sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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2022 MLB Draft
sk7326 replied to mvp 78's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Roman Anthony signs for $2.5M, well above slot. Expect a bunch of cheap seniors rounds 3-10. -
2022 MLB Draft
sk7326 replied to mvp 78's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
This year is a very poor year for college pitching ... and prep arms have such high attrition rates that the team might wait on diving in there -
2022 MLB Draft
sk7326 replied to mvp 78's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
And famous from sad news of recent years ... -
2022 MLB Draft
sk7326 replied to mvp 78's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Mikey Romero ESPN's #56 ... Kiley McDaniel Athletic #40 ... Keith Law Fun fact: Roman Anthony went to Stoneman Douglas HS in Florida ... wow -
one country can implement banal public health standards and the other won't. Seeing the team have this many cranks is kind of gross.
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2 months + the playoffs of him!
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I think it's possible - but you don't waive NTCs for nothing, and no reason for Bogaerts to be the first. It's going to be to go somewhere he wants to be - or it's going to require giving Bogaerts more money. Either way, the Red Sox are on a 90-win pace and in a position to make the tournament and nobody is/should be dealing Bogaerts under those circumstances.
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People don't hire Boras because they dislike his advice.
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Yes ... a no-trade clause is really a "don't trade me without paying for it"
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If pitching staffs are going to allow for anti-public health cranks, it seems inevitable.
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That said, one of the effects could also be the evolution of more people like Whitlock - who could be true 100 inning relievers, which itself is kind of old school.
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What has been interesting in the negotiations is that we see reports of MLB coming down off of its maximum asks ... but we don't see MLB making deals that are responsive in any way to player interests. (the two big ones, more money for younger players and incentivizing/forcing competitive behavior by teams.
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The frustrating thing about the spin of some of the reporting is that we get stories about "MLB is proposing ______" or "The union is discussing ____________" ... and reporting it in a way that the issue is actually settled or it is the one thing separating us from a deal. A good though exercise is - suppose there was a report "The Red Sox have added Kike Hernandez into negotiations with the Angels". This is all fun to know - but it's leaving out a LOT of details about the negotiation. After all, if the Angels offer Mike Trout that means one thing, and if the Angels offer a trout named Mike, it means something else entirely. If it turned out the Angels offered the latter, reporting that "The Red Sox offered Kike to the Angels but then went back on it" is pretty dishonest spin.
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The Seadogs make below minimum wage
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Your points are fair ... but for that reason the NFLPA has always chosen "more money now" when there have been negotiations (including the most recent round). They have not serious contested the guaranteed contract thing - and to be fair, the use of signing bonuses in the NFL creates some level of guarantee anyway.
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I don't think they care about the fan per se ... but I know they love baseball at least as much as I do - indeed more.
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For me - it has just been very hard for me to justify any of management's points when other sports have shown much more financial transparency and realized that making players stakeholders uncomplicates things for everybody. Now - salary caps did not come without some serious labor pain ... the players know it's role is to reduce salaries ... but the players in the NBA and NFL are far better off en masse than baseball players are.
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Fun mental exercise ... baseball made $10.7B in revenue in 2019. If we take the Atlanta Braves financials (which are public) at face value, 2021 reflectes a 10% increase from 2019. So let's use a revenue basis of $12.0B (the actual increase is 11.1%. I'll simplify the numbers for math). Baseball's combined payroll in 2021 was 4.07B. So we're dealing with 33-35% of revenues going to the players. Now, not all revenue in the NBA or NFL are subject to division - but let's assume that most of the revenue is revenue that should be shared with the players. Just for fun, let's call it $10B. in the NBA, the players are guaranteed something between 48% and 52% of the pie, with the salary cap being set at 50.3% i think. So if we use 50% as the baseline "share", that means the leaguewide salary pool is $5B. Divided among 30 teams, that would be a salary cap of $167M per team with a salary floor of $160M. There are numerous ways for teams to spend above the salary cap - but you can figure that out.
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If the owners cared about the PR war here, I'd say this is pretty bad for their case.
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It has been striking that Passan and Rosenthal, hardly labor firebrands, point out the fault pretty unambiguously.
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in real $$ terms, the owners want to decrease it ... both the flat upper limit and the higher punishment rates. The players aren't even asking for enough IMO - every other sport has these limits tied to revenue. Baseball players are well within reason to ask for the same.
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One of the funny things about this lockout is that the CBT sunsetted - and there is no doubt that the Mets were ready to go bananas. The league locked out in large part to stop the Dodgers and Mets (and quite possibly the Red Sox) from swooping in.
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Why not - it's how the NFL and NBA work.
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The union made a lot of movement to the owners and the owners did not look at the offer. We're basically in a state of play where the owners are insisting the equivalent of - as Craig Calcaterra put it - getting Mike Trout in exchange for a Triple-A middle reliever. The owners are basically proposing a de facto hard cap not tied to revenue which rises slower than inflation. That should be a non-starter. I was optimistic before - but just like 2020, the owners (and it's clearly small market teams driivng the train here) would prefer not to have baseball at all if it means bringing the union to its knees.
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Is it? The watering down is really about teams not attempting to win ... the underlying model is the problem there. The two big problems with baseball globally are: 1. Not enough balls put into play 2. Folks who run the game apparently not liking baseball