Elktonnick
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Everything posted by Elktonnick
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They will be facing tougher competition this year. Their major opposition has improved significantly while they haven't. No 4 or 5 starter, no ML ready starting SS who can play an entire season. Question marks at third and left. Their catcher is mediocre. But we have said all this before.
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Even if Bard is lights out as a starter (which is questionable). They won't let him go long in games nor will they allow him to piitch more than 150 innings.
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Virtually every analyst make the same case. There is no pitching depth. The right side of the infield is solid. The left side is questionable. Youk will play no more than 120 games if that. We don't have a ML ready starting SS who can play an entire season. Please name me one team that has been successful platooning its SS. 120 games isn't a full season. Baseball history is replete with teams that were great for 3/4 of a season and fell flat.
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Well we agree. The only point of contention is that the Red Sox have no depth to make up for one or more of their starters going down. !5 day DL can be at least three starts. Statistically the club whose openning day rotation makes the most starts has the greater probability of making the playoffs. The Red Sox have no margin for error. While three starts may not be much but there will be other times that pitchers will miss starts without going on the DL. By the way hangnails and blisters are serious injuries to pitchers and can cause them to miss a lot of innings. Toe injuries likewise can cause a pitcher serious discomfort especially if it is on his pushoff foot. Any of these can alter delivery potentially leading to more serious arm injury or simple ineffectiveness.
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The analysis suggests that he is more likely to be injured. While the study didn't go into the kind of detail you suggest it does make the general point that therre is truth to individuals being injury prone. What that suggests is that Both Beckett and Buccholtz fall into that category. If you want to beieve something that's good. Everyone should have faith But there is increased probability that either Beckett or Buccholtz or both will be out.
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Hershiser more than once criticized Buccholtz along those same lines. The one thing that also bother me about him and this may affect both his mechanics and his back. He is never relaxed on the mound. He appears to be particularly tense. He makes a great many wasted throws to first with runners on who have no intention of stealing.
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Those who know me professionally will have to answer that question for you.
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Why is Selig putting forward the second wild card? I can assure you it is because their research leads them to believe more teams will be competetive for the post season come August and Septemeber not less.
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Why is it specious Here is why: None of the three have pitched like aces consistently. Except for a few months last year Beckett hasn't pitched like an ace in years and Lester certainly has had his issues who admitted his own inconsistency in Sept.. Buccholtz is recovering from an injury so he is a major question mark The wild card race is as likly to be just as close if not closer because more teams will be competing for the 5th spot after Aug 1 so less likely that teams will part with key players on around the trade deadline. Your analysis is wshful thinking at best. More teams will be in it come late September.
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Exactly the point I would make. Moreover, A manager has a more difficult time setting up his rotation prior to the playin game. Every knowledgeable observer made the same point. I find it interesting those who disparage their analysis.
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The wild card will actually mean less this year because in all ikelyhood it will have the one playin game. The Sox right now can not be considered the odds on favorite to win the ALE far from it.
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I tend to agree. Maybe it is my imagination but they seemed to have more injuries than do most ML teams. It could be that I notice it more because I follow them so closely. My hope is the new pitching coach and medical staff may change things. They certainly mishandled Dice-K.
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Buccholtz getting injured again is a real plausibility. Orel Hershiser commented more than once about his delivery and others opined that the stress fracture was a result of increase strain on his back by weight gained to help him last a full season. So I suspect they will be watching Buccholtz very carefully. Remember he didn't have a particularly good ST last year. He was unable to go long in games last April because he wasn't properly stretched out. I for one will be surprised if Buccholtz makes through to July without missing a few starts due to the Sox being cautious if nothing else.
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For the record Fred has also taught the game.
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It wouldn't have been the first time nor the last time that otherwise very intelligent and smart people made an error in judgment. Smart people do dumb things all the time. I know because I made a very good living because they do.
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Trading Scuturo prior to obtaining a pitcher was bad planning. It was putting the cart before the horse. I was pleasantly surprised when Scut was traded because I mistakenly thought no GM would be that dumb to have made the move with the expressed purpose of getting a pitcher and then not get the pitcher. I was wrong.