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jad

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Everything posted by jad

  1. Yeah, a top RS priority should be to monkey around with Devers' swing.
  2. I'm really looking forward to the time when these arm-chair microbiologists get their first case of shingles.
  3. Thank you, Bob, for your years studying microbiology enabling you to make this astute comment.
  4. They're lucky their parents and grandparents weren't as stupid as they are when polio was around. Maybe they read that classic by Djokovic and Kyrie: EPIDEMIOLOGY FOR IDIOTS.
  5. Well aren't mechanical devices being used to speed the game up? With the pitch clock. Also, I don't see an important relation between computers generating statistics and tendencies and the simple matter of calling balls and strikes correctly. Lots of things have been 'part of the game' since the beginning, but not all those things need to be retained (e.g., racism, inconsistent strike zones, violence, and yes arguing with umpires).
  6. Agree, but likely not for why you think. Replay should only cover "what can be seen" (what could be seen from a real or ideal view-point). I still don't understand your objection to Ball/strikes called through 'the rectangle'. Hell, what the ump sees in his mind isn't visible to anyone either. Why would you want the standard to be an imperfect application of an 'idea' of the strike zone that is known to one person alone?
  7. Sure. But why is that a problem? There's no rectangle with the ump there either.
  8. What was the rationale for not putting robo-calls into play this season?
  9. My goodness, that seems very hurtful and judgmental!
  10. Bogaerts sucks. Raffy sucks. Get rid of them for some prospects.
  11. How is 5 and 3 better than 6 and 3? (Explain without invoking WAR).
  12. Yeah, got to get rid of Devers. He sucks, and the RS just can't afford him.
  13. Get rid of him. Bad d or fWAR. Long-term contracts are bad. He makes errors. ....
  14. No love for Don Buddin?
  15. Ha ha! You're right! Why with my failing memory am I completely clear about that kid some 60 years ago (I even remember his damn name!)--good ball-player, athlete, not good hitter--coming up to me triumphantly "I had TWO singles!" (two FCs). Can't remember my response--but we were on pretty good terms and maybe even played together on some team later (there my memory is less clear.
  16. That's true. The 10-year-olds on the team I coached years ago counted FC's as hits and their long-division was shaky. The 13 yr-olds were probably the first ones really to know and care about their 'stats.' (Although no one knew their fielding % or ERA). But BA? and no. of HR's? Oh yeah. Most knew.
  17. What's the dWAR of your little league kid? or for each of the starting 9 of your local h.s. team? (I'm guessing every one of them knows their BA.)
  18. Gotta go with Dewey on this one. A lot of folks followed Bonds to see if he could get 700 HR, Williams to see if he could get to .400, Pete Rose's streak. NO ONE has ever paid an admission fee to see player X move up on the dWAR list. And no one went to a football game to watch the QBR race. I'm glad folks in the GM office use adv. stats, and I'm also glad they hire professional designers for their uni's. I also think it's cool that some folks follow this; it just has nothing to do with what I experience when I watch a game. (my brother at age 12, listened to every game, compiling his version of adv. stats which was simply: no. of bases advanced by hitter and runners vs. no. of bases actually advanced: it was cool. I barely understood it, but it had nothing to do with the way we hit the ball around when we played).
  19. Wow. Letting Nate go six almost cost us JBJ. Do either of them need to push it like that in ST? (I guess there's really no such thing in pro sports as playing at half-speed!)
  20. Well, yes. But in the US in the '60s, it was intended as a criticism of 'war' as imperialist aggression (i.e., US in Vietnam, and now, by extension, Russia in Ukraine). (And I suppose one could argue--I probably would not--that passive resistance is in the long run better than military resistance. Eventually the military-backed empire will collapse of its own weight, as it did with the USSR, leaving eastern Europe (incl. Ukraine) behind in much better shape than they would have been had they tried to resist militarily. But we'll see what that argument looks like in a few months).
  21. "WAR!" (da BOOM da). "Good Gawd, y'all!" "What is it GOOD for?" "Absolutely nothing!" "Say it again ..."
  22. If you're judging on the eye-test, which is what you are saying here, why bother with stats?
  23. But of course a cell-phone is different from a statistic. You can test a cell phone to see if it works. How do you test a new mysterious statistic? Self-validation is not enough. (I believe I recall such a test from Moneyball for why OPS was preferable to, say, BA). But have we studied those tests? (Some are simple--I remember mathematical demonstrations in the 60s as to why bunts were not useful--of course, MLB managers paid not attentioin). One does not need to understand, say, dWAR to 'use' it. But one is required, I think, to demonstrate (or to describe such a demonstration) of why it is preferable to other stats.
  24. Exactly! As Richard Feynman said in the context of physics, if you have a word to explain some phenomenon or problem but cannot explain it in ordinary language, then you do not understand it.
  25. Please explain in plain language what DRS is and exactly how it is computed.
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