Classic Pitching evaluations from the Doc:
Lester's career best WHIP was 1.15 in 2005 in AA. Other than that, he has been over 1.3 in his MiLB career. Over his major league career, he has made 25 starts, compiling a WHIP of 1.57 in that time. Over his MiLB career, he has compiled a WHIP of 1.31. Both are poor when considering the type of pitcher Lester is. I know a lot of people want to give him tons of credit in terms of his SR due to the cancer, and I love the guy for his determination, but lets be honest here. He's a high 80s-low 90s pitcher with shaky control. He allows a TON of baserunners and through nothing other than luck, he has avoided the major disaster. I expect his K rate to stay respectable, but if he continues to walk 4+ per 9IP, he will be burned.
Kennedy OTOH, is a full yr younger and doesnt have the health concerns that go along with Lester. He throws high 80s to low 90s, but is known as a total control freak. In his only minor league season, he walked 1 per 9 less than Lester did without giving up the hits that Lester did. Also, throughout all levels of the minors, Kennedy maintained a near 9K/9IP rate. Plus, his stellar debut in the majors also speaks to his ability. He doesnt have the breaking ball that Lester has, but Lester doesnt have the changeup or the fastball location that kennedy does. All told, Kennedy has a slight edge IMO which will grow if Lester doesnt consistently locate this upcoming yr.
In terms of Horne vs Masterson. Nobody will doubt Masterson's ability. He's 6'6" and throws gas. That being said, Horne has proven he can be both a sinkerballer and a strikeout pitcher. And prior to a late season swoon, he was absolutely dominant with a WHIP below 1.2. But most of the argument here harkens to their projectability. Horne made major strides with his sinker and changeup this season. Enough so that he is in the picture as a SP. Masterson, OTOH, has been a reliever in the eyes of most scouting sites since being drafted and he has done nothing to change that. Will Masterson be a better reliever than Horne will be as a starter? Probably. But that being said, an above average starter is worth more than a good reliever these days.
I like how these evaluations worked out Doc !
Where are Kennedy and Horne now?