Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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How much does this have to do with Dombrowsk's hands being tied financially? Dave is probably itching to trade for a shut down closer type, but can't due to financial and prospect constraints. Now the fact that he's not taking the chance on any of the no risk guys is solely on him. I have agreed with you on that since Day 1.
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Diaz had 57 saves last season with a 1.96 ERA. So closing was easy for him last year, but not so much this year?
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FIP - 3.94 xFIP - 4.18 SIERA - 4.04 BABIP - .235 Ottavino might be the current luckiest pitcher in MLB.
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Our resident, beloved, booth visiting nerd made a good point. Last year, the Sox often scored early, then tacked on runs throughout the game. We weren't playing as many close games in the late innings as we are this year. When you are constantly playing from behind and/or trying to protect 1-2 run leads, it becomes very taxing. There are more high stress innings on our pitchers, besides the simple fact that if you are playing more close games, you're likely to blow more leads in the late innings than if you're playing games with a 4-5 run leads.
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But why are we double digits down?
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FTR, the Yankees have a Pythagorean W-L record of 49-31. The Red Sox Pythagorean W-L record is 46-36. We are playing closer to the ability of the Yankees than our actual record reflects.
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Trust me on this one. The stat geeks did not invent quality starts or saves/blown saves/holds/blown holds to justify salaries. Stat geeks would probably not even have those stats in their vocabularies if they could help it.
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What is a 'real closer'? Are you talking about having set roles, where the closer only comes in during the 9th inning? Or are you talking about someone who is well know who costs millions of dollars?
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Oh Foy made a very good post in another thread regarding the trickle down effect of our starters' performance to our relievers' performance, but I can't seem to locate it now. Our pen is tired. They have been called upon to do more than expected, especially early in the season. Perhaps the overuse is catching up to them, especially in the month of June. Had our starters not gotten off to such a slow start, and had Eovaldi and Price not gone on the IL, would our pen have fewer blown saves? No one can say for sure, but I'm very confident that the answer would be 'yes'. I don't think anyone disagrees that the pen needs some reinforcement. I think the disagreement is in whether Dombrowski was wrong not to add reinforcements during the offseason. I don't think he was.
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Good job Notin, you are on top of these things. I don't have the time to follow other teams closely enough to ever know who might be available or who would be a good fit for our team. There are just too many players out there. Hence, I don't think I've ever made a trade proposal. I usually wait until a trade happens, then offer my opinion on it.
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Your opinion is a fair one, and mine maybe not so fair, but I can't help it. I still have not been able to fully embrace Chavis either.
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It's the recency effect. Over a 10-game span, not including that last game, JD's numbers are really bad. .174/.255/.261/.518, partly fueled by a .233 BABIP.
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As long as JD is healthy, he will hit. He's in a mini slump right now, which all hitters go through. He will be fine.
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I don't know if David Hernandez has been mentioned already, but this proposal makes a lot of sense to me: Red Sox Stats @redsoxstats 48m48 minutes ago I wouldn't be surprised if Reds setup man David Hernandez ends up being the Sox top bullpen target. He's a good pitcher (dominant FIPs the last 3 years), does things the Sox like (misses bats in the zone, pitches up w fastball), and the price will be right ($1.3M left, FA to be). Add Hernandez for a modest price, move Darwinzon Hernandez to the pen for the rest of the year and call him. Not sexy, but that’s another good pitcher and a high octane wildcard out in the pen. Makes it deeper and better. Hopefully Eovaldi stabilizes 5th spot to stop taxing pen. As Red Sox Stats mentions, it's not sexy, but you don't need sexy to be good.
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Mid Season, Fenway, Toronto? Playoffs? PLAYOFFS?
Kimmi replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Talk to me after your team once again takes an early exit from the playoffs. -
Mid Season, Fenway, Toronto? Playoffs? PLAYOFFS?
Kimmi replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I was reading that straightaway center field is only 385 feet. The park is a hitter's ballpark, and the Yankees are a home run hitting team. I guess the folks in England dig the long ball. I'm expecting a lot of offense, which means the opposite will probably happen. Maybe the trip to London will do the Red Sox some good. -
I do agree with you 100% on the 'no risk' moves.
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Amen, brother Notin.
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+1 The first goal is to make the playoffs. Winning the division would obviously be the desired route, but get to the playoffs somehow. Then, watch the Yankees be deflated once again.
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Fair enough.
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I don't expect Mookie to repeat last year's numbers, but I do expect him to be hitting a little better than he is this year. Same with JD. IMO, 2018 is the outlier for Mookie. With that said, I agree with you about throwing too much money at Mookie for an extension. I also felt that way last year when he was OPSing 1.078.
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And yet, Hal seems very hesitant to get the Yankees the pitching help that they need. One, because he doesn't want to pay the price in prospects, and two, because he doesn't want to exceed the highest luxury tax threshold. As far as the criticisms of Dombrowski for doing nothing about the pen, I think they are a little unfair. That said, if Dombrowski does not get some pen help very soon, then he deserves to be heavily criticized.
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I don't think we need a shutdown closer. We do need some bullpen help though. We need solid depth help in the bullpen, and we need our starters to do their job.
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As others have mentioned, the verdict on Cora's approach is still out. We will see how fresh and dominant our starters are come playoff time.
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I would agree with this. Especially in the wet conditions that they played in last night. FWIW, Cora insists that JD's back is not the issue.
