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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Happy Easter Sean. And Happy Easter to all!
  2. Kimmi
    I prefer that the Sox keep him stretched out as a starter too. However, Barnes will go wherever the team's biggest need ends up being. If the pen struggles, he will be used as a reliever. The team received some good news on Koji today. They are hoping he'll be ready for the home opener, so that's a plus.
  3. Kimmi
    First off, no one has ever said that stats tell the whole story. I've already addressed the point about how many guys would have taken second but for the fear of being gunned down. Keeping a guy on first versus having him on second is not where the true value of a great arm comes into play. The true value of a great arm comes into play when the catcher gets the OUT by the CS. As far as how many DPs a pitcher gets by keeping the runner on first, that is taken into account in determining the value of a stolen base and a CS. There are run expectancies for every base/out stage of the game. When a stolen base or a CS occur, versus keeping the runner on first, the number of runs lost or saved can be calculated, with the chance of a DP occurring factored in. On the rest of your points, I agree. The stats won't tell you how much harder a pitcher had to work, or how much sooner he might be taken out of the game. However, that also goes for the pitch framing stats. You don't think a pitcher is going to benefit from those same secondary effects when he is getting extra strike calls from his catcher?
  4. Kimmi
    Great picture! You gotta love Pedroia. It was funny how quickly the regulars played the first 4 innings of their game today. You think they're ready to get the season started? LOL
  5. Kimmi
    I agree that if Hanigan is playing full time that he will likely start breaking down in the 2nd half of the season. He should be okay for the first two or three months, at which time the Sox can either call up Swihart or trade for another catcher. Vazquez is an elite defensive catcher. However, Hanigan is pretty good in his own right. He is not as good as Vazquez, but he is known as a great defensive catcher. There is a dropoff from Vazquez to Hanigan, but nothing as big as if we had Ryan Doumit as our catcher. As far as Hanigan rebounding offensively at the ripe old age of 34, he was the victim of some bad luck the last two years. His BABIP in 2013 was .216 and in 2014 it was .240. At the same time, he posted good line drive rates of 21.5% and 21.8%, respectively. That tells me he is likely due for some regression. Also, perhaps playing everyday and getting more consistent at bats will help his offense.
  6. Kimmi
    To add to what SK posted, the value of the CS is in actually throwing the runner out and getting that valuable out, not in deterring a would be base stealer from stealing. Plus, the percentage of times a run scores as a direct result of a runner stealing 2nd base is not that high. Therefore, the ability to shut down the running game is not as valuable as it seems it would be.
  7. Kimmi
    Solid post SK. Keep 'em coming.
  8. Kimmi
    Believe me Fred, I am not expecting us to start 6-0. I was merely stating something that I read. I would love it if we win both series and start off 4-2 like you said, but I would actually be okay if we could go 3-3 and come home with a .500 record on the road. Here's to hoping that Clay gets the team off on the right track.
  9. Kimmi
    That could be the case.
  10. Kimmi
    Fair enough. If his team isn't a serious playoff contender by next season, I will have to admit that he is not the genius that I give him credit for being.
  11. Kimmi
    I could see that too, if not in 2015, then possibly in 2016 and beyond. I realize that we may have to give up some of our players for a greater need, like SP. I just don't want the Sox to sell low on players like JBJ or Craig, just because we have too many OFs. Depth is a good problem to have.
  12. Kimmi
    Thank you. You and I are very much on the same page.
  13. Kimmi
    The technology that they have these days is incredible. The introduction of PITCHf/x in 2008 (I believe) has really helped revolutionalize some of the advanced studies that are being done. One of the things I hear often from the critics of advanced metrics, UZR in particular, is the amount of subjectivity that is involved in them. Yes, there is some subjectivity, but IMO, they are far less subjective than the fans who say they prefer to trust their eyes. When it comes to any player, you want to choose the one who is the best overall player. If that means that you sacrifice some defense, then that's what you do. So, I agree that a catcher that can hit well, has a great arm, and is an average pitch framer might be better than a great pitch framer who can't hit or throw. That was not my point. My point was that out of all of a catcher's defensive attributes, the ability to throw out base stealers is the least important.
  14. Kimmi
    LOL You hit the nail on the head Bellhorn. Either way, there's likely to be some massive overreaction after one game. The good news for Sox fans is that the Phillies lineup really stinks. Of course, it won't be such good news if they end up scoring a bunch of runs off of Buchholz. I read an article this morning that stated the Sox have a great chance of going 6-0 in their first 6 games.
  15. Kimmi
    I wonder how much time he has spent with a sports psychologist. IIRC, he has spoken to one in the past, but I don't know the extent of those meetings. If a sports psychologist can't help him get his head on straight, nothing will. Except hopefully being given the Opening Day starter honor.
  16. Kimmi
    That is true. No one has been able to figure out what makes him tick so far. I think he overthinks and 2nd guesses himself. I would not allow him to do any thinking for himself. The less he thinks, the better he'll be, IMO.
  17. Kimmi
    FTR, I was never all over Vazquez' hitting. I was thrilled with his defense, and said that whatever he gave us offensively was gravy. I was a huge Varitek supporter in his waning years for the very same reason. Vazquez' offense, along with his defense, was enough for him to be projected as a 2 WAR player, unlike Leon whose offense is putrid. Offensive oriented catchers are only good for fantasy teams.
  18. Kimmi
    I never followed Baker and the Reds that closely, but those are some very interesting quotes that you posted. It sounds like Baker personifies the exact problem with the "conventional wisdom" thinking of many managers. Get with the times, people. Speaking of getting with the times (which I obviously am not), and completely off topic, I was helping a young coworker who was having difficulty saving a file. She asked my why she was getting an error message when she tried to save. I told her that she couldn't have the "pound" symbol in her file name. She says, "huh?". I told her that she needed to get rid of the "number sign" in her file name. She looks at me, puzzled. She then says, oh, you mean the "hashtag". When did the pound key become a hashtag? Kids...
  19. Kimmi
    I am a little surprised that Barnes was sent to AAA. It sounded like the Sox wanted him in the pen. However, he will probably be added to the pen soon enough. The Sox wanted Wright in the pen in case Kelly is not ready to go as our 5th starter, and they wanted 3 lefties in the pen against the Phillies and Yankees line up.
  20. Kimmi
    The Cubbies are probably not quite there yet. Next year they should make the playoffs. Wonder Boy has done an awesome job of rebuilding that franchise, whether people want to give him credit or not.
  21. Kimmi
    I'm looking forward to tomorrow night's game. It should be a good pitcher's duel, something that we likely won't see a lot of with our Sox this year. LOL At any rate, it's very exciting that baseball is finally here. The offseason is far too long!
  22. Kimmi
    I think Buchholz, more than anyone else on the staff, needed that vote of confidence. It might not be the best reason to give him the ball on Opening Day, but if it helps him pitch better, then it's a good decision. And the Sox management knows better than we do what makes Buchholz tick.
  23. Kimmi
    To Dojii, I apologize for my catcher posts in the JBJ thread. To a700, I apologize for my "binge" posting.
  24. Kimmi
    For the record, while some of you may not buy into the pitch framing hype, I can tell you that most MLB front offices do. All of the geeks who have been "pioneers" of the pitch framing studies are now employed by major league teams as consultants.
  25. Kimmi
    Quintero is a good defensive catcher in his own right.
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