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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    I'd also add that if Hanley is out for a significant haul - you probably are looking at Castillo anyway which might not be as big a dropoff
  2. sk7326
    I didn't - that's what median means. The Red Sox are a .500 ish team who have gotten some pitching which is even worse than what I expected ... and by expected I mean what a reasonable person would expect from the starters. The offense has been good despite Betts and Ortiz not launching yet fully.
  3. sk7326
    But I think you hit on the disagreement. Using a basic discounted return on investment idea, you do have to project a growth rate in the inflows. That's what the Red Sox were doing - because of where he is as a 26 year old. Now if you think that is not likely, that certainly is a reasonable POV. I happen to disagree because 26 year olds improve all the time.
  4. sk7326
    The team is above .500 and right in the middle of a very very muddled division with this level of starting pitching. The rotation needs to get better to be taken seriously as a contendah, but the upgrade to make a dent in this 5-team muck in the AL East only has to be a small one. It could be as simple as replacing one set of starts with Eduardo Rodriguez' potentially.
  5. sk7326
    If a team is worried about a catcher's game calling - they're going to just let him flail without sending some signs over? That seems awfully naive. Game calling is an excellent skill - but if a kid is young, other folks can provide help. And at the end of the day, you're going to put down a sign the pitcher agrees with - because it's ultimately on his execution.
  6. sk7326
    He's 26 - betting improvement is extremely defensible. $20M is not the going rate for a #1 pitcher, it's the going rate for a #2/3, and in two years it will be the going rate for a #3/#4. The odds of the Porcello deal being a loser are actually quite low.
  7. sk7326
    A fair question - I think the market could be higher - but the Red Sox can trump any of the suitors if they want to win the auction. But I think the industry is balking at the Phillies demands.
  8. sk7326
    Calling a game is a hole - but the coaching staff can work around that in the short term. Is the pitch framing good? That is more relevant. That said, he has been very good in his AAA stance and there was a job opening. Here is the thing - it is tempting to paternistically keep going "whoa your horses, let's give him more seasoning" - but he has made the organization notice him. That in itself is a good sign.
  9. sk7326
    Obviously it's early - but on the basis of one month, both Ramirez and Sandoval have been good. In actuality - every Red Sox move so far has gone about the median of what one could have expected.
  10. sk7326
    His K-rate has been fine so far, but nobody is confusing him with Pedro Martinez
  11. sk7326
    Miley has been awful - at the same time, he's 28 - his strikeout rate has plunged and his walk rate has skyrocketed ... both well outside of career norms. Considering that he pitched in a launching pad in Arizona (even facing the pitcher hitting), the strong likelihood is that this will settle down.
  12. sk7326
    Got to be in it to win it.
  13. sk7326
    Easy game if nobody is making you get any hits
  14. sk7326
    That out that circled around and went down the toilet would be nice about now
  15. sk7326
    If it came from the bench that is grounds for justifiable homicide
  16. sk7326
    Did Farrell have a lobotomy? Can Cherington come out of the manager's box with a vaudeville cane for this?
  17. sk7326
    BTW: I am not necessarily putting a ton on the manager's door - we know that managing matters a lot - but more in the "stuff we don't see" areas. (after all, both the A's and Yankees repeated titles after managerial changes in the 70s) But Baltimore created a very large window of opportunity during Weaver's time which few teams were able to sustain. It is kind of funny that Weaver and Bobby Cox are basically exact parallels in this sort of respect. An extraordinary run of consistent excellence - with a title but felt like there should have been more. Dick Williams was a great manager - but also like Billy Martin had a fairly limited shelf life. (fortunately not the creep Billy Martin was of course) From the evidence, Williams was not a great program builder - but great if you had a short window of opportunity.
  18. sk7326
    The NL had more WS wins than the AL over Weaver's 15 year career by the whopping score of 8 to 7 ...
  19. sk7326
    I think it is clear too that the philosophy for position players and pitchers is much different with regards to these things (as it ought to be) ...
  20. sk7326
    I don't have visions of him winning a Cy Young - or even a regular turn in a good rotation. But he had 5 innings in him in a bullpen where nobody else did. Over the marathon there is intrinsic value there ... granted I doubt we'll be piling up 19 inning games. And the thing with the knuckleballer is that if he has an emergency turn - there is at least a chance it can be very good.
  21. sk7326
    The tactics are undersold ... Among the earlier guys to look at splits, matchups vs pitchers (some SSS issues there, but nobody's perfect), developing young pitchers through middle relief. His views on the four man rotation might (with significant workload alteration) make more sense now than ever. A lot of those "Weaver on Strategy" insights were ahead of their time.
  22. sk7326
    In some ways it is a shame that Weaver's best known for his, umm ... theatrical ejections. Because for modern baseball tactical minds, there was probably nobody better. He might not have won as many championships as others - but in a way it's like Bobby Cox. Getting your team to the rodeo as often as he did says at least as much as rings.
  23. sk7326
    No, but I think you need to get to the 40 game mark to really start to say we've learned something about this team one way or the other ... and even then it's not a hell of a lot
  24. sk7326
    Different sport - not games every day ... defeat is not a fact of the game ... players are used to be treated like crap from Pop Warner
  25. sk7326
    I think he was done to be fair - 8 years ib Boston is 95 anywhere else.
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