Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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This is questionable. The Sox won the World Series with hardly anyone besides Ortiz posting good offensive numbers. Good answer on the D'Backs.
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The 1984 Tigers?
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Definitely not.
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But Wainwright, who was the emergency closer in 2006, had 9.2 scoreless innings that postseason. Here's a question/challenge: when was the last time a team won the World Series in spite of their closer pitching poorly in that postseason?
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I checked Atlanta and Kimbrel was the leader by miles. I will make a friendly bet that if we take all the closers and all the #1 setup men, the closers will have the edge. It'll be my project for the weekend.
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This would have to be analyzed, but I am guessing that with most teams the closer is near the top of the staff in high-leverage plate appearances.
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But in general closer is the only player that can potentially be in the position of ending the game or blowing the game 3-4 times in one playoff series. You have to admit it's a unique position, if nothing else.
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But in a really close series, or game, the closer can be the tipping point.
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Fielder can't help being huge IMO. It's genetic. His dad had the biggest ass in baseball history.
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Ha ha...Fred doesn't do relax. I've been reading his posts since 2007 so I know. The best is yet to come, believe me.
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Indications are now that the A-Rod fiasco could drag on well past December, totally f***ing up the Yankees payroll budgeting for 2014. They may just have to operate on the assumption they'll be paying him this year.
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I think my blood pressure actually rose reading that post by Fred.
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Predictions for Robinson Cano ... Team & Terms of Contract.
Bellhorn04 replied to marklmw's topic in Other Baseball
Even though I agree with most of this, I wonder if the time will come when baseball owners say 'no more 200 million contracts'. There are only 4 of them to date, and they aren't pretty: A-Rod - certain disaster Pujols - almost certain disaster Fielder - almost certain disaster Votto - potential disaster -
Ellsbury is looking for Crawford's. Choo is looking for Werth's. Nice of these guys to use such bad contracts as reference points.
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Predictions for Robinson Cano ... Team & Terms of Contract.
Bellhorn04 replied to marklmw's topic in Other Baseball
Yankees 8/210 -
Crazy thought of the day: if Dempster had been on the 2012 team, his 4.57 ERA would have been second on the team just barely behind Buchholz's 4.56.
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McAdam, though, is guessing that the team will keep the payroll at the same level it was at last year, even though the tax threshold increases by 11 million from 178 to 189. He may be right but my guess is that their limit will be closer to the 189 million.
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Texas would use him at 1B. He'd be a major upgrade over Moreland. They need offence.
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And the fact we're so tight to the cap this year (mainly because of the increased cost of the rotation) is what makes signing Ellsbury all the more difficult.
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If you are interested in payroll numbers, check out this graphic tool, I just found it. It's pretty cool. http://mrphilroth.com/mlbpayrolls/
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Also re: inflation, the Yankees payroll for 2005 was higher than it was for 2012. Things have been crazy for longer than we realize.
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The Yankees overpaid on that deal though. I don't think the increase in this particular type of contract has been that great. Victorino got 13 million and his overall production/WAR would be similar to Damon's.
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It's the length that magnifies the risk into an unacceptable one. Just use an extreme example like Pujols. If his contract was 3 years at 24 million all you can lose is 72 million. But it's 10 years. If he gets injured or falls off the map performance-wise now, the Angels are looking at a possible loss of close to 200 million, which is crippling.
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Damon got 52 million. Ellsbury is projected to get more than double that. The difference in financial risk is huge.
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Baseball and football are so different that it makes for a difficult comparison. The two games require totally different types of intelligences.
