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iortiz

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Everything posted by iortiz

  1. iortiz
    Seems like BC wasn't joking around when he said that he felt comfortable. Since I do not know how to say it in english I will put it in spanish. Que Dios nos agarre confesados haha
  2. iortiz
    So what you are saying is that the only guy achieving an era under 4 and at 180 IP+ rate is Porcello ?
  3. iortiz
    Oks. I'm willing to bet at 170 IP. 3 of the current rotation with at least 170 IP and below 4.
  4. iortiz
    This year I see strong Lups in NY and TOR. In BAL while some players are not anymore, it is still pretty dangerous. TB is the weakest but still could make some damage vs this mediocre rotation.
  5. iortiz
    3 of the current staff under 4 AND at least 200 IP? If so... I propose u a bet, 100 Bucks, what do u say?
  6. iortiz
    haha yup. While the ALE pitching is "mediocre" the ALE Lups will destroy him.
  7. iortiz
    Fair enough but still and as I said, I do not see anybody in our rotation posting an ERA below 4.0 AND 190 IP+.
  8. iortiz
    Exactly. I do not see Miley, Porcello, Kelly, Buch and Masterson giving us 1000 IP AND posting an average ERA below 4.
  9. iortiz
    Yup, but I meant the combination. 4.0- AND 200 IP. In other words, if he posts 200 IP I do not see him below 4.0. Probably Kelly posts something below 4.0 but I do not see him posting it at 190+ IP.
  10. iortiz
    I do not see in Miley anything better than a 4.0 ERA pitcher going forward. In fact I do not see any of this staff below 4.0 with at least 190 IP.
  11. iortiz
    Yeah Bell. Over/Unders bets are 50/50. When I bet on overs/unders I usually bet when the game is already started (on bet365 you can do that) in order to have more idea how it could end up. When I bet on soccer games, I usually bet on handicap bets called "double opportunity".
  12. iortiz
    I'm saying this since I have a couple of friends who are odd makers and work for the largest casino chain here in Mexico (Caliente). They told me that the main factors which are considered when they are going to publish for the very first time a line are stats, projections, casino's benchmarkings and their sport knowlage. Of course, when you look at handicap bet lines, they try to balance the lines in order to make them attractive but still the +\- points/runs/goals etc given to a team are based on what I just explained. On the other hand some handicap bets like over/under, have their standards based mainly on history. For example, the over/under for soccer games is usually 2.5 goals and so on.
  13. iortiz
    We both see the thing eye to eye but one has not idea, and the other is partially correct haha. As always, you are bitching just for the sake of bitch. You are presenting s*** and waiting if it sticks since you do not know what we are even talking about.
  14. iortiz
    When the lines are already published, yup.
  15. iortiz
    I couldn't put it better.
  16. iortiz
    As I said, once the line is published it is about offer/demand and still they read between the lines other facts which could affect the event. On the other hand, when the line is going to be set for the very first time, the odd makers consider a lot of things like stats, projections etc and Not who the casinos think the betting public will put their money towards as you are presenting.
  17. iortiz
    Correct. First off, the odd makers are who set the lines based on a lot of things like stats, projections, etc. Then, once the bets are rolling and even before a game/event starts the offer/demand (The line is always changing) is considered as well mostly in those casinos or betting pages where you can book a bet even when the game is already started. What I found interesting is that in the long run when you correlate the odds and the wins, it is practically even reason why the house always win since the majority of the bettors chose fav teams.
  18. iortiz
    Lol whata load of BS.
  19. iortiz
    Well, the lines have changed since the last time I checked out. The lowest line is for the Nats +600. Then you have LAD+700, LAA +900, Det +1100, STL +1200 and the Sox +1400. Seems like the casinos are not that confident anymore about the WS but we are still ahead of the other teams of the division.
  20. iortiz
    It was prior to the NAts signing Scherzer. Let me update the lines.
  21. iortiz
    As I said, some weeks ago the Sox were not only fav to win the division but the WS LOL! the line was 9/1, the best odd to any team. If NY land Shields I will put my money on them to win the division, unfortunately.
  22. iortiz
    While I do not like this rotation at all, you are right here, time will tell. Hopefully I'm death wrong in my assessment and they perform as some are projecting. .
  23. iortiz
    Yeah I just read it at MLBR. Seems like he has a lot of offers, hopefully he ends up somewhere else.
  24. iortiz
    Seems like another s*** storm is about to begin and guess who is in the middle of it... agin? yes U? no big surprise here. His track record is out of this world.
  25. iortiz
    A lot of Red Sox fans think the same about the current rotation. Thing is that we take away our Red Sox glasses while others don't.
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