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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    Drew was largely solid and productive. In a way he was hampered by his brush with MVP-ness when he was in Atlanta (and probably should have won it). That he never touched it hurt his narrative though he was productive. Also - and this is just me spitballing - he always gave me the sense of a guy who played baseball because it was a family business. The game was so easy for him, but somewhere in his heart, he might have wished he was a painter or something.
  2. sk7326
    The Red Sox All-Time list by bWAR ... obviously all-in-one stats are not infallible, but curious to see where it ends up. I combine batters and pitchers 1. Ted Williams 126.1 2. Carl Yastrzemski 96.1 3. Roger Clemens 81.3 4. Wade Boggs 71.6 5. Cy Young 66.2 6. Dwight Evans 66.2 7. Tris Speaker 55.4 8. Pedro Martinez 53.8 9. Bobby Doerr 51.2 10. David Ortiz 49.0 11. Jim Rice 47.4 12. Dustin Pedroia 46.3 13. Lefty Grove 44.7 14. Nomar Garciaparra 41.1 15. Carlton Fisk 39.5 16. Rico Petrocelli 39.1 17. Harry Hooper 38.4 18. Luis Tiant 36.4 19. Jimmie Foxx 34.6 20. Reggie Smith 34.2 21. Manny Ramirez 33.2 22. Tim Wakefield 32.6 23. John Valentin 32.1 24. Dom Dimaggio 32.0 25. Fred Lynn 31.9 26. Kevin Youkilis 31.4 27. Jon Lester 30.7 28. Larry Gardner 30.5 29. Johnny Pesky 30.5 30. Smoky Joe Wood 29.9 Even if you take some away from Williams (and it is all because of his bat, he was below replacement level on defense) due to 1/3 of his career predating integration he laps the field.
  3. sk7326
    Ortiz was never the best hitter of his era. He will end up as one of my two favorite all time Red Sox, and for me that is enough. Ortiz' great moments (which I will never forget) are at least as much a symptom of the Red Sox largely being really good for most of his time here.
  4. sk7326
    A reduction in fastball speed is not a red flag in itself if he can pitch without it - was something that was bound to happen. That said, yeah the hard contact is striking - and leads to a career worst BABIP by a mile - .362 - so high that you expect some regression. The homerun rate is crazy high as well right now. I am optimistic this will settle down a little, simply because he has still been outstanding in spots. The shaky home starts to me can be explained by weather - but definitely watching.
  5. sk7326
    Sox got it wrong. As has been noted, the Cuban free agent market creates this massive incentive to spend tons of money. Alas, the mistakes are expensive ones.
  6. sk7326
    Picking him up means there are options - I would worry more about team building if there was a law which beheads people who attempt to make moves during the season. Things tend to sort themselves out. Buchholz might leave a hold in your rotation but that you can plan for - and he was expected to be decent during the time you had him. And at (for a veteran starter) a pretty low price. Now he has not held up his end of the deal - which is a shame. Fortunately this team can absorb it for a little while.
  7. sk7326
    1. To date? No - obviously 2. Picking up his extension was a no-brainer, full stop
  8. sk7326
    What I was saying is that proof of a reverse split using season numbers is basically non existent
  9. sk7326
    I'm 38 years old and spent most of my childhood without NESN on basic tier. For me, the best of the Red Sox broadcasts were McDonough and Remy - because Sean pushed Remy much harder than any of this partners have - and it showed in the results. Droll, informative, cynical - probably the best broadcast of any tier outside of Scully and some of the better Skip Caray years. Living in DC, Jim Palmer is generally good - but Gary Thorne is insufferable (which is deeply ironic given his background).
  10. sk7326
    It's May 1 ... lots of games for it to catch up. Splits themselves can be deceiving just because of the sheer number of at-bats the guys have had against lefties to this point. Indeed, the career splits have much more validity.
  11. sk7326
    Actualy JBJ at 9th is a great option - he goes in so many slumps it is hard to move him up, but it helps prevent Betts from having too many PAs with nobody on.
