sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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or you just go all-in with Travis - there might not be much power there ... but defense is fine and he has gotten on base in his short career.
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Payroll and ticket prices have some correlation but they are independent decisions - after all if a team rebuilds, nobody is getting money back. Now, fortunately, fan pressure and owner ego allows the team to spend a lot of money. But it is not a necessary relationship. The Red Sox themselves are in a special position with very little stadium debt (basically debt from renovations) and the ability to more or less charge any price. Even now, a small reduction in ticket sales is probably offset by any price increases and whatnot. Ultimately the fans are a bit spoiled - which is fine. And the team, while in first, only has had Sale have an extraordinary season.
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Harrison is a good player. Not worth Devers - maybe not Groome either - though there is the variability associated with pitchers that always makes them a tad easier to be bearish about. I like Lowrie too - for many of the same reasons, though he is much more injury prone. But the idea is to get someone who can play 3B but whose bat can play in the lineup if the Sox want to call up Devers.
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Of the gettable names Josh Harrison is probably the best one ... again, can move around the field if you want to bring up Devers and he can be a righthanded caddy for both corner infield spots. Lowrie is worthwhile also - Freese and Nunez less so.
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you take that return for miller (and chapman) every day of the week ... a team that's not in the chase has no use for 8 figure relievers
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Josh Harrison is an intriguing choice also - he won't help with power but consistency and a decent bat with some speed and again, allows the Red Sox freedom to promote or not promote Devers. He can play 3B and probably 1B.
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I think a Wilmer Flores makes sense at the deadline among names being sniffed around - who can play 3B or 1B ... and maybe having that flexibility is what we need here. This allows management to not be backed into a Devers promotion ... but does not block him either. He is not super exciting - but neither is anybody else.
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there is a stronger correlation with OBP - but the two are strongly correlated with each other (since you need singles to generate a good OBP and that helps slugging too). And it makes sense on the fringes - a SLG of 1.000 could still be retired (a homerun and 3 outs). An OBP of 1.000 means nobody is getting retired. More simply, conceptually, outs are baseball's clock ... and not getting out is the fundamental goal of an at-bat. There are other goals too, but that is the bedrock one.
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No - OPS is mathematically incorrect (perfect SLG is 4.000, perfect OBP is 1.000 ... OBP is much more significant for run creation) ... WAR is normalized. WAR's issue (and there are in reality 32 formulae for WAR, the 2 publicly available and whatever the teams do internally) comes with inputs. WAR sums everything measurable a player does on the field - that is pretty straightforward. Complex in calculation, intuitively pretty simple. Pitcher WAR is a little more complicated than that.
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There might be some pressing. I also think that sometimes you just need something good to happen - really what has happened is the players have all been - not bad, but sort of in the 40-50th percentile of their expected outcomes when you'd like it to have at least a couple blossom a bit more.
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I am worried for sure - 3B has been a sinkhole. There have not been enough homeruns. Kids that age (and responding to another post - the age matters more here than the experience per se) are expected to get better - and unfortunately that has not happened enough. Combine that with Ramirez largely being blah and there you have it. You can absorb's Ortiz' loss if you get increases from the other spots - and that has not happened in the power department. It is weird that this team has won by being a pitching and defense team mostly - but there you go. They absolutely need another corner bat.
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Bogaerts is one of the league's toughest to strike out. He is in a slump - that will likely pass. Betts is so not hard to get out he was runner up in MVP last year. Outside of Bradley, none of the Big 3 are 25 yet. To write epitaphs for them is utterly batty. The team is actually the hardest to strike out (or had been for most of the year - Astros might have passed them, I have not looked) in the league. It's just a rough patch right now.
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Different denominators and assign equal weight to two things which are not equal But slugging is important - and it's not like there is not a significant correlation between the two. Indeed the splits between the two like Boston's - is legitimately unusual.
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Bradley is a good player. The team has an ample replacement - if a good deal showed up.
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Priority? 1. Betts - He is a legitimate top 10-15 player. He won't be 25 until October 2. Bogaerts - A 3 or 4 win shortstop whose career is looking more like Derek Jeter than A-Rod ... which is fine. He won't be 25 until October 3. Benintendi - Still on rookie deal, has handled aggressive promotion well. 4. Bradley - He's been good! But his production is peaks and valleys - always is. Excellent defender. But he is the most dispensible of the 4 Bs and if you can make a needle moving deal, then yeah you move him and figure it out.
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Similar production premium positions and Bradley is 2.5 years older
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If the idea is trade for Frazier to solve FIRST BASE - that makes more sense
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In baseball I think it's less an either:or. Do we have the horses compared to the other teams - probably not, although it's not obvious - and Cleveland is every bit as good as the teams you mentioned even if the wins have not matched. Get into the tournament and you have a pretty fair shot as winning it. We took 2 in Houston already - it's not magic. There are no huge needle movers on the market - the Sox should not pay for one. But a corner bat (and that could be as simple as a platoon partner for Moreland) and relief depth is very much gettable and will improve the team's odds of getting into October. (which was high anyway) This team is built to play up in October - much more than last year.
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Moreland has this issue in that he is just not very good I think trading for any corner bat makes sense - but you have to consider 1B something to shore up as well.
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The TV product gets hurt by the rotating of analysts - I am not sure how easy it is to build chemistry in the first place. I think some of that is by design - management (I suspect) does not want a more provincial, interesting TV broadcast (like the Sean/Jerry days let alone earlier). I've been a fan since 1986 (first game was more like 1983 but I was 5) ... the Sean and Jerry TV combo was the best ... Jerry worked harder then and Sean challenged him more to do so.
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I don't mind some alternates - I like secondary logos (I liked the Red Sox "Socks" friday night hat when they sported them). The Navy ones are fine. Other stuff - or holday specific stuff is silly. And for the most part, the team cannot really improve on the home whites - although going with a 1975 era hat would be the sort of change I'd approve of.
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Fridays mostly ... fwiw, the navys get a thumbs up, the reds get several thumbs down
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The Red Sox have a viable path ahead at 3B - so I think they'll be able to outwait the ChiSox for a Frazier.
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The trick is that selective aggression - it's not take/not take ... it's recognizing what a good pitch is - sometimes the hitters have been too careful.
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It is good to have Holt to staff the bench ... especially given 12-13 man staffs. But yeah they need a real starter ...