sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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he DID hit well in the minors - and struck out a ton. nobody got hurt by a look - nothing was set back. i'd still put him on the playoff roster.
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it is possible. voters are not as hypnotized by pitcher wins as they used to be though - and that is a good thing.
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(ducking lightning bolt) - now that it looks likely there will be at least 163 games in this season ... let's put a dedicated playoff roster thread ... for me? C : Leon 1B : Ramirez 2B : Pedroia 3B: Shaw SS: Bogaerts LF: Benintendi CF: Bradley RF: Betts DH: Ortiz RESERVES (5): Hanigan, Young, Holt, Hill, Moncada ... Red Sox have liked having an extra guy to PR in these short series - Moncada can clearly do at least that. Starters (4): Price, Porcello, Rodriguez, Buchholz ... it's clear Pomeranz is about to drop dead if he has to start any more Relievers (7): Kimbrel, Uehara, Tazawa, Ross, Hembree, Pomeranz, Barnes ... keep Pomeranz as a long man/LOOGY as needed.
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i think earlier there has been a level of managing the season - not to say I agreed with a lot of his pitching moves. But as the season has gotten later the hooks have gotten quicker. And I think Uehara's return has allowed a lot of other stuff to fall into place.
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I agree with you - but I am also sure that temporarily trades will cost the Padres a little bit more. But only temporarily.
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i think they wondered whether his athleticism could transcend the holes - and since 3B was not actually a desperate need, they could always unplug it. nobody got hurt.
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Kluber, Sale and Porcello will be very close. Fortunately, the Cy vote is usually entirely on individual merit. Kluber is perhaps a tiny bit ahead of the other two - but hard to argue with any.
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He has made more outs than the other big contenders - but the power, speed and defense are an amazing package - and the voters have an obvious bias towards winning teams (although of course, that is evaluating the player's 24 teammates and not the player). Trout could have deservedly won this thing 5 years in a row - including this season. He is the most valuable player in the league - I don't like any distinction between most valuable and best, because (as I said above) you are then talking about whether his teammates are good. But we know he won't win it because his 24 teammates stink. To me, it's probably a dead heat between Betts and Altuve with Donaldson very close, but the Jays slump will count against him.
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I am not sure how much time he spends in Pawtucket (which, like most AAA teams, is a taxi squad). But I expect back to either AA or AAA. The swing and miss has to be fixed. But the native talent is remarkable and the on-base skills at the lower levels were there. He is just a kid who had not played a ton of baseball - it will catch up eventually.
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What is most likely to happen is that the Padres might - MIGHT - in the short run face more or a "other team-favorable" trading environment.
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Papi went 2 for 28 or something in the ALCS - granted, half of those two was amazing. 2016 Papi has been better all season. Playoffs are obviously a book to be written.
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Indeed - and I am certainly not suggesting throwing away offense. I think you are right when you get close to zero. However, I think within the sort of range Bell talks about, there is some slight increased marginal value in going from 4.5 to 4.0 vs 5.5 to 6.0. Is it enough to prefer one strategy over another? (run scoring vs run prevention as an organizing concept) Probably not.
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A month's pay is a lot of money. That said, at some point the Padres will offer the best deal for a team and then things will be fine. There might be some additional hoops to jump through (stuff the commish's office is called in for) to make sure things are kosher. A team won't willingly close off a potential market for players and whatever over something like this ...
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Maybe Sandoval becomes that platoon partiner
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Clay Buchholz - Is he worth the 2016 option?
sk7326 replied to Slasher9's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
oh it's bad - but i am not sure it will drive his price too high -
Clay Buchholz - Is he worth the 2016 option?
sk7326 replied to Slasher9's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think that is fool's gold - if you want to pick up his option, you should be ready to watch him pitch and take 20 minutes between tosses with men on board. -
I do not know if the data fully backs this up, but conceptually, run prevention should help winning a wee bit more than run scoring ... (just thinking about the marginal impact of scoring the first run vs say the 8th one). With this team's offense, focusing on run prevention in the offseason is probably the easier path to getting better.
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Good fastball, terrific change ... so at least he can work both sides of the plate. Patience with him will be rewarded - sort of already is.
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Clay Buchholz - Is he worth the 2016 option?
sk7326 replied to Slasher9's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The option is easy - it's so cheap that just by being a pretty good swingman, he will justify the investment. Doing so does not preclude the Sox from anything. -
Who knows - luck in 50-50 games kicks in here. Sox are 18-22 in one run games, so there are a few games there that could be bounced back ... and the pitching will probably be better from the jump.
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Sox will make a move or three - that much is fairly obvious ... will it be sledgehammer or scalpel? That is less obvious. There could be some churn at 3B - but it's not clear. Moncada clearly needs some work - and Shaw is a perfectly acceptable solution in the meantime. And there is a fair argument that Devers is the real end game there. We have a ton of OF talent, enough to turn that into a premium starter - and there is no doubt Dombrowski will look in that direction. Would Bradley and Moncada for Jose Fernandez be enough to wake up the Marlins? I don't know - but that is something which could be put out there. The good news I think is that the team has not had a ton of performances which feel unsustainable - besides Wright - and even then, knucklers will have those sorts of streaks. I guess Lyon too - but I think a "solid starter" profile for him is perfectly reasonable. Losing Ortiz will hurt a lot - but between the improvement you expect from kiddos and perhaps some small moves (like a better RH caddy for Shaw) you can get enough of that production to not drop off much.
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And he has not had the best defensive season of our outfielders. Bradley is terrific - but Betts has the tools and demonstrated performance to have no meaningful dropoff there. Any time I say "Bradley is tradeable" it says nothing about my opinion of him.
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I think Papi's feet really do hurt him. And at some level, he'll be happy to not have to go through the maintenance he has to go through. But he has had his best season this year - and that is remarkable.
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So is a Cy Young caliber starter with 3 years of control - and there is a fair reason to bet on the under with Bradley - although I think there is no question he is a fine player.
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Trading Bradley can work because the Sox have one of the league's best options to replace him (Betts). But you have to get quite a bit - personally a guy of Sale or Quintana's caliber is a fair return (for Bradley and a prospect or two)