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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. I'm not advocating for why I don't like this catcher, I'm just using my well thought out micro sample sizes to justify why I'm smarter than all the advanced metrics you can come up with.
  2. Big moments for a closer only happen when you blow it.
  3. And if he's not going to contribute this year, why not pick up someone else for 1b? They clearly want Schwarber at 1b since they've already worked him out there.
  4. And if he doesn't agree to picking up the option? What then?
  5. Those guys seemed pretty cheap and reasonable to me. I wasn't expecting Trea Turner or Scherzer or Berrios. My expectations were low and they ended up getting 2 AAA pitchers and a guy on the IL. Granted, the Sox are saying that Schwarber's set back isn't a big deal and that he should be back soon, but this team is 2-8 over the last 10 and fading even faster than that. If the playoffs are truly a crapshoot, you go for it when have a legit shot to get in. They had that shot this year and it feels like they threw it away. Folding when you are in 1st place at the deadline is a weird choice.
  6. It's a mutual option, which are RARELY exercised. If Schwarber picks that up, it makes the trade worth it. If he doesn't pick that up AND his performance is worse than Schoop or Aguilar's down the stretch, it's a failure on Bloom.
  7. His last turn in the rotation should have been for BOS.
  8. Per Baseball Savant: Vaz is better at framing and pop up time (Plawecki is 99th out of 102 players). According to FanGraphs: Vaz has made 46% of unlikely plays for his career (expectation is 10-40% likelihood). Plawecki is only at 20%. Hands, release, arm strength and arm accuracy. Vaz is 2nd overall in dWAR. Wong is ranked AHEAD of Plawecki in dWAR. Connor Wong! Overall, Vaz has better CERA numbers than Plawecki by a good margin. However, you can come up with a SSS that fits your narrative that all of these metrics are baloney and that only CERA on a pitcher by pitcher basis matters because somehow a micro sample size tells you the real story. By any reasonable measure Vaz should remain the starting C.
  9. Be nice to simpletons. Don't compare them to He Who Must Not Be Named.
  10. Can't blame the pitchers when you have an axe to grind against the catcher!
  11. If the overall numbers heavily weigh towards Vaz having a better CERA, but your SSS's lean towards Plawecki, your sample is the problem.
  12. The CERA is just meaningless since the samples are too small.
  13. You don't think you could have received Schoop or Aguilar for Aldo Ramirez? If Schwarber doesn't come back to put up numbers bigger than these two guys, it's a failure on Bloom.
  14. Schoop since August 1: 164 WRC+ 955 OPS Jesus Aguilar since August 1: 167 WRC+ 1004 OPS
  15. It does call into question why the big move at the deadline was for a guy on the IL.
  16. Seeing that a 75% Schwarber would be more likely to reinjure himself, yes.
  17. Ah, but I can prove you wrong by picking and choosing ultra SSS's.
  18. Be nice to simpletons.
  19. Regardless, the Sox need his bat in the lineup, but I'd rather him come back at 100% than get reinjured. It sucks that this team is taking on water, but they were stuck with limited options when they decided to stay under the lux tax.
  20. @alexspeier Casas talked to @GwashburnGlobe about his Olympics experience. He was ... strikingly disappointed in not winning the gold.
  21. Tyler McDonough was promoted to Salem too and he hasn't been in the lineup either.
  22. So the overall numbers give Vaz a clear edge. However, the small sample that you've whittled down leaves you believing that Plawecki has an edge. Seems more likely that your sample is the one with the issues.
  23. I'm not so sure that the next month and a half will dramatically change his next contract. Maybe the agent is more likely to say "stay out until you're 100% so that you don't reinjure yourself." What's worse: him waiting an extra week and coming back at 100% or him coming back too early and not being ready to go?
  24. It was a slow 4 for 5 tho!
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