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Everything posted by User Name

  1. User Name
    .914/.852 OPS Home/Away. Pretty normal split. He actually has more HR's on the road (66) than at home (63).
  2. User Name
    The "fear" factor is not something you can quantify, for one. And if healthy, Youkilis is just as feared a hitter as Ortiz. Gonzales did extremely well last year with Youkilis hitting behind him by the way. I don't see the relevance to this point.
  3. User Name
    Why would you feel Youkilis doesn't bring any threat? He's slugged around the same level as Ortiz the last couple of years. Even while battling nagging injuries last year, he sluggled over .450.
  4. User Name
    Per the baseball musings lineup analysis tool, using Bill James projection numbers (which are fairly conservative) and considering that it does not account for factors like SB's, the above lineup would score 5.579 R/G or 902 runs on the season. You can discount around a 40-55 runs on average because of missed time by regulars, bringing the total to a realistic 855 runs.
  5. User Name
    Projected 2012 lineup: 1) CF Ellsbury 2) 2B Pedroia 3) 1B Gonzales 4) 3B Youkilis 5) DH Ortiz 6) LF Ross 7) RF Sweeney 8) C Saltalamacchia 9) SS Aviles
  6. User Name
    Didn't Ortiz spend most of last year with auto-out Carl Crawford or assorted non-threats behind him?
  7. User Name
    I meant opinions in general. Like mine, for instance.
  8. User Name
    They aren't? They're better predictors of future performance than opinion. Also, if you want to find reasons from last year that foretell future improvement, there are many: Improved defense, improved percentage of runners thrown out, increase in power, BB% could be considered an outlier and is likely to improve, less exposure against lefties (because of Shoppach), age.
  9. User Name
    He improved last year on the defensive end. Besides, what's the logic behind this aggregate? How below average defensively is he compared to how above average he is offensively?
  10. User Name
    Or projections?
  11. User Name
    Now this is deluding yourself.
  12. User Name
  13. User Name
    I rest my case. No reading between the lines, but going by what you actually said. Just admit that while there's not a solid argument to be made about why he will improve, there's not one about why he won't improve either.
  14. User Name
    Mediocre is a good deal better than s*****. And how anyone can anoint him an elite catcher is beyond comprehension. Then again, Lavarnway is already being hailed as the second coming of Jesus Christ off of a couple AB's.
  15. User Name
    Funny, because Russell Martin was an "All-Star" last year because of one hot month. All-star games are a joke.
  16. User Name
  17. User Name
    It's dishonest to discount his good months of production because they were "just a hot stretch". By your logic, Russell Martin sucked ass too. How is a .737 OPS "s*****"? It is above league average regardless of position, and his OPS+ of 95 is right around league average. Also, no reason to expect improvement? He's 26, entering his prime and coming off a season in which he posted an IsoP number of .215. That portends to very good power production. Just for argument's sake, Bill James projects Salty to post a .245/.311/.436 .747 OPS line, which is a mild improvement over last season.
  18. User Name
    This is plain wrong. Not only was he not awful by positional standards, but the possibility for improvement is there. Who's to say his overall production next year won't resemble the torrid three-month stretch from mid-season instead of the s***** ending to the season? The power and OB skills have always been there, they simply haven't translated into sustained production.
  19. User Name
    Remember that if you get a pitcher at the TDL, you get him for roughly a quarter of his value. A $10 million pitcher at the TDL represents a 2.5 million cap hit.
  20. User Name
    The CBA clears up the issue, as per my above post.
  21. User Name
    Straight from the CBA. The remaining portion of the player's salary is allocated to the player's new club from the day after the trade on.
  22. User Name
    Yup. An extension that starts next season cannot retroactively impact that season's cap.
  23. User Name
  24. User Name
    That's exactly the point.
  25. User Name
    Says the Yankees fan. How many times this decade have the Yankees and their massive payroll gone into the season with a shitload of questions? It happens.
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