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FredLynn

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Everything posted by FredLynn

  1. Bard is under team control until 2016, and is an elite relief pitcher. He WAS an elite relief pitcher. I don't think he is any more.
  2. The explanation will be phrased in some sort of adminspeak. Excuses about being selective in how the team uses its limited resources and how the asking price would not provide "value" to the team. That sort of thing. We have all seen it before.
  3. Only if we can sign Garza to a 3-4 year deal. No one and a half year rentals for anyone of value.
  4. I am not contesting the fact that Hamels is better. His ERA will go up, probably by somewhat more than .25 because he is playing in the AL and in the ALE. And yes, the park does have something to do with it as well, thought its not the most important factor. I would rather have Hamels; on the other hand, I would rather have both Hamels and Shields. I think Shields is a FA too.
  5. You remind me of the kid who has to get the newest toy just because its new. Guess what: sometimes the older toys work better. Until such time as you offer me objective proof, not personal opinion, of which statistics absolutely are the best, I will keep using my collection of stats and you can use yours. Deal?
  6. I realize that my protest is more symbolic than anything else. I know that I am a poppyseed in the bakery of life. Still, I would love to see a half empty Fenway Park as a means to embarass John Henry. I don't think he could ignore that.
  7. Duquette got it started; Epstein finished the job. That is a matter of fact. I never said Epstein sucked as a GM; I think he was mediocre. As to how these two produced a winner: "Even a blind squirrel occasionally finds a nut"
  8. I guess I am not understanding you. If Hamels pitched in a league where there is a DH, his ERA would be higher, right? The use of the DH does make a difference. Right now the AL is scoring about a quarter of a run per game more than the NL. So if you add that .25 to Hamels' ERA its up to 3.64. He is still better than Shields, but not by much, as I said.
  9. Crawford is overpaid, but you guys have given up on him too soon IMO. I think he is going to contribute in a positive way to the team, once he is healthy.
  10. There is no doubt that Duquette was even worse than Epstein. That does not make Epstein a good GM. When you are compared to someone who is incompetent, unless you are also totally incompetent, you are bound to look good.
  11. That should be done only if we can sign Garza to a deal longer than the one more year he is signed for now. Otherwise we are giving up a prospect for a one and a half year Garza rental. Since, realistically, this season is likely lost in terms of making the playoffs (no, I am not completely throwing in the towel just yet), they have to be careful about tossing away our top prospects for what could already be a lost cause.
  12. He is someone I probably would not sign to a long term deal because of that statistic. Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me. The Lackey deal should be a learning experience for our FO.
  13. Thanks. I will look at that in more detail later on. Baseball is a relatively simple game. Its runs scored/runs prevented. I think you can get bogged down too much in overanalyzing the game with countless ways to look at data. In the end, a good pitcher is one who prevents the other guys from scoring runs, be it in Boston or in Tampa Bay or anywhere else, so I think that the single (but not the only) best indicator of that is ERA. If others want to use ERA+ to support their positions, thats fine. And for hitting its OPS because I want a guy who can hit for both average and power on my team. There are lots and lots of statistics, and which ones you feel best give you a true picture is a matter of personal preference. I would rather not have to dig up 20 different ways to look at performance; a couple of data points are sufficient for me to form an opinion, and until hard proof is presented that a different approach is better, I'll stick with what I believe. Others are free to do the same.
  14. Maybe Kalish just the first of the Pawtucket kids to be brought up. I would also like to see Lavarnway up, and if Aviles continues to suck, Iglesias as soon as he is healthy enough to come up. My guess is that these kids will be fun to watch, that they will inject a little enthusiasm into what is now a lifeless character of the team, and that we will probably win more games than with some of the deadwood we have now. In any event, its time for the youth movement to take hold.
  15. Look at it this way. If ERA+ measures runs scored in your home ballpark, does it also account for the fact that in Boston we have had one of the top offenses both at home and on the road for several years, along with one of the worst pitching staffs both at home and on the road? We do play half our games on the road, do we not? ERA+ is only minimally useful in measuring a pitcher's real value. Roy Halladay's OPSa at Fenway Park, for his career, is .684. A good pitcher is a good pitcher wherever he pitches.
  16. BBQ to go to Emmz...said so on page 2 or so. No one here is a fairweather fan or they would have left long ago.
  17. The season lives on to see another day. Every game is a big game from here until the end of September. Thats the kind of hole this team has dug for themselves.
  18. Not a hitter at all right now. You guys enjoy the game. Got a BBQ to attend; no Sox fans there, just divers. To VA: its safe to enter the game thread now.
  19. Guess he is the best we have. Sad, isn't it. That game is a testament to all those fans who thought we had a chance if our top 3 SP remained healthy all season. It was never going to happen, and its not over yet. It would take incredible luck for that to happen, yet we stocked our lower tier in the rotation with untested question marks. One worked out; one failed miserably. Now Beckett is down, probably for a long time. And we get Morales. Or Cooke. Or Germano. And some people think its still early and remain optimistic for the team. I just don't see how that can be justified with the reality of our situation.
  20. I know exactly what ERA+ is. I do not think it is as useful as simple ERA because I think that good pitchers get hitters out no matter where they pitch.
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