moonslav59

Maybe not. We are set to lose this AAV after 2026: $21M Gray (and we'll need another top SP'er to replace him) $9.1M Sandoval $6M IKF That's $36M AAV We could judge to let Houck & his $4.1M arb in '26 walk, or we could trade Bello $9.2M, K Campbell $7.5M or Duran who is looking at his last arb contract or over $10M. They may also look at the fact that Yoshida's deal is over after 2027, so the long term aspect of a Skubal deal could be partially covered by his loss. There would likely be no "big bat" plus Skubal, unless we trade for one.

If there ever was a time....

Maybe WAPM lacks in age regression calculations.

27th among those with 300+ PAs (out of 67) .826 7/1/25>

How can anyone be proud of an offseason mantra of "Run it back," especially when it's not a ring year.

Big action in the 9th, after 8 scoreless innings. Tough loss.

I had no idea how much those two play. I think Casas can hit .800 if healthy. I think KC will bounce back and be over .725.

How they come up with projected PAs is questionable, and also a big part of someone's projected WAR and HR/RBI totals.

This looks more like the B or C team.

Look at my projections: 700 Anthony .875 > Uptick 675 Duran .790 = about the same as last 3 years 650 Contreras .800= about the same as his last few years 650 Story .730 < lower than 2025 650 Abreu .800 > career high, but he's been close 625 Durbin .750< not much higher than '25 625 Rafaela .720< not much higher than '25 500 Mayer .740 <stab in the dark 450 Narvaez .725 < lower than 2025 400 IKF .675 = about career avg 350 Romy .800 > worse than '25 250 Yoshida .780 = about career 200 Wong .675 = close to career 200 Monasterio .690= under career 100 Sogard .690 = same

It looks that way, especially with Romy out.

Good point, and what happens if Durbin gets 638 and Bregman 437?

That's what gets me. Just admit you flubbed and come u with a more believable scenario.

Fire Brez, NOW!!!!

You've made zero convincing arguments at why other teams are or got better.

We can see, today, why pitching is going to carry us, this year! 😜

The homer numbers are based on top PA projections and I rounded up by 5's

The O's had "an off year" for a reason. Their management team has been 10X worse than the one you say should be fired. They failed to add anybody of note, before 2025 and let Burnes , Santander and others go. It's not like they lost due to bad luck and excessive injuries. Yes, Henderson dropped 100 points in OPS, but why are so sure the 2024 Gunnar was the real deal? The O's got big years from Laureano and O'Hearn, as well as a pretty good season from Dylan Beaver & Westburg. You expect these guys and Alonso and other replacements to gain 22 games from 2025? Trevor Rogers did a good job replacing Burnes and Kremer did about the same as 2024. They swapped out Grayson Rodrigues for the 80 year old Bassitt and added a closer (Helsley) who had an off season in '25, and again, you suddenly find enormous optimism for these guys. Oh, and BTW, Westburg is out until at least May with a UCL tear, and Jackson Holliday will start the year on the IL with a hamate bone fracture. Such an lovely and lofty outlook based on murky waters.

The guy had 679 PAs and his second best OPS in his career in 2025. His last two seasons saw him reach his top 2 career seasons in PAs. You sound like you expect a better season and more PAs from the soon to be 34 year old big guy. Again, why so much optimism over non Sox players?

I can just imagine Fred's outlook, if he was a Sox pitcher coming back from that. We also have Crawford, Sandoval, who missed all of 2025, and others like Slaten, Abreu & others who missed lesser amounts of time in '25. Of course, the Yanks had a lot of other injuries in 2025, as they almost always do. Sandoval & Crawford were pretty damn good back in 2023, too, and they aren't even projected to make our rotation. Sure, they aren't Cole, but as 5-6 SP'ers their impact might be greater than his, especially, if Cole doesn't return until early June and struggles to regain even 75% of his form. Crawford + Sandoval might have 70-80 IP combined by early June.

Eaton is eatin' up Jays pitching!

Actually, they lost Bichette and added Okamoto: we lost Bregman & Lowe and added Contreras & Durbin. (We also lost Ref and gained IKF.)

The last time Cole was the ace of the Yanks was the year Crawford was our ace. Guess who returns to the Sox, this year? Okay, seriously, yes, Cole is a big addition to a formidable returning team, but he starts the year on the IL, along with Rodon & Schmidt. We all have seen how that works out for countless Sox SP'er beginning the year on the IL with promises of returning to form during the season, but I'm not sure why you are able to find an ounce of optimism in the dark confines of your mind for a Yankee. So be it. I do think the Yanks look better, assuming equal health to both teams. I guess my thought is that the younger team should likely have less injuries, and we no longer have Gio, Hendriks, Houck and others as part of our 2026 plans. 38 Goldschmidt 36 Stanton, Hill 35 Cole & Cruz 34 Yarbrough 33 Judge & Rodon 32 Fried 31 Bednar & McMahon 30 Bellinger, Bird The Yanks have 4 key players at 33 or older (same as the Sox, but Cole Judge and Rodon might be their top 3 key players.) They have 4 key players between 30-33, as the Sox have one. They have a total of 8 key players at 30 or older to the Sox 5. See below. Most of their key players are on this list. Now look at the Sox over 30 players: 37 Chapman 36 Gray 33 Contreras & Story 32 Yoshida 31 Weissert 30 Suarez, IKF, Kelly Sox: 4 key players at 33+ and 1 at 30-32. (5 total) Age is not the only factor involved in projecting injury, but it is a huge factor in projecting decline- sometimes sharp declines. Watch and weep.

The Jays added Cease (4.55 ERA in 170 IP) but lost Bassitt (3.96 ERA in 170 IP). Your negativity disappears for other teams. The Jays added Okamoto but lost Bichette (.840 OPS in 2025.) If Okamoto hits .840, Yoshida should hit .830. To be fair, the Jays also added Ponce and Tyler, but Bieber is already going to the IL on opening day, Gausman is 35 and Berrios turns 32 in May. (Cease is 30.) Springer turns 37 late in the season.

Especially since Sweet is projected to be our closer.