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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Well, it might not work out, but if it doesn't, there is nothing lost, really. But the more "crap" you have to throw at the wall, the better the likelihood of having some of it stick.
  2. Kimmi
    I agree with this. If both catchers are as good as we hope they will be, one of them will be traded. I fell in love with Vazquez last year, and it's been hard for me to believe that Swihart is potentially the better overall catcher. Like others, I think that Vazquez will have adequate enough offense to warrant him being an everyday catcher. At any rate, defense is the priority for me behind the plate, and any offense provided is gravy. It will be interesting to see how the catcher situation shakes out over the next couple of years.
  3. Kimmi
    That's the key though, isn't it? Low risk with potentially high reward? If he bombs, the Sox are out $1.5 mil. Peanuts. No harm done. If he bounces back and is effective, then good for us.
  4. Kimmi
    I have never agreed with the idea of giving large contracts to relief pitchers. Those deals almost never work out, and your best relievers often come out of nowhere. A good BP is very important, but it doesn't have to be high-priced. There are far better ways for a team to spend its money. FTR, I was a huge Papelbon fan and wanted him re-signed when he became a FA. However, not at the price that Philly gave him. That contract was insane.
  5. Kimmi
    I was just reading that out of 233 relievers that threw 25 innings or more, Ogando ranked 231 in the "luck" factor (.386 BABIP and 63% LOB %). Another guy the Sox are hoping will bounce back.
  6. Kimmi
    His deal is a one year deal for $1.5 mil guaranteed, with another $1.5 mil possible in incentives. Throwing a lot of "crap" at the wall and seeing what sticks is a good way to build a bullpen, IMO. Relievers are just too fickle to spend big bucks on. I love Koji and am glad to have him back, but I think the Sox paid too much for him.
  7. Kimmi
    LOL Have some faith Northern Star. The talent is there.
  8. Kimmi
    SK, I haven't had the opportunity to read much of your stuff, but I have very much enjoyed your posts from today.
  9. Kimmi
    The mix is the prudent way to go, but with the foundation being the farm system, filling in the holes through free agency and trade. Not the other way around. Having a strong farm is what opens the door to being able to do the other things well.
  10. Kimmi
    Absolutely. Baltimore had a good shot, and they went for it. You can't fault them for that.
  11. Kimmi
    The Sox might not need an ace during the season. Maybe Porcello or Buccholz emerges as the ace. Maybe we need a mid rotation guy. Or maybe we just need some BP help. I would like to see another starter added now, but it makes sense to wait and see what the needs of the team are. IMO, we are good enough as is to be competitive, so unless a deal presents itself that the FO is comfortable with, they do not have to make a move. They have the luxury right now of making a deal, either a free agent signing or a trade, on their terms.
  12. Kimmi
    Have I mentioned how much I love Baseball Prospectus?
  13. Kimmi
    His stuff may not be that good, but if our catchers can get more strike calls for him, allowing him to get ahead in the count more often, that could change the whole dynamic of the at bat. I'm not saying he's going to be the next Koji, but maybe there's more to him than his basic stats suggest. The FO must see the potential in there somewhere.
  14. Kimmi
    Or maybe we have to trust their analytics department on this one. ;-) There is an interesting article at Fangraphs about how Ross was likely the victim of some poor catchers last season. He had the highest rate of pitches taken within the strike zone that were called balls, and tied for the lowest rate of pitches taken outside of the strike zone that were called strikes. His catchers did not do him any favors. It may not amount to much, but OTOH, with Vazquez and Hanigan being great receivers, it could be huge. Also, Ross has a high groundball rate, which fits in nicely with the Red Sox pitching theme this year.
  15. Kimmi
    Papelbon has not earned his paycheck thus far for the Phillies. Closers, and relievers in general, are just not worth that much.
  16. Kimmi
    Because it's fun? Isn't that what a baseball forum is for? To debate and discuss topics such as these? I'm not arguing just for the sake of arguing. I truly enjoy having these kinds of discussions.
  17. Kimmi
    Are you saying that some players are "clutch"?
  18. Kimmi
    I don't believe anyone has said that the stats were never wrong as a predictor of future performance. Some stats are better predictive stats while others are better descriptive stats. There are also diagnostic stats. FOs have analytic teams that have stats that the public is not privy to, well beyond what we have access to at Fangraphs, etc. Stats are not foolproof when it comes to predicting future performance. but I would venture to say that they are no worse in their predictive value than scouting is. And as we all agree, a cominbation of both is the best approach.
  19. Kimmi
    Thank you. I'm not sure why a few of the posters don't seem to like you. LOL
  20. Kimmi
    Fred, I don't have a problem with Henry, but when it comes to Lucchino, we agree completely. He is a good businessman, but he needs to keep his nose out of baseball ops. Every time he sticks his nose where it doesn't belong, something goes terribly wrong.
  21. Kimmi
    It is a well known fact that Theo's focus has always been on player draft and development and building a team from within. He has said that he would field a team of all home grown players if he thought that was realistic. He did take full responsibity for the Crawford and Lackey signings, but he also said that those signings went against what he felt was sound baseball strategy. He said that there was pressure to make a "sizzling" signing. He said that he gave in to that pressure. I don't know how much clearer it could be.
  22. Kimmi
    I don't bet on sports and I don't understand a lot of what you said, but it sounds like you have your system down pretty well. Good luck to you.
  23. Kimmi
    He accepted responsibility for those moves. He was the GM, after all. But I'm willing to bet that if Lucchino had not asserted his influence, those "splashy" signings would not have happened. It's no secret that Theo and Lucchino had very different philosophies when it came to building a team. Theo's philosophy is so far removed from a "splashy" long term contract that I can't in any way believe he was behind that.
  24. Kimmi
    It's not rocket science, but you would be surprised at the lack of understanding.
  25. Kimmi
    My apologies. I didn't mean anyone in particular here. I don't know the posters here well enough to know whether they value stats or blow them off. In my experience on other boards, those who discount stats do so because they either don't understand them or because they don't support their opinion. I'm betting that that is the case here too, of anyone who discounts stats.
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