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User Name

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Everything posted by User Name

  1. User Name
    Not enough IP either. I get it, he's been good, but let's stay realistic here. Also, the whole "since May" or "when you take out X start" or "when facing lefties at night when it's raining and Jason Giambi just stole a base" thing really doesn't convince me. His whole body of work is what it is.
  2. User Name
    Yeah this is really not how it works. There's a reason why luxury tax penalties are so steep right now. Staying under has become less a nice commodity and more a forceful obligation.
  3. User Name
    Bit of hyperbole there, but a generally correct analysis.
  4. User Name
    What's the evidence that they didn't? It's a safe assumption considering the cousin scandal, and some of the tidbits released regarding the biogenesis brew-ha-ha.
  5. User Name
    Yeah but most of the evidence isn't even from cooperating offenders according to reports, but rather records. Bosch kept records of everything he did regarding his clients, just in case something like this happened and, well, it happened. He has legitimate documentation and supposedly even phone recordings proving all of these allegations. If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck.... I think this is a fair bit of hyperbole. Palmeiro got a GG on a year he played 1/3 of a season. Everything Greg Maddux threw that was even near the strike zone was a strike, and for Barry Bonds, anything that wasn't middle-middle was a ball. Were the Orioles, Braves and Giants also above the rules of baseball? The NY media helps make some of these players' reputations, but come on.
  6. User Name
    We disagree heavily here because of the specifics of the case. A-Rod absolutely deserves a longer ban than all of the other players. Not only did he refuse to cooperate with MLB, but he was actually detrimental to their investigation. Not only that, but MLB has a ton of evidence that proves that he was actively recruiting others to buy steroids from BioGenesis. He deserves every day of that 200-game ban. Which brings up the point: If the Yankees are so powerful, then how could their hand be forced so easily? They could have persuaded the MLB to punish him per the CBA right off the bat , or for Selig to immediately use his "Good of the game" clause. They have tried, and they have failed. Because not only are they not that powerful, but they are not as powerful as the true powerhouse in the MLB: The MLBPA.
  7. User Name
    But what the Yankees are doing is still the lowest of the low. They made their bed with that stupid contract (and you can bet your ass they knew he was juicing) so lie in it *******s!
  8. User Name
    If the Yankees are so powerful, why aren't they getting their lifetime ban, and why has MLB allowed A-Rod to get in a game so the Yanks can't cash in on their insurance? Too much conspiracy theory stuff.
  9. User Name
    Yeah just saw that on Cot's. Thought it was a mistake.
  10. User Name
    Remember arb raises, injury limbo for Miller, and i was counting Uehara as one of the BP arms they need to replace, even if they bring him back. I doubt they'll convert any more starters to the BP unless RDLR completely implodes Also, they still have to fill up C and 1B. Color me surprised if next year's payroll is not slightly higher than this year's. It's still below the cap, but does not afford for significant flexibility.
  11. User Name
    I think it won't be as flexible as you predict. They'll need a catcher (hopefully not Salty), 1B, and several BP arms to fill out next year's roster even if they swap JBJ for Ellsbury at CF.
  12. User Name
    We're trying, but it's hard with people actively refusing to worship our God Koji.
  13. User Name
    Weird OF's are the exception rather than the rule right now though. And usually, looking at the WAR leaderboards is actually a pretty good way to determine who's contending for MVP's and Cy Youngs.
  14. User Name
    I've done quite a bit of research on WAR's defensive component, and have come to find out that because of sample size and combined range among fielders issues, UZR (which is the defensive measure use by Fangraphs' WAR) is excellent for 3B and the OF, but ranges decent to bad for C, 1B, 2B and SS.
  15. User Name
    Yeah not all OPS values are created equal, but under normal circumstances it's a good tool for comparing players to one another, granted you revise for statistical outliers (like Alfonso Soriano, who has had two 800+ OPS seasons with a sub .330 OBP).
  16. User Name
    You mean 2011, and you would certainly be correct. Again, a very big part of the WAR calculation (which has to be considered the premier overall-value encompassing stat today) is positional value calculation. With the exact same offensive and defensive numbers, a SS is always going to have a significantly higher WAR value than a 1B.
  17. User Name
    "Special WAR cannon!"
  18. User Name
    That's why you have wRC+. I was the one to bring up OPS, mainly because of the simplicity of comparing hitters using OPS, without having to complicate production standards.
  19. User Name
    How many times over a 600 PA (conservative estimate) season is that going to happen?
  20. User Name
    Uehara had to throw 14 pitches instead of his usual five. I am disappointed.
  21. User Name
    Yeah but it's a lot easier to call fluke by looking at a player's BABIP (which is the first thing we do when we smell fluke) than calculating the impact of standard deviation on the formulaic calculation of a player's wRC+ or OPS+. I also disagree that scorers have an impact on overall OPS calculations.
  22. User Name
    I've seen you use WAR before in arguments. Do you like WAR as a statistic to measure a player's value? If you do, then this statement directly contradicts the formula used to calculate a player's WAR, where the position he plays in either sums or detracts value from a player's overall sum total value. Position matters. An .800 OPS SS is not the same as an .800 OPS first baseman. And for the record, the blanket statement "An .800 OPS hitter is a good hitter" is also incorrect. If a player has an .800 OPS but with a .310 OBP, that player is not likely to be very productive in general terms.
  23. User Name
    I'm not arguing that your statement is incorrect. In principle, your argument is absolutely correct. All i'm saying is that the formula isn't perfect, and weird deviations are known to appear in parks with flukey or extreme factors.
  24. User Name
    Yeah positional value matters.
  25. User Name
    He's saying that because normally where you play doesn't matter when a stat is park adjusted, but in LA's case it does because the formula is imperfect.
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