All we know for sure is that our offer wasn't good enough for some reason or reasons. It looks like it was less money, but still a big overpay. It looks like it was for the same amount of years- one to two too many. It's looks like it had more or longer deferred money, that may have been a factor. It looks like we would not include a no trade clause, which may have been a factor.
We made an offer, and I doubt any further discussion would have caused Brez, JH & Co to give $10M more, or shorter or less deferred money or give in on the no trade clause. The history is we just don't ever come back with anything substantially more than the last or second to last offer given.
I thought $165M/5 was way more than fair, both in terms of money and years. That was already too much and too long, but had he said yes, I'd have been fine with it and accepted that you have to overpay to get what you need. That doesn't mean there is no stopping point, and since I feel $165M was already past the stopping point, I'm not pissed off he's a Cub, now.
That's not saying I feel the same about every FA negotiation we've had and will have. Of the one's I've seen signed so far, I think I'd have give slightly more for Alonso, but that was close to Breggie overpay limits, IMO. I'd have given more to Polanco, for sure, but with fingers and toes crossed and contorted. I'm not sure about $65M/4 for Okamoto, but if we end up with nothing, I'd look back and wonder more. I kinda liked the idea of Merrill Kelly on a 2 year deal, but I think he wanted back to AZ ($20M x 2.)
I see Suarez as an option- not Bichette.
I see trades as an option and really like Paredes. BTV says he's worth 12, but I think he's more like 30. They say Duran is worth 46, but I'm thinking maybe 40. I'd trade Duran (46) for Paredes (12) plus Brian King (7) but BTV rejects it. They called Duran for Paredes, King and Janek (9 a catcher prospect) a "major overpay" but accepted it.