sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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The concept of marginal utility weeps
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Even the bad starts - he was striking out a ton of guys, and his walks and hits were not all that bananas. 62 batters with RISP this season have had a .847 OPS, compared to .652 with bases empty, .800 with men on His career OPS with bases empty, men on, RISP (.637, .662, .700 respectively) do not reflect a consistent issue with pitching with men on. So you bet this gets fixed, because his bases empty OPS against was still really good.
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The greatest pitcher I ever saw in the greatest season I ever saw a pitcher have gave up 9 runs 3.2 innings to the Florida Marlins. Bad starts happen. The better indicator on Price was noticing "holy crap, he's striking out a ton of guys", and betting on him figuring the rest of the stuff out.
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He gets a little - but the players are the forefront were grown men who had won stuff before. There were key health problems and a team which flat ran out of pitchers. Also, Papi, Pedroia, Yook were all prominent pieces of the team's last title winner - did Pedroia suddenly stop being a scrappy leader? If they are a team's beating heart during a title chase, they have to also be that during a collective failing, no? One of the larger truths which analytics has revealed is that "undermanaging" - bunting less, limiting hit and runs and steals ... is generally an effective approach. It also makes it look like the manager is not doing anything. Filling out the lineup card is tremendous work - but the levers inside of a game don't need to be pulled all that frequently.
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Correlating salary linearly with production makes no sense because of supply. Price makes 2.3x as Buchholz, not because Price is 2.3x better than Buchholz - but because there are MANY MANY MANY fewer pitchers who are let's say 50% better than Buchholz (or whatever)
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I know he ain't forgoing salary. I also know he ain't getting a major league gig here. Keeping a roster spot because "well, we're paying him - he might as well show up to work" is silly. Cut him, eat the contract and get on with the rest of your life.
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Francona is a great manager in the way that you'd apply the definition in 2016, where the MANAGER term is especially appropriate. From the outside, he resembles what would qualify as a great boss in our (as in the people whom these various posts' typing fingers belong to, who have jobs and lives which they neglect to post on the Sox) own lives at our real jobs. Nice guy, very smart, very well informed on all of the job functions (since he's done it all, player, coach, player personnel), good humor but a straight shooter. Would not publicly embarass you, and was really good at creating an office which was a nice place to work and for you to be productive. And he was good at keeping the other bs to a minimum (media savviness very important here).
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I don't want my spring ruined. I'd prefer my summer not be ruined. But if the fall is ruined, that is okay occasionally.
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The Red Sox Bullpen discussion thread
sk7326 replied to StephenCurry30's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
1. I can't believe this is still a discussion 2. The essential plus of Dombrowski is that he is where the buck stops on major baseball decisions. I do not know how much power Cherington had (although you have to assume less than Epstein post gorilla suit). But it was clearly a collaborative process of some kind, which got muddled. The accountability diagram is much simpler now. I think when Cherington was canned, it was less about the work he specifically did than a repudiation (by Henry) of the entire decision making apparatus on the baseball side. After all, Lucchino was ushered out too. Dombrowski, like any new exec (mostly) was walking into a situation where there has been a lot of losing. It also was probably the "best" losing situation that a GM has ever inherited. -
Ultimately with Craig, the money is gone - there are good reasons for both sides to end it
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That is fair - although in a general way, I forget baseball before 1947 existed
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No top of the rotation choices. what you'd be looking for is upside (Andrew Cashner maybe) or some reasonable innings soaker uppers (Hellickson). Maybe Kris Medlen another year from surgery could intrigue. There are a number of one-year sort of guys (De La Rosa) who would make sense in a Dempster sort of way.
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He managed tactically for the season - not the individual game.
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Also - the Royals built to ballpark ... meh starters, but guys who can keep it in the yard ...
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Given TV money and how every square foot of the Nation is monetized, if the guys are not paid, it's because of choice.
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I think it matters as to when "eventually" arrives. If Bogaerts can stay on SS for 5 years or so, then what happens afterwards is a nonissue.
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Very true. I think the more important thing is that we know Bradley could hit AAA pitching - whatever he needed to do, he had to do with big league reps
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Not that simple - there are notions of position and age that kick in too. Benintendi is a college prospect who was voted the nation's best player. He has obliterated levels competitionwise which were worse than or as good as the SEC. He is a very bright prospect, but a 21 year old at AA. By his 21st Birthday, Bogaerts was starting at 3B for a team that would win the World Series. Bogaerts was an elite prospect because as a 20 year old, he showed advanced power - and it looked like he could stay at SS, which was the big question for him (because he was 6'1" 200 lbs as a 20 year old). As it turns out, it has taken a while for the power to really arrive - this year there is some good evidence - and it turns out that after a ton of work on his part, he can actually play shortstop quite well. Betts, Bogaerts, Benintendi and Bradley in that order. The first two are foundational for us, the jury's out on the other two.
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To a certain degree, but it has often been thus with the Wilpons ... like Loria they can afford it, they'd prefer not to
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Cubs are on a 112 win pace. Orioles are counting on Chris Tillman's crazy homerun luck to continue. Red Sox staff still has significant upside. Sox are on a 95 win pace with the AL's best scoring margin. Sox need another reliable starter, but much more signs of the party continuing than Baltimore.
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it's close. but flags fly forever, and the mets window is now. Mets are not poor, though they act it - and the most teams are flush with cash.
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The Red Sox have 6 of the Top 20 position players in fWAR, which is inconceivable over the whole season. I expect Bradley to give some of this up - if he ends in a .270/.330 spot he will be just fine. Right now this is an MVP candidate which does not seem likely to persist. (and weirdly not the best MVP candidate on the team so far)
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They overpaid for Kimbrel - but they got a stud with control. I did not like the deal, but I understood it. A haul for a young, controllable stud starter is going to require some significant value (think the Beckett deal in 2006)
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betts or bradley and stuff