Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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Enjoy being Division Champs while you can. You have about 11 months remaining. -
Yes, it will be tough to lose Mookie. But the money saved from not signing him will go a long way in replacing his production. I understand how good Mookie is. I understand that he is still relatively young. I still don't think it's a good idea to give a 10 year contract.
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Amen, brother Bell.
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I posted several stats in this thread and in the Realistic thread before the topic moved here. I posted two different studies results showing no correlation between the playoffs and pretty much anything.
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I also can't understand why this is even being debated. The evidence is overwhelming that the playoffs are a crapshoot. No, not 100% a crapshoot, but very largely a crapshoot.
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I wouldn't do it.
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From what I've read, I think it's going to be a great hire. I have the exact opposite feeling of what I had when Dombrowski was hired.
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Woot! I'm excited.
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Also, I was fully on board with Pedroia's extension at the time it happened, mostly because Pedroia gave the team a discount (which Mookie will not do), and I thought it was a good deal. I have now changed my mind about it. Eight years for Pedroia was stupid, despite the discounted AAV. Give a shorter term contract with a higher AAV rather than the other way around.
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I am aware of the differences between the two players. A 10 year contract to any player is just crazy, I don't care how good he is. Eventually, the contract will become an albatross. Might it only be the last 3 years? Maybe, maybe not. But when it does become one, it will put the Sox in a similar situation to what we're dealing with now with Pedroia.
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No, he is the type of GM that will be able to keep the team competitive while building up the farm and cutting payroll. He sounds exactly like what the team needs.
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I had never heard this name before until the rumors started up that he was likely going to be our next GM. From everything that I've read about him so far, I'm all in on this guy.
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Haha! That's not as bad as the one I was thinking of, the one where he doesn't have a shirt on.
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I guess my question is why? Have the new analytics just passed him by? I have a hard time believing that that's the case.
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It's unusual, that's for sure. The interesting thing is that in some of those years, the 3 teams mentioned were one of the top teams in baseball in terms of wins, in other years, they were among the bottom of the playoff teams in terms of wins. So, it's not like they have lost so much because they were the weakest team in the playoffs every year. Do those 3 teams have some kind of organizational philosophy that keeps them from winning in the postseason? I suppose it's possible, but if there is something, it hasn't been discovered yet. It's far more likely that it's just one of those fluky things.
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I don't follow the other sports that closely, but I tend to agree with what you're saying. It seems to me that in the other sports, the favored or best teams tend to win most of the time. I might be wrong about that. But I do believe that baseball is a lot more random than other sports.
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It's one of those anomolies, Bell. There are always going to be outliers in any data sets.
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I would prefer challenges to robot umps, but I'd just as soon not even go there. I'm also not a fan of instant replay. One of the things that bugs me is why some plays are reviewable and others are not. There was a missed catcher's interference a couple of games ago, but not reviewable. Is that play any less significant than any other play?
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Hope you find employment soon. You need to start posting more.
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Bingo!
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I read this article earlier, and I've been wondering exactly what James means by this: "I’ve fallen out of step with the organization. The normal flow of work assignments to work products has deteriorated to basically nothing; honestly, I should have left a couple of years ago.”
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Sad day for Kimmi.
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Other things that do not help a team win in the post season: Momentum Clutch Home Field Advantage An Ace Experience Young, hungry players
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I'm on your side Tyler. I wouldn't say they are 100% a crap shoot, but it's pretty darn close. In any short series, randomness is king. The data is overwhelming in that regard.
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From Baseball Prospectus: "Sure, some team has probably got the best chance, but of the eight teams that make the Division Series, they all pretty much have a 10-15 percent chance of emerging as the champion. Maybe one’s got a 20 percent chance. It means that they’ve got an 80 percent chance of going home sad." If you took an extreme mismatch of a 97 win team (.600) against a 65 win team (.400), the .400 win team would still win a best of 5 series 31% of the time. The teams in the playoffs are much more evenly matched.
