouldn't pay Betts this money either, at this point in his career.
  16. moonslav59
    True. Wasn't watching baseball as a kid and teen funner for all of us?
  17. moonslav59
    Correct, but the bottom line is the first to final offers to Bregman were both massive overpays for a guy who had shown decline over several seasons. If it wasn't for two half-seasons for doing well (first half 2025 and second half 2024) his overall trend line would have been plain for all to see. After a tremendous 2018-2019 stretch of 157 OPS+ batting and near GG defense, he drop off pretty steadily and dramatically, except for an uptick in '22-'23. (He has a 144 OPS over his first 4 seasons.) 114 OPS+ '20-'21 127 from '22-'23 (still closer to 114 than 157 or 111) 122 from '24-'25 at ages 30 & 31. Most players drop off after 30-31, so a continuing downward trend should have been expected. Granted, he helped in the clubhouse and played plus defense, but he wasn't worth even the "insulting first offer."
  18. moonslav59
    I totally agree, but unless the overall budget was allowed to go higher, if you spend more on Schwarber and or Swanson, you choose to leave other slots neglected.
  19. moonslav59
    Good point, and $3M is much less than we spent on guys like Sandoval, Buehler, Hendriks, Paxton, Kluber, Richards...
  20. moonslav59
    Assuming he was healthy, I thought he might be our 4 or 5, yes. Thought Crawford might do something, too.
  21. moonslav59
    Jack Anderson or Ed Rivera? Holobetz?
  22. moonslav59
    True, *you forgot Narvaez .726>.617 but also... 2025>2026 Durbin .721>.524 IKF .625>.499 Monasterio .755>.678
  23. moonslav59
    Those who graduate from Chevrolet U fire the coaches, too.
  24. moonslav59
    Shudder.
  25. moonslav59
    Arias homered.
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