moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Those two certainly look like major keys to our 2023 success, but I like the fact that we have many others that can step it up and give the team a big boost, in case one or both of these guys do not excel. Yoshiad Turner Casas Duvall Kike/Arroyo Dugo/Ref/Tapia Kluber Whitlock Houck Crawinck Martin Maybe a surprise from someone not mentioned.
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I still think this past winter was Bloom's "legacy" or "Make or break" winter. I'm not going to move the goalpost, here, but I will point out that the massive rise in top FA costs did make the total possible value added through free agency more difficult than I had thought, before the winter began. It's sink or swim time for Chaim. He may not be fired, if we do poorly due to injuries, but I expect he will be, if we fail to look good.
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6 or 7 games left for most teams and only 4 teams are eliminated from the playoffs: 16-59 Detroit 18-58 Houston 19-56 San Antonio 26-51 Charlotte Only 2 teams are within one game of being eliminated. 32-44 Orlando 32-43 Portland 10 Western teams are still on the playoff bubble, and 3 have clinched slots. 8 Easterns teams are on the bubble, while 5 have clinched. 10 teams from each conference make the playoffs.
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What are posters' beliefs on these over/unders? Or, just say the one you think is the most clear over and most clear under... OPS .870 Devers .815 Yoshida .790 Turner .785 Casas .780 Duvall .750 Verdugo .750 Kike .740 Arroyo .700 McGuire ERA 3.40 Whitlock 3.50 Sale 3.75 Houck 4.15 Bello 4.25 Kluber 4.50 Pivetta 4.60 Crawford 4.70 Winckowski Saves 34 Jansen
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Under Devers 145 Over Verdugo 145 Over Yoshida 145 Over Casas 130 Over Kike 130 Over Turner 130 Over Duvall 120 Under McGuire 110 Over Arroyo 90 Over Story 80 Under GS Pivetta 27+ Over Kluber 25+ Under Whitlock 23+ Over Sale 20+ Over Paxton 15+ Under Houck 15+ Under (in pen) Bello 15+ Over Crawford 12+ Over (due to expected injuries) Winckowski 10+ Under (Bello and Crawford will do well.)
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I always thought Bell was pretty rational about Chaim, all along- not pro or anti.
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Horrendous? 2022 CERA & Most PAs with each catcher (OPS): 4.21 Vaz 456 Pivetta .692 262 Hill .790 215 Whitlock .670 202 Wacha .720 174 Houck .551 4.32 Plawecki 303 Nate .748 251 Wacha .527 149 Wink .859 124 Crawford .742 101 Hill .642 Maybe the guy who caught more of Crawford and Wink might than Whitlock and Houck should get an adjustment. Plawecki also did better with Wacha and Hill- the two guys they both caught, a lot.
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I totally agree. We don't really know what McGuire will bring to our staff. I'm hopeful our scouts and talent evaluators know what they are doing, but it's not like they have a perfect track record. Last year, they almost traded for Stallings. His offensive numbers fell off a cliff and I see no evidence his CERA-related abilities were better than other catchers on the Marlins. Fingers crossed.
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I've often been criticized for bringing up CERA-related issues and the small or unbalanced nature of the sample sizes, but using McGuire's very short and highly lop-sided sample size from 2022 is really pushing it. First of all, many of our best pitchers were on the IL for much or all of his time, here. Second, his sample sizes were tiny with each pitcher and very lop-sided when compared to Vaz and Plawecki, when looking at who he caught, mostly. Plus, there has to be an adjustment period, and he is basically starting ovr, this spring, as much of staff is brand new to him.
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He also played just over 290 games over his first 5 seasons in MLB. As much as I have criticized his work with our staff, I still think he was a net plus and a good guy in the clubhouse. I'm hopeful this catching group can outperform the last one, fairly quickly.
