sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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Aside from the NFL, all sports are "niche" sports - that is all
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2016 Non-Red Sox Postseason Gamethread
sk7326 replied to Youk Of The Nation's topic in Other Baseball
Smart of Showalter to save his best reliever for the most important spot -
There is no correlation between walks and strikeouts that makes this that interesting.
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But what does that even mean - and what is the pitcher's contribution there? The name of the game is not allowing runs - which is a team's job. All the stats you pull up is confirming the assertion - that strikeout rate is a pretty good estimator for pitcher quality, which you'd expect. It's not the only one - but things like ERA- or WHIP (for whatever that's worth) are outputs. Strikeouts are baked into those results. Now there are other things - not allowing hard contact. But not allowing hard contact is not really a separable skill from striking people out (aspects of the same job). Now there is something to be said for a pitcher letting a good defense be good.
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And the genius Buck Showalter just left Zach Britton twiddling his thumbs as Edwin Encarnacion ended their season
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Definitely has been a down year - fortunately hitters don't put the ball in play a whole lot.
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Jeff Bagwell has been passed over a couple of times over innuendo and circumstantial hooey - and you could make a stronger circumstantial argument against Ortiz. I don't believe the voters should be playing police here - if there was not a failed test, then there was not a failed test. But so far the voting has clearly reflected writers trying to moralize and moving goalposts on this issue.
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For everyone's sake, let's hope the Hall of Fame voters get a clue and make peace with "the steroid era" before Ortiz' candidacy comes up.
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Given most teams all year carry 12 or 13 pitchers, 10 is a bridge too far. 11 is sensible. Kimbrel's real problem is frankly the number of blowouts the Sox are administering - sometimes he has not had regular run.
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With player #25, I am focusing on a really good level of a specialized something. Young and Shaw already give us enough acceptable pinch-hitting bats. Defensive substitute I think makes the most sense give the guys here. Hernandez is not a silly choice by any means, but Merrero can field the position a bit better, and that should be sufficient.
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For the position players: Leon, some catcher Ramirez, Pedroia, Bogaerts, Holt, Benintendi, Bradley, Betts, Ortiz Reserves: Young - extra OF, lefty masher Shaw - can play the corners, best choice for a designated pinch hitter. Hill - a righty bat. has struggled a lot, but still Merrero - The best extra piece we have in the org is a defensive specialist.
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one is a good rate stat, the other a fantasy one ... the bulk does matter for an award which is an issue here
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that Farrell was managing rest and playing time over winning - that part was obvious
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Manny of course - although often less enigmatic than the other two ... being out front was never his thing.
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They were punished because somebody dropped a dime on them - something which has largely not happened in other cases. Other teams have been violating these rules, but there was no way for the league to prove it. This time, there was an informant. The hard thing with the Padres case was that the Padres did not actually violate any hard rules - they violated essentially long standing practice (IIRC) which is uncool, but a lower threshhold. If the market wants to punish them, they can.
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Ideally, I think I'd manage it this way * No starter will face more than 27 hitters. * Buchholz and Rodriguez on short leashes, especially after the 2nd time through the order Pomeranz and Kelly if we have not gotten to the 7th yet. Ziegler-Uehara-Kimbrel to finish Robbie Ross as a LOOGY and able to burn some innings if we are behind Tazawa as the extra guy.
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Playoff rosters can be changed between series ... any injury substitution knocks out a player for the following series. That is, if, say Betts got hurt and the Sox wanted to replace him for Game 2, that puts Betts on the shelf until the World Series.
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Me too. I think they were genuinely hoping Moncada could do that - which was not unreasonable. (after all the Royals carried Raul Mondesi Jr, who had played zero major league games - for that purpose) But I think all that air his bat generated told them that he needed at-bats more than they needed a designated pinch runner (which I am less sure of). I know he had some lapses on the basepaths too - but I think that was probably less important than the bat. (although I imagine that was the cherry on the sundae)
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Martinez and Ortiz fundamentally changed what the Red Sox were ... even as a lifelong Sox fan, it would be hard to deny the Red Sox problematic racial history and its image as a stuffy, lily white franchise for a very long time (with few exceptions). The franchise's greatest player famously never tipped his cap (this is not to denigrate Williams at all, just using the image). But starting in the late 90s, with the Domincan Flags and the parties that Martinez starts were ... and how visible the arrogance and knowledge of how good he was while he was dealing ... and then Ortiz who came out of nowhere from a projected job-sharing arrangement in 2003 to be here for all that winning. He's not the greatest Sox player ever, but he's way up there - and has won more than anybody in the modern era. And of all the stars the Nation have sent our cheers and hugs, Ortiz was the one who hugged us back. The winning and the colour together - there definitely won't be another like him.
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He made a hell of a charge for sure - a great bounceback for him.
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If you carry the extra position player you want something specialized ... someone you might actually deploy in these games ... so your choices are (for type): - A pure defensive sub - Someone who can pinch run and a threat to steal - A designated pinch hitter sort (obviously would be nice if they could do multiple) But I think that is the skill set you are diving into. Unfortunately the injury to a Sam Travis (who was the best candidate if he kept growing) eliminates any real good candidates to just pinch hit. I'd probably lean to Merrero and just stick with an extra defender.
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Who wouldn't? But this team has been very portable.
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K's correlate better with those indicators too! That is the point - it is rare (not impossible, but rare) that there is world where weak contact is induced consistently while "no contact" is not. There is not a repeatable skill for pitching with baserunners on (aside from pitching out of the stretch) But for some discussion on weak contact ... http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/weak-contact-and-the-american-league-cy-young-race/ Verlander looks particularly good - although he has always had low BABIPs. I think it's fairly close by a lot of numbers - although bWAR (which is about runs allowed) has Kluber quite decisively - which is educational I think.
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Absurd record in one run games - absurd enough to bet the under on repeating it. But - this is baseball - any of the ten teams could win it, and it would make perfect sense.
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The few days off help - better than pre-Wild Card game when you had to dive right in that Tuesday.