Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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I'm with you on that.
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Some of them are definitely worse than others. I read a suggestion about only using the best umps at calling balls/strikes behind the plate, rather than rotating them every game. Umps that have inconsistent strike zones can man one of the other positions. That would appease the union because no one would lose their job. I thought that was a good suggestion.
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Well, you do have to take other things into consideration. As I said, because of his power, batting 4th is the better spot for him. The point is, the idea that your lead off hitter needs to have speed is false. He needs to have a high OBP. Rickey Henderson was not a great lead off hitter because he stole bases. He was a great lead off hitter because he got on base.
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I would never count them out with 2 months left to play. They are 4.5 games behind us. I've seen teams make up that margin in 2-3 weeks.
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7/30 - Red Sox vs ghAyNGELS
Kimmi replied to Slasher9's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Let's hope the offense comes to play today too. 9:00 start time - a little better than 10:00. -
That is actually not the craziest of ideas. Batting Papi 4th makes more sense because he also has the high SLG %, but batting him leadoff would make a lot more sense then putting a speedy guy who can't get on base in that slot. The problem with the 'optimal' line ups is that they so strongly buck conventional thinking that no one is going to do it. Can you imagine the outrage if Farrell put Papi in the lead off spot? That said, we are starting to see some hints of it, particularly with batters we are seeing in the #2 spot.
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This is correct. To quote Kalkman, who wrote an excellent article on line ups: Here's how the lineup spots rank in the importance of avoiding outs: #1, #4, #2, #5, #3, #6, #7, #8, #9 So, you want your best three hitters to hit in the #1, #4, and #2 spots. Distribute them so OBP is higher in the order and SLG is lower. Then place your fourth and fifth best hitters, with the #5 spot usually seeing the better hitter, unless he's a high-homerun guy. Then place your four remaining hitters in decreasing order of overall hitting ability, with basestealers ahead of singles hitters. Finally, stop talking like the lineup is a make-or-break decision.
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Actually, the old school of thought, which in incorrect, is that you put your speedy guys in the lead off spot, regardless of OBP. For the lead off spot, OBP is king. Speedy guys actually serve a better purpose further down in the line up, in front of your singles hitters, rather than in front of the power hitters. Thank you for the kind words.
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7/30 - Red Sox vs ghAyNGELS
Kimmi replied to Slasher9's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Feeling good after last night's win. Let's keep it going. #Slashermojo Go Sox! -
Thank you for the sensible post.
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LOL It is funny to read the game thread after the fact. Not that I'm faulting anyone because I certainly understand the emotional reactions that take place during the game. It's funny nonetheless.
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After the haul that the Yankees got for a 2 month rental in Chapman, Cashman is feeling greedy.
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I agree that Theo has a good sized ego. I don't think he necessarily wanted total autonomy, but rather he needed people above him who agreed with his philosophy. If their philosophies had been more in sync, I think autonomy more or less happens.
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There aren't three lefties in a row. I thought I read something about opposing managers salivating at our lineup seeing 3 righties followed by 3 lefties. Never mind. LOL
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Average runs scored per game and average runs allowed per game is actually a very good indicator of how good a team is. Pythagorean W-L does a good job of predicting a team's remaining season record. In other words, it doesn't matter if a team scores 12 runs one game and 2 runs the next. The average of 7 runs/game (over a large enough sample, of course) is a good measure of the team's performance.
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Price is definitely not having as bad a season as his ERA suggests. However, I do think that Price's fWAR is a little fluky due to him being one of the top strike out pitchers, yet also being the worst (I think he has improved to 3rd worst) pitcher in terms of hits allowed. While there is a lot of value to Ks and the # of innings pitched, I don't think he's been worth $25.4 million. That said, I posted a couple of days ago that if I'm predicting the rest of the season out for Wright, Porcello, and Price, I'm going with Price being the best, then Porcello, then Wright.
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It's been a while since I looked into it, but I know that a few years back there were only 3 things that had a positive correlation to post season success. One of those was a shut down, power closer.
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The thing to remember about making any baseball decision is that the effect of the move is largely offset by a counter effect. (There's a term for this in economics, but I can't remember what it is.) Therefore, the impact of making a lineup switch is not nearly as great as you might think it would be. Over the course of a season, switching 2 spots like #1 and #2 might be 2 runs. Then again, it might do more harm than good by taking players out of their comfort zones. If our offense scuffles for a longer period, then it might make sense to shake things up. For the most part, however, they've been getting it done. Bosoxmal does have a point about three lefties in a row.
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Last night's 9th inning is a good example of why high K pitchers are good. Ziegler can be very good at inducing a ground ball and getting hitters to hit in double plays. But when the ball is put in play, you are at the mercy of the baseball 'luck' gods and your defense. If you strike the batter out, you know it's an out, except on the rare occasion when the batter reaches on a 3rd strike passed ball.
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I think 'failure' is a bit harsh, but I really can't argue with your overall point. Outside of a couple of performances, he has not been an ace.
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I really do appreciate the amount of baseball history that many of our posters here have experienced.
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Manfred's idea to speed up games - limit relief pitching changes
Kimmi replied to Northern Star's topic in Other Baseball
Haha! Don't get me started.... -
Manfred's idea to speed up games - limit relief pitching changes
Kimmi replied to Northern Star's topic in Other Baseball
LOL That's actually an interesting thought about the 'sudden death' HR Derby. But I agree 100%. Baseball does not need a time limit. There are so many discussions about games being too long, but I've never had a problem with it. -
That's a good way to put it.
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Trust me when I say that you are lucky to have missed it. I had been handling the recent losses pretty well, but last night's loss did me in.
