sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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Clay Buchholz - Is he worth the 2016 option?
sk7326 replied to Slasher9's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Picking him up means there are options - I would worry more about team building if there was a law which beheads people who attempt to make moves during the season. Things tend to sort themselves out. Buchholz might leave a hold in your rotation but that you can plan for - and he was expected to be decent during the time you had him. And at (for a veteran starter) a pretty low price. Now he has not held up his end of the deal - which is a shame. Fortunately this team can absorb it for a little while. -
Clay Buchholz - Is he worth the 2016 option?
sk7326 replied to Slasher9's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
1. To date? No - obviously 2. Picking up his extension was a no-brainer, full stop -
Where have all the opposing lefty pitchers gone?
sk7326 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
What I was saying is that proof of a reverse split using season numbers is basically non existent -
I'm 38 years old and spent most of my childhood without NESN on basic tier. For me, the best of the Red Sox broadcasts were McDonough and Remy - because Sean pushed Remy much harder than any of this partners have - and it showed in the results. Droll, informative, cynical - probably the best broadcast of any tier outside of Scully and some of the better Skip Caray years. Living in DC, Jim Palmer is generally good - but Gary Thorne is insufferable (which is deeply ironic given his background).
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Where have all the opposing lefty pitchers gone?
sk7326 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It's May 1 ... lots of games for it to catch up. Splits themselves can be deceiving just because of the sheer number of at-bats the guys have had against lefties to this point. Indeed, the career splits have much more validity. -
Actualy JBJ at 9th is a great option - he goes in so many slumps it is hard to move him up, but it helps prevent Betts from having too many PAs with nobody on.
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Okay - let's work this way. Betts has to be in the Top 4 - because he is one of their 4 best hitters, and none of the other hitters make reasonable sustainable cases for inclusion over Betts (Travis Shaw, Holt, Vasquez, Bradley, Ramirez). Could you argue he should be in a position with more RBI potential? Maybe. Given his speed relative to the others, leadoff makes more sense. Aside from Ortiz there is not a terrific amount of on-base differentiation.
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and it ended at .341. 2014 ended at .368. In other words bet the over.
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Too few PAs to conclude anything from stats. He's 23 and their best player. Let him breathe.
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I don't see the panic yet - the panic was much worse in the "between Theo and Dombrowski" time. Vasquez was healthy - so he came in. After that, whatever you did with Swihart - he needed to play. So playing at AAA > not playing in Boston.
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SSS alert ...
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The Red Sox team OBP is .343. That leads the American League. .342 is well above the league average in an era where the average is lower than it has been in days of yore. Betts is off to a slow start, but there is no evidence he won't end the season as one of the league's better players.
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Costas is very annoying - a stupid person's idea of what a smart person sounds like. He was pretty good in the 80s before he became very very impressed with the sound of his voice. The broadcasts with Kaat have sounded like Waldorf and Stadler without the wit. The overall broadcast involves a lot of protection of old guard values. ranting against analytics and defensive shifts. Definitely not the sort of thing which helps the pursuit of younger viewers.
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Your best hitter should be batting 2nd. At least statistically it does the best job balancing "lots of plate appearance" with "lots of plate appearances with baserunners". Over a season the differences between 2nd and 3rd are small, but they can add up. But few teams do it - there are still significant silly little baseball princples old timey sorts have.
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It's April 30
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Looks like control is dicey but strikeout rate is impressive. As I said, have to study further - glad things are going well for him
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Oh wallow is a bit of hyperbole. The Red Sox tried both years - they signed top free agents. Indeed a lot of their mistakes were about trying too hard and making pointless roster moves. (2014 in particular) Both years there were paths to winning that didn't work out. Cherington paid for it with his job - but nobody was tanking here. The most important thing Dombrowski has going here is that he is empowered - Cherington was the tip of a collaborative spear. In Detroit he made smart trades, and ultimately his owner wanted to win now now now and he did what his boss wanted. If Henry is committed to a vibrant farm system and building organically then that will happen. Your alignment is certainly possible - but I have a hard time expecting Bradley to be the long term solution here, not because he is not a capable starter, but because he is such an obvious choice to be part of a meaningful trade.
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Need to study further - always skeptical of San Diego guys. Petco, Chavez and AT&T can run up pitching stats.
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1. You certainly don't bet on Benintendi being our LF this year. However, we know Schwarber and Conforto are recent precedents - polished college bats who got to the bigs very quickly. We'll know where Benintendi really is depending on how quickly he gets to Portland. 2. Moncada has been playing 2B because you try to keep a guy in the middle infield as long as possible. But he was 6'0 210 lbs as a 19 year old, and had a SS arm. The odds have always been on him outgrowing the middle infield. Moving to RF makes sense - and his bat should profile anywhere. 3. Assuming no crackerjack trade or FA, the Red Sox ideal outfield I think is Benintendi-Betts-Moncada. 4. Espinoza will not be rushed. Given the history of pitcher injuries and such, he might not be making >50 pitch outings until next year at the earliest. He is so accomplished as an 18 year old - it is easy to want to Dusty Baker him, but have to resist.
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Now while I say dealing a guy with "young pedro" comps is a big mistake - I will also say that pitchers health is so much more volatile than position players (along with being at Greenville as an 18 year old) puts him first on the list to trade. But you have to make it count. Other guys floors are higher.
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What is amazing about Benintendi is he is the rare college player who did not appear on radars until very recently. It is distinctly possible (I won't say likely) that Holt is keeping Benintendi or Moncada's seat warm in LF.
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It is possible. Losing Espinoza would be a serious mistake, especially if you are among those who bleat about the lack of org arms. The rental market honestly will probably not warrant that. The ability to get a big fish at the deadline just is not what it was. It won't be a barren market clearly - but because of revenue sharing and the 2nd wild card - it will take a long time to sort out.
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Obviously caveats abound (that the bat continues to grow and he grows as a catcher, both at least decent bets): What if it turns out Vasquez can't hit? For real? Maybe the gap between Vasquez and Swihart offensively trails the gap defensively. If that's true, maybe catcher is a true jobshare, where Swihart gets 80-90 starts and then 30-40 in other spots while Vasquez starts. Now Swihart's bat needs to develop for this to happen - but that is entirely possible. The team is very high on Swihart - and they should be. Remember, he played the position it takes the most time to develop, in the big leagues - without any significant AAA seasoning, and turned out to be adequate. That is a tremendous starting point.
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A rotation with a 4.00 ERA backed by a bullpen with a better one - that is workable. What Buchholz is doing is well ... not that.
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Young is precisely a professional 4th OF. Kapler specifically WAS a platoon partner for Trot Nixon. He also was a defensive and injury replacement in 2004. You can sleep through baseball games, just please, not the ones in THE title season. Eric Hinske wasn't even a 4th OF - he was a Matt Stairs professional bat. You'd have a designated pinch runner for him if he were a little leaguer. Jacoby Ellsbury was that team's 4th outfielder.