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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Yikes. I am 99% sure that somebody posted that picture to me at Sawxheads.
  2. I am optimistic about our offense, and it has nothing to do with spring training stats. Our offense was that good last year. That said, even if everyone stays completely healthy, I don't see us getting to 100 wins either. That is just so hard to do. I think 90-95 wins, depending on the health of our players. My prediction is 95.
  3. Really? The difference in a player's talent, motivation, and adrenaline after one offseason is the same as the difference in how you are now and 40 years ago? I am not buying your argument at all. Besides, clutch stats don't even correlate well from the first half of the season to the second.
  4. There's no definitive way to know, but I don't think Price is a choker. He has either been fatigued or he's been the victim of randomness.
  5. I agree with the 'maintain your composure' argument, or defining clutch as the lack of choking. I just think that players who succeed at the major league level are pretty much all able to maintain their composure under pressure. Those who can't maintain their composure don't make it to the majors, or they don't last very long. So, while I believe that chokers exist, I don't think that they exist at the major league level.
  6. If you are going to mockingly quote what I say, at least quote me correctly.
  7. If only we had a guy like Theo...
  8. I agree that this is a fair assessment.
  9. Agree with this also. They will not put him on the major league roster if they know he'll only be needed for one or two starts.
  10. Of 6 Globe writers: 6 have Sox in playoffs 3 have Sox winning division 3 have Sox in WS 0 have Sox winning WS Of 5 Herald writers: 5 have Sox in playoffs 5 have Sox winning division 3 have Sox in WS 2 have Sox winning WS
  11. I like this post. You should post more.
  12. Nice! I actually don't completely disagree with this!
  13. So, when the player returns the following season, with the same talent + motivation + adrenaline, why is there decreased success in clutch situations? I'm not talking about one failed attempt. I'm talking about overall worse numbers than the average numbers. You can claim clutch exists all you want, but the fact remains that there is no season to season correlation with clutch. It is not a repeatable skill.
  14. Sure. I would feel very comfortable attributing his issues to fatigue, not that we know whether that's the case. I just don't feel comfortable attributing his issues to being a choker.
  15. Is that the same John Henry who said that Pablo was at 17% body fat last season?
  16. That's not really true. I'm a huge believer in the effect mental and emotional factors have on players. None of which are statistically provable, BTW. I just don't believe in clutch because of all the data against the concept.
  17. I would like to see Kendrick too, but as Fisk correctly pointed out, minor league deals do not carry options. Once Kendrick is on the major league roster, we risk losing him if we send him back down. Therefore, the Sox are not likely to put him on the 25 man roster for just one or two starts. I have been reading several other names besides Kendrick that the Sox are considering if they need someone for one or two starts until Pom is ready.
  18. That's the way a random sample is going to shake out. Some will perform better in the clutch, others will perform worse.
  19. Good post Notin. Clutch is very much about perception, and often times that perception is false. I mentioned a study where fans were allowed to choose a player that they would want up in a clutch situation. Fans chose the player with the clutch reputation rather than the better player (Jeter vs ARod, as one example). In clutch situations, the better player overwhelmingly outhit the supposed clutch player.
  20. FWIW, I think you're a very good and level-headed poster, even when you disagree with me.
  21. Oh come on. You're the one who told me about the infamous chart. Jacko doesn't bother me. I like him. I've said before that he's a very good and knowledgeable poster. When he's not trolling, that is.
  22. I agree with this 100%.
  23. Of course it exists. I have never said that something only exists if it can be proven to exist. There are a lot of intangibles that I strongly believe do exist, though I have no proof of it. The difference with clutch, defined as a repeatable skill, is that there is very strong statistical evidence that it doesn't exist.
  24. Or maybe Gibson was just a very good pitcher, period? His 1968 season he had an ERA of 1.12 and a WHIP of 0.85. In comparison to those numbers, we could say that he choked in the postseason.
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