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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    There has been recent research that supports the notion that Varitek is a great game caller, or at the very least, that Varitek saves runs for his pitchers beyond all of the defensive metrics that have already been measured, including pitch framing.
  2. Kimmi
    I think there is a difference between saying there is no evidence that clutch exists versus saying there is strong evidence that it doesn't exist. At any rate, I know I'm not going to convince anyone who believes in clutch that it doesn't exist. While I don't think there is an ability to become otherworldly in a clutch moment, I, myself, cannot say with 100% certainty that it doesn't exist.
  3. Kimmi
    Red Sox signed RHP Hector Velazquez to a minor league contract with an invitation to spring training. The 28-year-old has spent the past seven seasons pitching in the Mexican League, most recently compiling a 2.47 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 120/16 K/BB ratio over 131 1/3 innings in 2016. He's an intriguing low-risk signing for the Red Sox. Source: Boston Red Sox on Twitter I don't know anything about this guy other than what is stated in this tweet, but his numbers look promising. This is the kind of depth signing we need more of.
  4. Kimmi
    Abad has good numbers against lefties. If he can be kept in mostly a LOOGY role, he can be very effective.
  5. Kimmi
    Things have gotten ugly between Betances and Levine. Having to listen to your team in arb tell you why you're not worth the extra money is bad enough. Levine added insult to injury with his ensuing comments.
  6. Kimmi
    I don't consider Holliday's or Carter's contracts as being huge because they are short term. Fair enough on Chapman. That's a ridiculous contract. Honestly, I hope the Yankees reset their luxury tax and then go drunken crazy signing expensive free agents.
  7. Kimmi
    I will have to try to find the research on postseason 'clutch'. If the methodology is faulty or the data is not reliable, the stat geeks would not publish it as such. In terms of individual players, they have combined postseason moments with regular season clutch moments to create large enough samples, and those studies provided no evidence of clutch either. I'm guessing that's not going to sit well with you either.
  8. Kimmi
    The Yankees? Unless I missed something, I don't think so.
  9. Kimmi
    I did not see him bowl last night, but I've seen him bowl before. He is really good. I'm a big fan of bowling and the PBA. Mookie could definitely be a PBA bowler if he were not playing baseball. There is waaaayyyyy more money in baseball than in bowling.
  10. Kimmi
    While there is no proof that clutch doesn't exist, there is strong evidence that clutch doesn't exist. There are enough ways to analyze the data with large enough samples, including postseason data. OTOH, there is no statistical evidence that clutch does exist.
  11. Kimmi
    As I previously posted, I do believe that a player's performance can be positively affected by emotion or pressure. When a player doesn't choke, he is handled the pressure in a positive manner.
  12. Kimmi
    You can't really see clutch though. You can see that someone came up big in a big moment. You are convinced that it is clutch. However, you being convinced of it does not make it true.
  13. Kimmi
    Agreed.
  14. Kimmi
    I'd definitely take our top 3 against anybody's top 3. Having them be able to go deep in games strengthens our pen, which in turn, strengthens our #4 and 5 rotation spots. Overall team depth is my biggest concern, though it is really not that deep of a concern.
  15. Kimmi
    I'm really pulling for the guy. Losing all that weight does not guarantee that he will be able to perform on the field, but I give him credit for taking last year as a wake up call and doing something about it. I hope his hard work pays off, not just for him, but because the team really needs him to be successful.
  16. Kimmi
    Thanks for starting this thread! On Swihart, I just posted in the other thread that I think the 'yips' will be a non issue, but he definitely needs some time in AAA to focus on his work behind the plate. On Pom, I like his attitude coming into camp. He vows to be in the starting rotation, and not in the pen. He is confident in himself. On Wright, I can't believe that he is not recovered from his injury yet. Pitching depth will be a real concern if Wright, Pom, or ERod are not full recovered from their injuries. Lastly, Woohoo for spring training!
  17. Kimmi
    It's something to keep an eye on, but it's not something I'm worried about. I think he will be fine in terms of throwing back to the pitcher. Regardless, he will be starting in the season in AAA, which is where he belongs, to focus on his work behind the plate. On the topic of pitch framing or receiving pitches, he said something along the lines of 'I get it, but it's a concept that's out there'. That pretty tells me that he needs some time in AAA to work on his catching skills.
  18. Kimmi
    Goose Gossage should learn to keep his opinions to himself.
  19. Kimmi
    It will be interesting to see how much the Yankees spend in the next 2-3 years. You will always need to sign some free agents to fill in the holes, but no team should ever have to have as many high priced free agents on it as the Yankees have had recently. I think it depends on how successful they are. If the Yankees do not get to the World Series soon, I think they will revert to their old spending ways.
  20. Kimmi
    We do. You should start one.
  21. Kimmi
    Nice!
  22. Kimmi
    That is simply not true. The reason that I don't believe clutch exists is not because it can't be explained, but because there is very strong evidence against it existing.
  23. Kimmi
    I do think that the mental aspect of a game can affect a player's performance in a positive way, just not in the way that you are defining clutch. The ability not to choke in a pressure situation would be the mental aspect affecting a player's performance positively. I don't know anything about this kid's free throw making ability. Is he normally an 80% free throw shooter? If so, then the chances that he'd make both free throws are pretty good. If he's normally a 40% free throw shooter, then I would have to call it luck.
  24. Kimmi
    Yes, we're going around in circles. Within any of Bagwell's regular seasons, even his best ones, you can find several 3 or 4 game stretches where he had an OPS of .685 or lower. That's essentially what you're looking at when you look at a postseason series. You cannot make a definitive judgment off of a small number of series like that, especially if they are spread out over several seasons. Bagwell had 129 PAs and 106 ABs in the postseason. OBP does not stabilize until 460 PAs and SLG does not stabilize until 320 ABs. The fact that his PAs and ABs were spread over several postseasons makes them even more meaningless.
  25. Kimmi
    Actually, I don't think that's the definition of clutch that many clutch believers think of. I think they are more or less equally clutch, considering that their clutchness is related to how good they are.
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