Some useless fun with numbers:
If the Red Sox hadn't traded Price, they would have ultimately paid him 186 million for 6 years, because he opted out of 2020 completely and thus was not paid a nickel for that year.
186/6 would make his contract only 12.7% more than Lester's 165/6.
I just think you have to compare his contract to others with similar profiles, as contemporaneous as possible, and you've got perfect comps in Scherzer and Greinke. Scherzer outperformed his contract, but that's a whole different matter. That's just the luck of the draw.
Well that brings into question exactly how you define 'overpay'. Compared to what? What's the point of reference? The average Joe would say all these guys are ridiculously overpaid.
I don't understand that last sentence. Wasn't it the shortage of starters that pushed Houck into the rotation last year? How would signing a reliever fix that?
I think the word 'overpay' gets tossed around way too much. It's a classic armchair GM word. They don't usually pay the guy that much out of the goodness of their heart. They do it because that's what it takes to get the player to sign.
Did Yamamoto get overpaid? Most people would have to agree that his contract is pure insanity. $325 million plus a $50+ million posting fee, for a guy who has never played in MLB.
But most Sox fans probably wish it was us.
And of course, if Yamamoto underperforms, we'll all be mocking the Dodgers.
Actually if they sign Montgomery or Snell on a reasonable deal I think it will turn most people's opinions around to some degree. It would only reflect badly if the deal was a major overpay, but that seems like the remotest of possibilities.
If we insist on using the crazy numbering thing, he's a solid #2.
What's interesting is that the Rangers won the 2023 World Series on the backs of #2's in Eovaldi and Monty, while their supposed #1s, deGrom and Scherzer, were of little use.