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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    OK here are the CERA comparisons for 2011 and 2012 for all starters that had at least 30 innings with each catcher, and relievers that had at least 15 innings with each catcher. 2011 Salty Tek Lester 145 3.77 40 2.48 1.29 Lackey 127 6.31 33 6.82 -0.51 Aceves 67 2.82 42 2.34 0.48 Bard 39 4.54 31 1.44 3.10 Papelbon 36 2.75 25 2.45 0.30 Wheeler 34 4.19 15 5.40 -1.21 Albers 27 5.53 36 4.00 1.53 2012 Salty Shopp Lester 107 5.62 48 3.70 1.92 Buchholz 75 6.30 78 3.23 3.07 Beckett 58 4.47 58 5.46 -0.99 Aceves 53 4.92 15 4.11 0.81 Padilla 26 5.47 19 2.75 2.72
  2. Bellhorn04
    Calm down, will ya? I was thinking of relief pitchers for the 15 inning minimum, 30 innings for starters. Like I said I'll put the numbers up soon and then we can discuss further.
  3. Bellhorn04
    OK, I'll put up the CERA numbers for Salty, Tek and Shopp for any pitchers that had say 15 innings or more with each when I get a chance.
  4. Bellhorn04
    The numbers have been produced here on several occasions and of course are easily available on Baseball-Reference. I didn't think we had to go through that exercise again.
  5. Bellhorn04
    More than 2 pitchers have had trouble with Salty.
  6. Bellhorn04
    I don't mean to beat the dead horse on this...we've been over it a few times. Yes, some pitchers have done OK with Salty. But *overall* the staff ERA was a run higher in 2011 with Salty than with Tek, and a run higher in 2012 with Salty than with Shoppach. Anyway if they keep Salty for 2013 we'll have another chance, to compare his CERA with Ross's.
  7. Bellhorn04
    I don't think we can overlook the Salty factor with Lester either. Lester has a 4.55 ERA with Salty catching him. His ERA with other catchers: VMart 3.24 Tek 3.41 Shopp 3.70 Cash 3.83 Lavarnway 3.90 It's quite possible that some of that frustration Lester has been showing on the mound has been not just with the umpiring but with his catcher. Not trying to use that as an excuse, just saying...the appearance of Salty seems to have coincided with the decline of Lester.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Varitek's CERA and W-L record were oustanding his last 2 seasons, in spite of his defensive problems.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Sweeney's only bright spots at the plate last year were in April. In his last 151 plate appearances before hitting the self-destruct button on his season at the end of July, he posted a remarkably bad line of 200/253/271.
  10. Bellhorn04
    I'm trying to make the point that Overbay's .895 OPS at Fenway is much higher than the average OPS of opposing hitters at Fenway. It seems reasonable that having an OPS that high at Fenway is attributable more to it being a park that's well suited to him than it is to bad pitching. Don't you think certain hitters are better suited to certain parks?
  11. Bellhorn04
    OK, let's check this out. All of Overbay's AB's at Fenway came in the years 2006-2010 when he was with the Jays. The number on the left is Overbay's OPS at Fenway that year. The one on the right is the overall OPS given up by Red Sox pitchers at Fenway that year. 2006 911/768 2007 627/726 2008 876/724 2009 981/736 2010 1071/727
  12. Bellhorn04
    Good points.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Agreed. Could be a good signing with his numbers vs. RH pitching and at Fenway.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Yep. And the same guy who posted a 5 ERA for the Rangers in his first AL stint. Part of the pessimism is the bad history of lifelong NL pitchers coming to the AL.
  15. Bellhorn04
    If you're right, there may not be anyone here to tell it to...because it'll mean we suck even worse than last year.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Farrell says Ortiz is doing well and should be ready. But who knows...they're using him in their ticket ads so you couldn't put it past them to fudge the facts a bit.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Good thing he's not a pitcher. We've had about enough of those Lone Star boys pitching for us in recent years.
  18. Bellhorn04
    With regard to the speed of Dempster's fastball, I think this may have been a mixup with Marcum. I'm pretty sure I read that Marcum's average fastball last year was something like 86.7, the slowest of any non-knuckleballer. Marcum is the ultimate soft tosser, living and dying with his changeup. Not that it much matters to us now...
  19. Bellhorn04
    I totally respect SFF's optimistic take. But if things go sour he's gonna hear it.
  20. Bellhorn04
    190 innings and a 4.6 ERA would be about the best I expect from Dempster.
  21. Bellhorn04
    The rotation is indeed a house of cards. Optimism that things will work out is natural, it's part of being a fan. On the other hand, confidence that things will work out for the rotation this year is unfounded, in my opinion. It's a 'watch and see and hope for the best' scenario.
  22. Bellhorn04
    I've heard this, but who exactly did he help recently?
  23. Bellhorn04
    The thing that sets A-Rod apart is that so many Yankee fans hate him too.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Five years left actually.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Presumably the Red Sox 3-4 hitters will be Ortiz and Napoli. That's a very good pair if they're healthy, but one has the Achilles issue and the other has the hip issue.
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