https://blogs.fangraphs.com/finding-a-fit-for-jackie-bradley-jr/
Year Innings DRS UZR OAA
2016 1375.2 14 8.2 9
2017 1204.1 15 3.7 15
2018 1137.1 -1 7.4 9
2019 1247.0 -2 -1.2 6
2020 471.0 5 1.8 7
In our conversation about the projection, Dan Szymborski pointed out that ZiPS holds Bradley in a more favorable light than the other systems housed at FanGraphs when it comes to both OBP and SLG. He added that ZiPS see Bradley’s 2020 BABIP (.343) as about a 30-point overperformance based on his Statcast data; “Thus it views him like a .250/.330/.420 hitter who’s now on the wrong side of 30.”
The additional problem for Bradley is that if such a forecast is in the public sphere, it’s quite possible that teams’ internal projections are telling them something similar, making it all the harder for him to land the contract he envisions. Even so, the ZiPS model places a $27 million valuation on the first three years of the above projection. While multiyear contracts among outfielders haven’t been as scarce as those for pitchers this winter, only George Springer, Marcell Ozuna, and Jurickson Profar have landed deals for longer than two years, with five others (Michael Brantley, Brett Gardner, Robbie Grossman, Enrique Hernández and Kevin Pillar) landing two-year deals. Besides Springer, Ozuna, and Brantley, all of the other deals have had an average annual values of $7 million or less. Something along the lines of Profar’s three-year, $21 million deal might have been a realistic target under the circumstances.
Potential fits are: Phillies, Cleveland, Giants, Stros, Brew Crew, Sox