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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. It will be interesting to see if they go with Anthony in CF and not Duran, when Rafaela sits. I would. I never bought into the Duran is a good defensive CF'er talk.
  2. Maybe with his weak arm, they'll have him play RF at Yankee stadium and other parks with shorter RFs.
  3. Me 2 and I'd have added Phillips or Eyanson.
  4. I could be wrong, but I think the rumor was Brez turned down Mayer & Tolle. (No Early.)
  5. I doubt we get KMarte for Bello & Tolle. Duran & Tolle- yes. They might have taken Mayer & Tolle. I'd have preferred then, especially in light of the Durbin trade.
  6. Duran plus others for KMarte would improve the offense.
  7. There is a good chance all 4 OF'ers are healthy for over 60-75% of the games.
  8. The Jays just signed Scherzer, which assures another WS trip. LOL.
  9. Maybe Duran excels at DH, since he seems to get dizzy trying to track down fly balls.
  10. I think it's been all over the map.. His best time on defense was in 2024 in CF, but yes, he has not had a negative DRS in LF in any season.. DRS CF: -5, -9, -5 [+17 in 2024] -2 -4 career in CF LF: 0, 0. 6, 11 +17 in LF OAA tells a different story... LF: 0,0, 3, and -4 Career : 0 CF: 0, -2, -1 +7 in 2025! Career: +5 With opposite conclusions, I think it's safe to say he's "all over the map" on defense. The Sox other OF'ers are not.
  11. Agreed, but he's been up and won on defense. Can you predict how he looks on defense in 2026? (I'd guess not any better, but with him, one never knows.)
  12. If he looks okay on D, when he does play OF, maybe he retains some of his defensive value, but I agree.
  13. Quite a few suggested we trade Duran, in part because we had and still have 4 OF'ers and greater needs elsewhere, and also because we doubted his ability to keep up the 2024 pace. That being said, I would not be surprised if he does better than 2025 in 2026. I hope he does.
  14. In a way, yes. The point about "just right" is not. Maybe Brez is right- maybe not. Some think trading him after 2024 would have gotten peak value for him. I value Duran very highly, but I have suggested more Duran trades on BTV than any other Sox player, and that includes Yoshida and the constant throw-in- DHam.
  15. I wasn't disagreeing. That is what he and all batters need to do to improve,
  16. Maybe. Maybe it's Brez who values him "too highly" or just right.
  17. Yes. I am aware or this, as well as almost identical fWARs over Duran's best chosen sample size. (Tucker 13.6>13.2)
  18. Gms would not be fooled. Duran would not likely play that well on defense in CF, if given a chance. Tucker is a better defender. Tucker has a way better OBP, SLG and OPS+. It's not even close. And, that's cherry-picking the sample size to match with Duran's best sample.
  19. They both are pretty close in age, but Tucker has produced for twice as many years as Duran, so he seems like more of a sure bet. The three year sample size matches up perfectly with Duran's best sample size to chose, but even using that, here are some other numbers: Lowest OPS in a season: .841 Tucker and Duran .774 3 yr OBP: .380 Tucker/.339 Duran 3 yr SLG: .511 Tucker/.471 Duran 3 yr OPS+: 150 Tucker/123 Duran These numbers show a more stark differential.
  20. Tuckers is better on D and plays a tougher OF position. I do agree, the numbers look pretty close.
  21. The arb numbers may not look at WAR. Club option years would be fine.
  22. Even Uberstine looked good, to me.
  23. Duran would have hit the 370 mark in '24 330 TBs+ 6 HBP+ 34 SBs. Some notable Sox highs... 412 Ellsbury '11 387 Betts '16 375 Devers '19 371 Betts '18 368 JD Martinez '18 365 Ortiz '05 356 Manny '04 352 AGon '11 349 Pedroia '08 347 Bogey '19 321 Youkilis '08 Others... 393 Story w COL in '18 247 Contreras w STL in '25
  24. Duran would easily be our #1 DH. With KC's glove, maybe KC DH's as Duran plays the OF. Maybe they platoon, but I can't see them stunting KC's development by having him on the bench for 70% of the games.
  25. He's not so "young." He's not old, either. He turns 30 in September and will be 32 when his years of control run out. 32 seems like the age to move on, but I'd be okay with extending him one year beyond the current control years and buying out his 2 remaining arb years. Maybe he gets $11-13M in '27 and $14-17M in '28, assuming he keeps doing well, so what would an extension look like? $28M for the 2 arb years and $20M for the extra year? So... $48M/3?
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