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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Give a rough 5 year period. Soon after 2007? Was 2018 watered down?
  2. moonslav59
    Another wat to look at the 2 major eras.... 1975 to 1978 105.5 fWAR non pitching 107 wRC + .764 OPS 3167 Runs 66.2 fWAR pitching 3.80 ERA (93 ERA-) 3.84 FIP 1.34 WHIP 2448 ERuns (2738 runs allowed) 2004-2007 98.1 fWAR everyday players 109 wRC+ .809 OPS 3546 Runs 66.3 fWAR pitching 4.41 ERA (95 ERA-) 4.24 FIP 1.35 WHIP 2820 ERuns (3055 Runs allowed)
  3. moonslav59
    There has been no expansion in a long time, and apparently the league was NOT watered down from 2003-2007.
  4. moonslav59
    When did the watering down begin? around 2013? 2018? After COVID?
  5. moonslav59
    Here are a few telling stats based on comps to the rest of the league: OPS+/ ERA+ and year 107/104 1975 (+11) 103/118 1978 (+21) 107/107 1986 (+14) Nicely balanced team 118/104 2003 (+22) 110/116 2004 (+26) 107/123 2007 (+30) 116/109 2013 (+25) 112/118 2018 (+30) Last 5 years 106/104 2019 (+10 is one short of 1975) 104/87 2020 (-9) 106/110 2021 (+16 is better than 1975 and 1986. It was also better than DD's '19 team.) 101/94 2022 (-5) 102/106 2023 (+8) Of course, using OPS+ and ERA+ does not address which era or year was more skillful, but in terms of league dominance, these numbers work for me.
  6. moonslav59
    You should listen to that guy, more often.
  7. moonslav59
    Pretty close to 15-16%
  8. moonslav59
    As bad as our rotation has been, including demotions (Pivetta & Kluber) and promotions from the pen (Pivetta, Crawford, Houck and a bunch of Openers,) I remember thinking we'd be super lucky to get 30 starts from Sale and Paxton, combined. They are at 29, now, and both have pitched better than almost anyone expected. We also had some serious concerns about Bello: his durability and development timeline. His 3.70 ERA in 21 starts has to be viewed as better than expected. Two of the biggest disappointments, this year, did have questions going into the year, but mostly about health and durability, not skill level: Whitlock: 5.72 ERA (10 GS) Houck: 5.05 ERA (13 GS) The Kluber, Whitlock and Houck letdowns have been nearly offset by the the Sale/Paxton combo, Bello and the big surprises of all: Crawford (16 GS) and the return of Pivetta (11 GS) to the rotation or opener follower (7 games with more than 3 IP as a RP'er.) I like our rotation, now. I love our pen, now. Just stay healthy, let a few guys work out some kinks, and maybe we peak at just the right time.
  9. moonslav59
    Low minor league hot shots aren't in high demand much, anymore.
  10. moonslav59
    99% of Sox Nation thinks the league is not watered down. I went down to the big corner and took a poll.
  11. moonslav59
    Bookies set odds based on what fans bet on, not on what they actually think will happen. They seek 50% bets on one team and 50% on the other.
  12. moonslav59
    It's a hockey town, so how bad can it be?
  13. moonslav59
    Probably none did worse. All but Gibson got paid more.
  14. moonslav59
    Yaz was under .700 vs lefties in his career. What a watered down league it was back then! Today, he'd be platooned.
  15. moonslav59
    Yes, and we barely gained on TOR. We may have improved the odds of passing HOU, but they are still ahead of SEA and TOR with the odds, so it did not make a big enough dent by essentially losing odds vs TOR and SEA.: 80% HOU 65% TOR 59% SEA 16% BOS
  16. moonslav59
    Figure out how many of these deals ended up being good ones? Some started out great, but now the guy is on the IL. What were the odds of hitting gold or even silver or bronze?
  17. moonslav59
    There is no guarantee we'd have done better by spending a little more, or even a lot more. $10M/1 Kyle Gibson $12M/1 Clevinger $13M/1 Syndergaard $7.5 x 2 Seth Lugo $8.5 x 2 J Lyles $9.5 x 2 Smyly $20M/1 Kershaw $12.5x 2 Heaney, Manaea & Stripling $13M x 2 Quintana $6.5Mx 4 Wacha (with opt out) $17M x 2 Nate $13M x 3 T Anderson $13.3Mx3 Z Eflin $21M x 3 Bassitt $17M x 4 Taillon $18M x 4 TWalker $15M x 5 Senga We were never going to sign Verlander, Rodon or deGrom, but 2 of 3 gave nothing.
  18. moonslav59
    Agreed. It would have been interesting had we bid a little more and gotten Eflin, but then again, he got hurt.
  19. moonslav59
    All Aboard!!!
  20. moonslav59
    I could be wrong, but I swear our fangraphs odds on making the playoffs was 17% before the Yankee series and is now 16% after the sweep. I realize we are 3 games closer to the end of the season, and still 3 games behind, so it's not surprising, but still...
  21. moonslav59
    It really makes me feel all warm and fuzzy inside, knowing my NESN subscription money is funding his yacht.
  22. moonslav59
    Urias has a history, but Reyes shocked all of us. Hell, he sold to us by the A's for peanuts!
  23. moonslav59
    Agreed. We also might benefit by letting Story bat more and find his groove.
  24. moonslav59
    ...and we came so close! That 2004 team beat some great teams along the way, too. And, the playoffs were longer. We beat a 92 win Angels, a 101 win Yankee team and then that 105 win Cardinals team.
  25. moonslav59
    Certainly, that was true for me. I've never felt closer to any Sox teams since the 70's, but I would not say those guys were better than some subsequent teams. The improvement in pitching has been the most notable major improvement from the teams from the 70's to the Clemens era and then the Pedro era and beyond.
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