Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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Unfortunately, Fred is not right.
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Fred, Fred, Fred. Shaking my head. Let me first say that the RBI stat has it's place. It is just not a very useful stat to assess a player without have some context to go with it. I think a very good example of that was the year that your favorite player Lugo had more RBIs than Pedroia. More importantly, by the time players reach the MLB level, they are more or less all "clutch". In other words, the ones that are shaking in their cleats in pressure situations are either not going to make it to the majors or they are not going to last very long. A player cannot raise him game to an otherworldly level in a clutch situation. The good players simply maintain their composure and do what they normally do. Hitters who seem clutch are just typically good hitters. Papi is not a great clutch hitter. He is a great hitter, period.
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I don't mind at all if you want to pick apart stats. As I said before, I enjoy the discussion/debate. That's why I'm here. I actually very much liked this post, because I was thinking the same thing about Napoli's at bats in those situations. I will be paying close attention to what he does. Just keep in mind that in most cases, the team is probably not playing for one run, so Naps should be swinging for the fences. But I will be using the eye test right along with you. Ha!
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LOL Spud. Carry on then.
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The Fellowship of the Miserable should be fair game then. ;-)
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I'm guessing you're right.
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Hate to say this Spud, but you have gone all Fred on me again.
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Analytic guys are not always right. Scouts are not always right. In the case of Swisher, I don't think it was a 50-50 chance. I think that the chances of Swisher doing well were better than him not. An assessment made based on analytics. That's all I'm saying.
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Because I thought they were interesting? I can't post things because I find them interesting?
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cp, to say the Yankees got lucky with Swisher (although I won't argue against them being a very lucky team the past couple of years) is undermining the very nature of analytics. It wasn't blind luck. It wasn't a 50-50 chance that Swisher would perform well. It's a highly educated and informed decision based on data. The data doesn't tell the whole story, but it often tells the underlying story of why someone performed how they did and why some of the other numbers might not be a true representation of the player. These analytics guys know what they're doing. Give them some credit.
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Some other Napoli stats, which I've been withholding from the general public. LOL With a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs, Napoli scored the runner 48% of the time for his career. The league average is 51%. However, Napoli's rate in 2014 was 64%. With a runner on 2nd and 0 outs, Napoli advanced the runner 51% of the time for his career. The league average is 56%. Napoli's 2014 rate was only 17%. Does this indicate anything about whether Napoli changes his approach or not? Not really, but interesting info at any rate.
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There is none.
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Maybe the slash line didn't establish anything, but the K rate did.
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Then why are you arguing with me? ;-)
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I don't disagree cp. There are definitely situations that call for batters to do certain things. Batters should be able to execute what the situation calls for. I'm just saying that people should not get all over Napoli for his high K rate. He is not hurting the team because he strikes out a lot.
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League numbers are definitely significant, but Napoli's sample size is still too small to draw any conclusions about his BA, OBP, and SLG. The league numbers are rather convincing though. As far as K rate goes, that stabilizes at about 60 PA, so noting that his K rate is down with a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs is valid. He's a good, veteran hitter. He knows what the situation calls for.
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You can absolutely have an opinion and talk intelligently about the game without being in one camp or other. Statistics are not for everyone. I understand that. You are knowledgeable about the sport and have a lot to contribute. If I disagree with something you say, I'm going to state that, and I will likely use stats to back up my opinion. That's just the way I roll. It doesn't mean that you don't have a lot to contribute to this forum.
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Stop with the "clutch" nonsense. A smart hitter knowing how to take advantage of the way he's pitched is not clutch. It's being a good hitter. They do this all the time, not just in clutch situations.
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Small sample size, spread out over 9 years. That's more or less what it amounts to.
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There is not. But neither is there any validity that says that changing his approach will make him more productive in those situations.
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Naps is a smart, veteran hitter. I'm sure he knows when the situation calls for him shortening up on his swing.
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Another thing that you have to keep in mind is that in most cases, playing for one run is not the proper strategy. Hitting a sac fly or advancing a runner from second is akin to the sacrifice bunt. They have their places in the game, but the overwhelming majority of the time, the team should not be playing for one run, and should not be willing to give up that out so readily. They should be playing for the big inning, which means, swinging from the heels.
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The US players have a point.
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I understand when you're joking. Do you understand when I'm joking?
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I love power pitchers. I love watching a pitcher strike out a batter, whether it be by blowing a a fastball by him or freezing him with a knee-buckling curve ball. That said, I know enough to know that a hitter should not be judged based on a high strike out rate. Dunn is a perfect example. In fact, most of your power hitters strike out a lot.