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Speaking of the IL, covers has this... Red Sox ETAs: Thur?: Kike, Turner Mid April: Whitlock, Paxton Late April: Bello Mid July: Story Indefinitely: Mondesi, Mills, Rodriguez Yankee ETAs: Thur?: N Cortes, Marinaccio, Rortvedt Early APR: Severino Late APR: Rodon, Bader, Kahnle, A Wells Mid May: Trivino Indefinitely: Montas, Gil Season: Effross
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If everyone was healthy, this would likely be the 26 man roster and the Woo roster: The Healthy 26 Sale, Kluber, Whitlock, Paxton, Pivetta Jansen, Martin, Houck, Rodriguez, Brasier, Bleier, Crawford, Kelly McGuire, Wong Casas, Turner (DH) Arroyo Hernandez, Mondesi Devers Yoshida Duvall, Tapia Verdugo, Refsnyder AAA & AA (ML Ready or close) Bello, Winckowski, Mata, Walter, Murphy, Gudino Mills, Ort, Sheriff, Fernandez, Mosqueda, Shugart, Dermody, Feltman, Altavilla Alfaro, CHamilton, RHernandez Dalbec, Palka EValdez, EDiaz, Sogard Chang, DHamilton, Goodrum Koss, Fitzy Duran, Wilson Rafaela, Allen Crook, Abreu
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I wasn't aware Mondesi was so far away. I'm still wondering about the out-of-the-system pitcher they were seeking.
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Maybe they felt he was a flop at 2B.
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Someone would likely trade for Duran and Dalbec, but their stock is likely too low, right now to make it worthwhile. I think the Sox hope they build value to a point where we can trade them for something better, of they can contribute on the big club in 2023 or 2024. I do think our AAA depth looks better than recent years, and we will be seeing some of them on the big club to open the season- replacing Story, Mondesi, Whitlock, Rodriguez and maybe Bello and Mills who might have won an opening day slot.
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Not exactly. He could not/would not make our 40, either.
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I agree with 5GG's- good post. I'd like to add... #2: I think Kike has gone 1-2 seasons without getting hurt and spending time on the DL/IL. I think he was on the bench due to manager's choice not injury. #3: Yes, Casas probably has to "do it now" for the Sox to have a good chance in 2023, but I think we can still win, if he just fields better than Dalbec & Cordero (which he can do on one leg and one eye closed) and just hits .725. (I'm confident he will end up near .800.) #4: Turner was one of MLB's best second half hitters in 2022- for what that is worth. #5: The bar set by Vaz and Plawecki may not be hard to reach. #6: Yoshida needs to be "da MAN!" We gotta hope Mondesi replaces Chang and Story comes back and allows Kike to play CF.
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Not Politi.
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Done! Ort for Pache.
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After a nice start to ST'ing, we ended up 14-14 with a +3 run diff. Among players with 25+ PAs, here are some OPS numbers: 1.390 Alfaro 1.020 Turner 1.013 Casas 4 HRs, 9 XBHs and 10 RBI in 57 ABs .988 Tapia 8 XBHs in 43 ABs .950 Devers .938 Duvall 4 HRs and 9 XBhs in 51 ABs .844 Arroyo .818 Valdez .814 Dalbec 8 XBHs in 51 ABs .810 Fitzgerald 10+ IP 1.13 Winckowski 2.70 Kelly 3.24 Kluber 4.15 Crawford 4.80 Sale 6.11 Pivetta 6.30 Scheiber 9.58 Ort Notables with less than 10 IP 0.00 Dermody 8.1 IP 0.00 Mata 7.0 IP 0.00 Sheriff 6.2 IP 0.00 Whitlock 5.0 2.25 Feltman 8.0 2.25 Mosqueda 8.0
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I get it, but he technically lost $50K, today, but yes, he gained a prospect.
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Wouldn't have made $100K had he refused?
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It has been a little worrisome. Let's hope we right the ship when the real games begin.
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2 of the runs were on that deflected ball.
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I hope it works well, and will be in MLB by next season.
