sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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I see your point - but Ross was essentially in the Vasquez position. We already have the "receiver who can hit a little hopefully" gig covered.
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Young still has value backing up both corners and being an emergency CF (since Betts is the first backup there). I think when Holt comes back, I'd consider moving Hanigan, and just give Swihart those one or two starts per week.
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There is an interesting correlation with line drive rate, but it's not perfect. (Like 0.3 or so when I checked, positive but noisy) I think the flipside is a bit more controllable - that pitchers can control BABIP better than hitters can.
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Maybe. I would like Farrell though to still rotate him through behind the dish while he is up.
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It's a matter of believing in Correa's power - and that it will grow (because I think it is more likely than not he will have to move to 3B inside of 5 years) to a franchise anchor. Lindor is going to be able to stay at SS. The power potential is probably going to top off at the 10-15 HR level, but with outstanding batting and on-base numbers. Bogaerts to me is kind of the best of both worlds - I think the power is coming (the ISO this year is starting to get back to where he was on the farm) and he has been just stunning turning himself into someone who can legitimately stay on the hot corner much longer than anybody anticipated. I'd go Bogaerts-Lindor-Correa with a watchful eye towards Addison Russell, who has the tools to be every bit as good although the bat has not arrived yet. I do not deny having Red colored glasses here.
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Vasquez is hitting enough to let his glove play - this is most likely what he is - and that makes him a solid starter. Now what the article says about Swihart is absolutely right. If Swihart grows into an above average catcher - he has a much higher ceiling because of a much better bat. And yes, it makes sense while Swihart is up here to rotate him behind the plate from time to time. There is a solid chance that he will have a better career than Vasquez. But I don't blame the Sox for making the "right now" decision here. I also have serious issues with the article's thesis that Farrell is behind the itchy trigger with the kiddos. That is/was above his pay grade.
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Or he can leave if they tell him to go home - the contract is getting paid
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Why? If he's not seeing the bigs this year (and since Swihart jumped over him and undoubtedly if he can Benintendi will), he is just a waste of a roster spot. Sunk cost - no point worrying about the money.
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Yeah, this. Only question I had was whether they had to waive him again - not that anybody would claim him.
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Yes, and I do think with pitchers WAR, the bulk innings have value in and of themselves - something Buchholz has generally not produced.
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Well, I'd put it another way. Looking at 2015 Fangraphs WAR for pitchers among qualified starters There was 1, with FIP There were 14 with FIP between 2 and 3 There were 36 with FIP between 3 and 4 So as you move up the performance ladder - it becomes much much harder to extract that value - it is a scarcer commodity and so it should cost more asymmetrically. So you'd hope for the "ace" to be about a run better.
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The concept of marginal utility weeps
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Even the bad starts - he was striking out a ton of guys, and his walks and hits were not all that bananas. 62 batters with RISP this season have had a .847 OPS, compared to .652 with bases empty, .800 with men on His career OPS with bases empty, men on, RISP (.637, .662, .700 respectively) do not reflect a consistent issue with pitching with men on. So you bet this gets fixed, because his bases empty OPS against was still really good.
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The greatest pitcher I ever saw in the greatest season I ever saw a pitcher have gave up 9 runs 3.2 innings to the Florida Marlins. Bad starts happen. The better indicator on Price was noticing "holy crap, he's striking out a ton of guys", and betting on him figuring the rest of the stuff out.
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He gets a little - but the players are the forefront were grown men who had won stuff before. There were key health problems and a team which flat ran out of pitchers. Also, Papi, Pedroia, Yook were all prominent pieces of the team's last title winner - did Pedroia suddenly stop being a scrappy leader? If they are a team's beating heart during a title chase, they have to also be that during a collective failing, no? One of the larger truths which analytics has revealed is that "undermanaging" - bunting less, limiting hit and runs and steals ... is generally an effective approach. It also makes it look like the manager is not doing anything. Filling out the lineup card is tremendous work - but the levers inside of a game don't need to be pulled all that frequently.
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Correlating salary linearly with production makes no sense because of supply. Price makes 2.3x as Buchholz, not because Price is 2.3x better than Buchholz - but because there are MANY MANY MANY fewer pitchers who are let's say 50% better than Buchholz (or whatever)
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I know he ain't forgoing salary. I also know he ain't getting a major league gig here. Keeping a roster spot because "well, we're paying him - he might as well show up to work" is silly. Cut him, eat the contract and get on with the rest of your life.
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Francona is a great manager in the way that you'd apply the definition in 2016, where the MANAGER term is especially appropriate. From the outside, he resembles what would qualify as a great boss in our (as in the people whom these various posts' typing fingers belong to, who have jobs and lives which they neglect to post on the Sox) own lives at our real jobs. Nice guy, very smart, very well informed on all of the job functions (since he's done it all, player, coach, player personnel), good humor but a straight shooter. Would not publicly embarass you, and was really good at creating an office which was a nice place to work and for you to be productive. And he was good at keeping the other bs to a minimum (media savviness very important here).
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I don't want my spring ruined. I'd prefer my summer not be ruined. But if the fall is ruined, that is okay occasionally.
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The Red Sox Bullpen discussion thread
sk7326 replied to StephenCurry30's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
1. I can't believe this is still a discussion 2. The essential plus of Dombrowski is that he is where the buck stops on major baseball decisions. I do not know how much power Cherington had (although you have to assume less than Epstein post gorilla suit). But it was clearly a collaborative process of some kind, which got muddled. The accountability diagram is much simpler now. I think when Cherington was canned, it was less about the work he specifically did than a repudiation (by Henry) of the entire decision making apparatus on the baseball side. After all, Lucchino was ushered out too. Dombrowski, like any new exec (mostly) was walking into a situation where there has been a lot of losing. It also was probably the "best" losing situation that a GM has ever inherited. -
Ultimately with Craig, the money is gone - there are good reasons for both sides to end it
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That is fair - although in a general way, I forget baseball before 1947 existed
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No top of the rotation choices. what you'd be looking for is upside (Andrew Cashner maybe) or some reasonable innings soaker uppers (Hellickson). Maybe Kris Medlen another year from surgery could intrigue. There are a number of one-year sort of guys (De La Rosa) who would make sense in a Dempster sort of way.
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He managed tactically for the season - not the individual game.