  12. sk7326
    Okay - let's work this way. Betts has to be in the Top 4 - because he is one of their 4 best hitters, and none of the other hitters make reasonable sustainable cases for inclusion over Betts (Travis Shaw, Holt, Vasquez, Bradley, Ramirez). Could you argue he should be in a position with more RBI potential? Maybe. Given his speed relative to the others, leadoff makes more sense. Aside from Ortiz there is not a terrific amount of on-base differentiation.
  13. sk7326
    and it ended at .341. 2014 ended at .368. In other words bet the over.
  14. sk7326
    Too few PAs to conclude anything from stats. He's 23 and their best player. Let him breathe.
  15. sk7326
    I don't see the panic yet - the panic was much worse in the "between Theo and Dombrowski" time. Vasquez was healthy - so he came in. After that, whatever you did with Swihart - he needed to play. So playing at AAA > not playing in Boston.
  16. sk7326
    SSS alert ...
  17. sk7326
    The Red Sox team OBP is .343. That leads the American League. .342 is well above the league average in an era where the average is lower than it has been in days of yore. Betts is off to a slow start, but there is no evidence he won't end the season as one of the league's better players.
  18. sk7326
    Costas is very annoying - a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like. He was pretty good in the 80s before he became very very impressed with the sound of his voice. The broadcasts with Kaat have sounded like Waldorf and Stadler without the wit. The overall broadcast involves a lot of protection of old guard values. ranting against analytics and defensive shifts. Definitely not the sort of thing which helps the pursuit of younger viewers.
  19. sk7326
    Your best hitter should be batting 2nd. At least statistically it does the best job balancing "lots of plate appearance" with "lots of plate appearances with baserunners". Over a season the differences between 2nd and 3rd are small, but they can add up. But few teams do it - there are still significant silly little baseball princples old timey sorts have.
  20. sk7326
    It's April 30
  21. sk7326
    Looks like control is dicey but strikeout rate is impressive. As I said, have to study further - glad things are going well for him
  22. sk7326
    Oh wallow is a bit of hyperbole. The Red Sox tried both years - they signed top free agents. Indeed a lot of their mistakes were about trying too hard and making pointless roster moves. (2014 in particular) Both years there were paths to winning that didn't work out. Cherington paid for it with his job - but nobody was tanking here. The most important thing Dombrowski has going here is that he is empowered - Cherington was the tip of a collaborative spear. In Detroit he made smart trades, and ultimately his owner wanted to win now now now and he did what his boss wanted. If Henry is committed to a vibrant farm system and building organically then that will happen. Your alignment is certainly possible - but I have a hard time expecting Bradley to be the long term solution here, not because he is not a capable starter, but because he is such an obvious choice to be part of a meaningful trade.
  23. sk7326
    Need to study further - always skeptical of San Diego guys. Petco, Chavez and AT&T can run up pitching stats.
  24. sk7326
    1. You certainly don't bet on Benintendi being our LF this year. However, we know Schwarber and Conforto are recent precedents - polished college bats who got to the bigs very quickly. We'll know where Benintendi really is depending on how quickly he gets to Portland. 2. Moncada has been playing 2B because you try to keep a guy in the middle infield as long as possible. But he was 6'0 210 lbs as a 19 year old, and had a SS arm. The odds have always been on him outgrowing the middle infield. Moving to RF makes sense - and his bat should profile anywhere. 3. Assuming no crackerjack trade or FA, the Red Sox ideal outfield I think is Benintendi-Betts-Moncada. 4. Espinoza will not be rushed. Given the history of pitcher injuries and such, he might not be making >50 pitch outings until next year at the earliest. He is so accomplished as an 18 year old - it is easy to want to Dusty Baker him, but have to resist.
  25. sk7326
    Now while I say dealing a guy with "young pedro" comps is a big mistake - I will also say that pitchers health is so much more volatile than position players (along with being at Greenville as an 18 year old) puts him first on the list to trade. But you have to make it count. Other guys floors are higher.
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