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iortiz

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Everything posted by iortiz

  1. iortiz
    Seems like Padres aren't done yet, they are after Moncada as well.
  2. iortiz
    Well, we will never know how it would have worked out for us and while what you are saying is probably true, I still see Shields 2 or 3 steps ahead of any of our current arms.
  3. iortiz
    We better start the first couple of months solid, otherwise a lot of pressure is going to be out there and I'm not sure if our young squad will be capable to handle it.
  4. iortiz
    Shields to San Diego for 75 M or something. Damn! Is it really a bad contract? He's 33 and all but this sounds like a bargain to me. Anyways, 4 months ago, we were told to wait and be patience since it was too early and we had to trust and let the FO work because they were likely going to land at least one No. 1. The time ran and Cherrys signed a combo full of ?s and said that he felt comfortable with the actual rotation going forward and some thought that it was pure BS since it was simply part of his PR strategy or something. Then the speech changed and some drank that kool aid and began to make to the idea that this rotation was good enough since it has a huge potential and/or the ALE pitching is as mediocre as ours and that we could easily grab an ace in the trade deadline if needed. Once again we were told to be patience, fine. Now that we are certain of how we are moving forward, Hopefully Cherry's baby work out because this is the worst rotation I've ever seen for my Red Sox on paper entering into a new season.
  5. iortiz
    At this point, I think it is not about the money... they feel comfortable as the rotation is.
  6. iortiz
    If my assessment is right and he posts something around 4.0, I do not see how we are going to match those games against true No. 1s and even No. 2.
  7. iortiz
    ...and it is fine... but you are giving the No. 1 spot to a guy who used to be a No. 5, just because he had one good year. Also he is not used to deal with that kind of pressure (being a No. 1.) and in a team like Boston where spotlights are always there could play against him. Some are saying that we should't care about his 2009-2013 because he was young and all... but when you look at his SO/9, it is still horrible. While his BB/9 and GB could cover his ass with our D (still to be seen, mostly since XB is not that good or at least hasn't proven), his SIERA is still around 4.0 and is not far from his career numbers and from what steamer is projecting as well at his 2015 ERA (3.97) Again, it is just my opinion.
  8. iortiz
    Do not worry, I think I'm the only skeptical here. While the majority expect something around 3.5 and 180+ IP, I expect something around 4.0 at best, and sure probably something around 180 IP. Hopefully I'm death wrong.
  9. iortiz
    Probably. It is an urban say so...I do not know if this in english has the same meaning.
  10. iortiz
    Let's put it this way...I think ALE Lups are good enough to destroy this mediocre rotation. Time will tell, though.
  11. iortiz
    I do not think you are pessimistic here. I think you are realistic. I even think that you are bit more optimistic than me, since I do not even see Porcello posting those numbers (4-, 180+). Regarding MVP, you aren't helping man, he probably could've bitten hahaha. In fact he sees 3 guys under 4 and since we have "inning eaters" he probably could bite. Let's see if he takes the new conditions.
  12. iortiz
    Seems like BC wasn't joking around when he said that he felt comfortable. Since I do not know how to say it in english I will put it in spanish. Que Dios nos agarre confesados haha
  13. iortiz
    So what you are saying is that the only guy achieving an era under 4 and at 180 IP+ rate is Porcello ?
  14. iortiz
    Oks. I'm willing to bet at 170 IP. 3 of the current rotation with at least 170 IP and below 4.
  15. iortiz
    This year I see strong Lups in NY and TOR. In BAL while some players are not anymore, it is still pretty dangerous. TB is the weakest but still could make some damage vs this mediocre rotation.
  16. iortiz
    3 of the current staff under 4 AND at least 200 IP? If so... I propose u a bet, 100 Bucks, what do u say?
  17. iortiz
    haha yup. While the ALE pitching is "mediocre" the ALE Lups will destroy him.
  18. iortiz
    Fair enough but still and as I said, I do not see anybody in our rotation posting an ERA below 4.0 AND 190 IP+.
  19. iortiz
    Exactly. I do not see Miley, Porcello, Kelly, Buch and Masterson giving us 1000 IP AND posting an average ERA below 4.
  20. iortiz
    Yup, but I meant the combination. 4.0- AND 200 IP. In other words, if he posts 200 IP I do not see him below 4.0. Probably Kelly posts something below 4.0 but I do not see him posting it at 190+ IP.
  21. iortiz
    I do not see in Miley anything better than a 4.0 ERA pitcher going forward. In fact I do not see any of this staff below 4.0 with at least 190 IP.
  22. iortiz
    Yeah Bell. Over/Unders bets are 50/50. When I bet on overs/unders I usually bet when the game is already started (on bet365 you can do that) in order to have more idea how it could end up. When I bet on soccer games, I usually bet on handicap bets called "double opportunity".
  23. iortiz
    I'm saying this since I have a couple of friends who are odd makers and work for the largest casino chain here in Mexico (Caliente). They told me that the main factors which are considered when they are going to publish for the very first time a line are stats, projections, casino's benchmarkings and their sport knowlage. Of course, when you look at handicap bet lines, they try to balance the lines in order to make them attractive but still the +\- points/runs/goals etc given to a team are based on what I just explained. On the other hand some handicap bets like over/under, have their standards based mainly on history. For example, the over/under for soccer games is usually 2.5 goals and so on.
  24. iortiz
    We both see the thing eye to eye but one has not idea, and the other is partially correct haha. As always, you are bitching just for the sake of bitch. You are presenting s*** and waiting if it sticks since you do not know what we are even talking about.
  25. iortiz
    When the lines are already published, yup.
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