Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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Hate to say this Spud, but you have gone all Fred on me again.
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Analytic guys are not always right. Scouts are not always right. In the case of Swisher, I don't think it was a 50-50 chance. I think that the chances of Swisher doing well were better than him not. An assessment made based on analytics. That's all I'm saying.
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Because I thought they were interesting? I can't post things because I find them interesting?
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cp, to say the Yankees got lucky with Swisher (although I won't argue against them being a very lucky team the past couple of years) is undermining the very nature of analytics. It wasn't blind luck. It wasn't a 50-50 chance that Swisher would perform well. It's a highly educated and informed decision based on data. The data doesn't tell the whole story, but it often tells the underlying story of why someone performed how they did and why some of the other numbers might not be a true representation of the player. These analytics guys know what they're doing. Give them some credit.
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Some other Napoli stats, which I've been withholding from the general public. LOL With a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs, Napoli scored the runner 48% of the time for his career. The league average is 51%. However, Napoli's rate in 2014 was 64%. With a runner on 2nd and 0 outs, Napoli advanced the runner 51% of the time for his career. The league average is 56%. Napoli's 2014 rate was only 17%. Does this indicate anything about whether Napoli changes his approach or not? Not really, but interesting info at any rate.
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There is none.
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Maybe the slash line didn't establish anything, but the K rate did.
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Then why are you arguing with me? ;-)
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I don't disagree cp. There are definitely situations that call for batters to do certain things. Batters should be able to execute what the situation calls for. I'm just saying that people should not get all over Napoli for his high K rate. He is not hurting the team because he strikes out a lot.
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League numbers are definitely significant, but Napoli's sample size is still too small to draw any conclusions about his BA, OBP, and SLG. The league numbers are rather convincing though. As far as K rate goes, that stabilizes at about 60 PA, so noting that his K rate is down with a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs is valid. He's a good, veteran hitter. He knows what the situation calls for.
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You can absolutely have an opinion and talk intelligently about the game without being in one camp or other. Statistics are not for everyone. I understand that. You are knowledgeable about the sport and have a lot to contribute. If I disagree with something you say, I'm going to state that, and I will likely use stats to back up my opinion. That's just the way I roll. It doesn't mean that you don't have a lot to contribute to this forum.
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Stop with the "clutch" nonsense. A smart hitter knowing how to take advantage of the way he's pitched is not clutch. It's being a good hitter. They do this all the time, not just in clutch situations.
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Small sample size, spread out over 9 years. That's more or less what it amounts to.
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There is not. But neither is there any validity that says that changing his approach will make him more productive in those situations.
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Naps is a smart, veteran hitter. I'm sure he knows when the situation calls for him shortening up on his swing.
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Another thing that you have to keep in mind is that in most cases, playing for one run is not the proper strategy. Hitting a sac fly or advancing a runner from second is akin to the sacrifice bunt. They have their places in the game, but the overwhelming majority of the time, the team should not be playing for one run, and should not be willing to give up that out so readily. They should be playing for the big inning, which means, swinging from the heels.
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The US players have a point.
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I understand when you're joking. Do you understand when I'm joking?
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I love power pitchers. I love watching a pitcher strike out a batter, whether it be by blowing a a fastball by him or freezing him with a knee-buckling curve ball. That said, I know enough to know that a hitter should not be judged based on a high strike out rate. Dunn is a perfect example. In fact, most of your power hitters strike out a lot.
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Comfy is absolutely the way to go. I have no clue what "dad pants" are, but wear them proudly!
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I haven't been around that long, but from what I've seen so far, it looks like pretty much anything is tolerated here. How often does the KGB actually check in?
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Are you trying to tell me that men don't whine? LOL I don't agree with all the FO moves. I also get very frustrated when the Sox are not playing well. I am not always a fun person to watch the games with. But once the emotion subsides and rational thinking kicks in again, I understand that the FO has really done a good job overall, and that the players are really trying their best not to stink. No need for all the bashing. That's just not the way that I support my team. I understand that others have the need to do so differently. I just don't get it.
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And this is one of the reasons why I'm a big Bellhorn04 fan.
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The thing about high K pitchers is that if a pitcher is striking out a lot of batters, then obviously the batters are not putting the ball in play. As you mentioned before, if a batter puts the ball in play, many things can happen. A pitcher also then has to rely on his defense, which may or may not make the play. There are many possible things that can happen that do not result in an out. It's all about the "out" here CP. An out is an out, so it doesn't matter much whether than out comes via the K, a ground out, or a pop up.
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Well Fred, not that I disagree with this post, but as far as I know, you still think HRs and RBIs are the be-all end-all of offensive stats. That is just wrong on so many levels.
