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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. I do think they liked him a lot - and one could easily argue they wanted him to stay for another year to assure Farrell health. It is good to have a qualified in house guy - but this was always the likely move. I also was never sure if Lovullo wanted to be seen as stabbing one of his best friends in the back.
  2. The most likely outcome if that were to happen would be to split the first two games ...
  3. Well in 2014 it was a vote of no confidence and jerking him around ... the reason was understandable but so was the reaction ...
  4. I know - I did not even know they were eligible!
  5. in 2003 we also won a do or die Game 6 in New York and in 2008 with a compromised Josh Beckett we won a do or die Game 6 in Tampa ... I saw the Giants win a Game 7 in Kansas City and was too young to see live (but have seen on tape) the Pirates winning in Baltimore in Game 7 of the ugly softball jersey world series
  6. The statistics say no such thing. Or that game in Fenway park that just happened was a figment of our imagination.
  7. Since they also have to play road games - it says less than you think
  8. The Rockies finished 13-1 and swept their two NL postseason opponents, entered the World Series with a 20-1 record Their opponent stumbled to a 7-7 finish, limped through the ALCS ... 14-10 record over that same stretch prior to the WS The Rockies predictably rolled to the title - how do you stop an opponent on that sort of streak.
  9. This, my friend is how a World Series champion builds momentum heading into the postseason http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/STL/2006-schedule-scores.shtml
  10. It's the spread you care about for that evaluation, not just home record. Exactly 4 teams won 65% of their home games (Cleveland, Texas, Cubs, Dodgers) ... only the Dodgers were below .500 on the road. That seems more an indicator of them being good generally.
  11. No way - past management would have also known this team is firmly into a contention window. They would aggressively identify the one player away they were and try to do something about it ... I recall them in the 2003 offseason signing an elite reliever and going after a certain Rhode Island video game tycoon ...
  12. Final week of the season where they entered the week essentially clinching a tie for the division? There is not one team of the 30 in their position who would not have done the same thing ... play the regulars a little bit, give the starters some burn but rotate through a lot of guys. Indeed the Guardians did the same thing - that they ended up #2 was largely dumb luck.
  13. They lost because Cleveland's starting pitching + Andrew Miller was better than Boston's starting pitching ... that's it. This is something that could have occurred any weekend against any team because baseball is a funny game. It's not like some of the bloops and bleeders in that 2nd inning in Game 2 were anything Price could have done anything about - that's baseball.
  14. Yes. Because you expect young players to get better. But it is also a bit of a silly question since we know this will not be the roster.
  15. It's baseball - Guardians were better. Price was awful - and in the inning which blew up, one of the ball's was hard hit, and the rest were perfect pitches that ended up in a place without fielders. Home field is an edge, but a small one - one which the Red Sox have transcended many many many times. After all, since the playoff seeding began (1998) - teams with HFA have gone 69-65 (.515). Given that in most cases the HFA went to the better team, this casts significant doubt over the size of the HFA in and of itself. It is hard to divine meaning from any of these series aside from the fact that a team won and a team lost and that is was (usually) fun to watch.
  16. They would have - what I do not remember was the win scenario, and their focus was clearly on getting healthy ... I suspect if their guys were 100% they might have pushed harder. It was a risk - and one which was a missed extra point from possibly paying off. C'est la vie.
  17. The players that went out there certainly did. The Patriots example is less interesting as Julian Edelman And Gronk's ailments were hard to deal with in an alternate way - and the bye was clinched (and they had blown a game they should have won in Denver during the season). Home field means considerably more in football - but the Patriots healthwise were probably not in a position to do much in Week 17 other than what actually happened.
  18. Really 3B is the only position that needs to be addressed (and that might not even be the case) - pitching will be the priority, both the bullpen and reducing the uncertainty at the back of the rotation.
  19. Ultimately, baseball is the flukiest of all the major sports on a day to day basis - and why the regular season is the least flukey of all (ironing out those flukes via sheer number of games). But it follows the playoffs are the flukiest of the pro sports. (NBA > NFL > NHL > MLB ... in terms of level of certainty and the likelihood the champ is in fact the "best"). The only real conclusion that comes from why they lost is that the Guardians outscored them in three games. It's no solace - but hard to call for anybody's head over it either.
  20. Your math is wrong. The edge is not remotely that large.
  21. indeed - such as a set rotation and rested players ... which helps more than what is still effectively very very slightly more than a coin flip.
  22. An advantage which did not come into play in this series - or the other AL series - or what the Cubs did ...
  23. play the percentages, hope for the best ...
  24. Home teams win 54% of the games - tease that out over a 5 game series and the team with home field has a 50.2% to 49.8% probability of winning assuming the teams themselves were even to begin with.
  25. Lot of truth here. That said, in the bigs there is at least more tools around so the DH is not just sitting there collecting dust between his appearances. The routine changes, but there is still the chance to watch a little video, take a few cuts. Is it a routine Ramirez can get to? fortunately he is a guy who does have a good approach and whatnot.
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